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I think that tribal marker “al Obeidi” brings us to an important part of the story of Abu Saleh Haifa of the Islamic State (real name: Iyad al Obeidi) but I’m not an expert in Iraqi tribes and I’d leave that to more informed people
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The bio says Abu Saleh Haifa replaced Umar al Shishani in Iraq (Shishani died in July 2016) as أميرًا لهيئة الحرب, which is “a commander for the War Department” – this helps to determine the rank of Umar al Shishani (at last!). Different opinions most welcome
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Another topos of the senior leaders of the Islamic State: the American Weapon. Here Abu Saleh Haifa (right) is with Abu Walid al Muhajir, a Saudi aide of Umar al Shishani (you may remember him during the Idlib wild months in 2013).pic.twitter.com/kTt7nbk8uh
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Previous tweet – Someone else is together with Abu Saleh Haifa in the original picture for sure, someday we’ll know. Probably the wizards of geolocation can find that place.
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Here’s the official pic of Abu Saleh Haifa for the Islamic State. You may notice a few topos of the senior leaders: Abbasid Black Clothes and the Pen in the Pocket. From a mugshot in Bucca to their “Abbasid reenactement”. Syrian background, I’d bet. I’m not saying anything newpic.twitter.com/8kaSWydEz0
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The wood panel mugshot in Camp Bucca. Of coursehttps://twitter.com/DanieleRaineri/status/903621905097400321 …
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Exhibit B, Abu Saleh Haifa on the lefthttps://twitter.com/DanieleRaineri/status/903623557359570944 …
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While the identity of Abu Yahia al Iraqi is still controversial (from Fallujah or from Baghdad? Al Hayani or al Jumaili? And that fuzziness of the pics), Abu Saleh Haifa was less tight over the yearshttps://twitter.com/DanieleRaineri/status/902892226669412352 …
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We study such figures to understand the next line of leaders of the Islamic State. People like Abu Yahya al Iraqi and Abu Saleh Haifa are the backbone of the Islamic State 1) They joined terrorism before the foundation of the Islamic State of Iraq 2) They spent time in jail
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According to Reuters in 2017 the other “leading contender” to replace Al Baghdadi was Iyad al Obeidi aka Abu Saleh Haifa, “al sheykh al mujahid” (means: very important guy). Killed in West Mosul during the final stage of the battle for the city. Keeping it short. Here’s the biopic.twitter.com/mnrPtmrjN2
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Post scriptum: the only other hypothesis explaining the discrepancies (US State dept, Iraqi intel late on the death) is the existence of two Abu Yahya al Iraqi, same age and same ranking
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Bio doesn't confirm Abu Yahya al Iraqi was the leader of Amniyat – as per many sources – and just says he was “the military leader” in Syria. The death in the same airstrike with Shishani looks like a violation of elementary rule “don’t put all your eggs in one basket”
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An old list I stumbled upon in September 2017 already named Abu Yahya al Iraqi among the dead leadershttps://twitter.com/DanieleRaineri/status/905053222431281152 …
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Another reminder that the matter is opaque and really we don’t know stuff: two paragraphs written in June 2017 in a report by Reuters, the “leading contenders” were already dead (one for sure at least) and the leader allegedly dead was very alive. Indeed mentions "skepticism"pic.twitter.com/tnM6V63qbK
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Iraqi intelligence declared Abu Yahya al Iraqi dead after an airstrike in April 2017 near al Qaim. Not true – againpic.twitter.com/AuuGCFv1FV
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US State Department designated Abu Yahya al Iraqi Special Designated Global Terrorist on August 17, 2017 – one year after his death in a US targeted airstrike. Cautionary tale about the known and the unknown in this fieldhttps://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2017/08/273499.htm …
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The bio says Abu Yahya al Iraqi died in the same targeted airstrike that killed Umar al Shishani near Shirqat south of Mosul in July 2016. That passage wipes many past assumptions about him
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So, Baghdadi in 2011-2012 moved a lot of important people from Iraq to Northern Syria. Adnani and Haji Bakr as top commanders of Nusra, Abu Ali al Anbari as his delegate, Abu Ayman and Abu Yahya were both Iraqi guys . Syria wasn’t an “expansion”, was a new home for the group
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A note about the OpSec of the Islamic State in 2012-2014: I followed all the news about Idlib in those years – especially when related to the Islamic State – it was (it is) a large and important area of operations and the name of Abu Yahya al Iraqi never came up
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Left to right, between late 2012 and January 2014. Wali of Latakia: Abu Ayman al Iraqi. Of Idlib: Abu Yahya al Iraqi. Of Aleppo: Abu Atheer al Absi. Of Raqqa: Abu Loqman. Of Hasaka: Abu Usama al Iraqi. Three ex Iraqi detainees and two ex Syrian detaineespic.twitter.com/FwJCVW5fql
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