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MENA_Conflict's profile
MENA_Conflict
MENA_Conflict
MENA_Conflict
@MENA_Conflict

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MENA_Conflict

@MENA_Conflict

Weapons ID and Open-Source Conflict Analysis. Wu-Tang Aficionado. Former infantry Marine.

Joined October 2014

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    MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

    Let's talk about MLRS and saturation bombing. I'm particularly disappointed in my country's handling of the operations to take Raqqa (much more so than Mosul) with regards to how much civilian suffering occurred in the hunt to root out ISIS. There are arguments to be made for

    11:25 AM - 15 Feb 2019
    • 35 Retweets
    • 120 Likes
    • Ali O Jakub Dudzik James Pugh Egodeaf Fares_Alyafei Fire detector Zack McGuinness Jake Larry Attree
    9 replies 35 retweets 120 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        the difficulty of fighting an opponent like ISIS without risking friendly (military) lives on the ground and I'm no unsympathetic to them. There is no war that leaves civilians completely untouched. And my attitude that we should up our stomach for losing our own service members

        3 replies 1 retweet 34 likes
        Show this thread
      3. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        in the pursuit of avoiding CIVCAS doesn't match national attitudes. And I can't change that. So we can set aside the whatabouting of "But the US bombed the hell out of Raqqa" because I probably agree with you, we should have found a way to do it with less civilian suffering, even

        1 reply 0 retweets 24 likes
        Show this thread
      4. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        if that meant higher casualties for us. So let's talk Grads, 107s, IRAMs and area bombing, and why it's horrific. The very concept of area saturation is to so densely fill a given area with explosive effects that the enemy cannot find safe harbor there. On the battlefield, the US

        1 reply 0 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      5. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        has opted for a more precision technique that favors expensive guided munitions like the HIMARS or guided aerial munitions, or smaller numbers of highly trained artillery and mortar crews while the Russians, and their friends (namely the Syrian military in this context) continue

        1 reply 0 retweets 21 likes
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      6. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        to mass firepower via towed and driven multiple launch rocket systems like the Grad or Type 63 and area bombardment with IRAMs, mortars, artillery, and gravity bombs. It's not that accuracy *cannot* be achieved with some of those systems (namely tube artillery and to a lesser

        1 reply 0 retweets 21 likes
        Show this thread
      7. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        extent gravity bombs), it's that it isn't the primary objective. With an (often) lower priority on hyper accurate strikes, the Syrian/Russian emphasis in the kinetic space is to so thoroughly inundate the area an enemy, or his support (to include civilian pop. and infrastructure)

        1 reply 0 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      8. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        that they cannot sustain life. In this context, the highly expensive US methodology is inefficient, requires intensive reconnaissance and surveillance, clear and thorough communication between observers to gun lines, and doesn't produce the volume of fire that is needed to

        1 reply 0 retweets 24 likes
        Show this thread
      9. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        simply wipe a grid square off the map. And it requires a lot more training and coordination. So what is a third world dictator to do if he can't afford/manage either the systems necessary or the training required to target the actual bad guys instead of just the area they are

        1 reply 0 retweets 21 likes
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      10. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        expected to be in? Area saturation fires. For the role, the massed fires of 20 and 40 barrel rocket launcher are ideal. You aren't aiming to hit a single potential rally point or defensive structure. You're aiming to obliterate everything within a give 1000m x 1000m (or however

        1 reply 0 retweets 23 likes
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      11. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        large) square. Precisely aimed howitzers, GPS guided rockets, laser guided missiles and bombs all require specific targets to hit. You don't need any of that if you've accepted "everything in this given zone can be destroyed". The end result is highly demanding on munition

        1 reply 0 retweets 18 likes
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      12. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        stockpiles, and means the area you're trying to recapture will be absolutely destroyed when you get there. But if you consider everyone and everything forward of your front line to be hostile, be they man, woman, or child, who cares? I understand the tactic, while finding it

        1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
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      13. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        appalling. But what I can't fathom, are the people watching such behavior and nodding approvingly as though such behavior is to be lauded because "terrorism" or whatever your rationale is. Seizing land from opponents of the state, be it ISIS, Syrian rebels, or (and you know it's

        1 reply 1 retweet 30 likes
        Show this thread
      14. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        coming) Kurdish YPG/SDF, is no easy task for the Syrian gov, even if they were a competent military force. But at what price is "victory" if all that's left are burnt and crumbling shells of towns, with a large portion of the infrastructure gone, and civilians dead. With all the

        2 replies 2 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      15. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        technological might the Russian military can bring to bear, it is still the volleys of rockets, rain of incendiaries and cluster munitions, and nonstop artillery bombardment of populated areas that enables each advance. When the dust settles and the last coals of Idlib have gone

        1 reply 1 retweet 23 likes
        Show this thread
      16. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        cold, it will not be the superior fighting ability of the SAA that wins the day. It will be the burnt out husks of villages and cities, and the piles of bones of their inhabitants, that sapped the will to fight. Before you cheer on the next clearing of *wherever* in Syria, look

        2 replies 4 retweets 37 likes
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      17. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15

        at the tools being used to do it, and ask yourself how worth it is it to be able to raise a flag, if your flag flies over a kingdom of rubble. No real endstate here, just saddened by the cheering of slaughter I keep seeing on twitter dot com End.

        6 replies 6 retweets 72 likes
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      18. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Anonymous Sooner (blue check)‏ @AnonymousSooner Feb 15
        Replying to @MENA_Conflict

        Speaking as someone who actually saw what was going on in one of the cities mentioned, and who’s best friends were the lives you feel should be put more at risk. I can say that your opinion about what happened in a particular city is not at all accurate.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15
        Replying to @AnonymousSooner

        They're my friends too. And some of my close friends were lost because of ROEs on my last deployment. ROEs that saved a lot of civilian lives, but came at a cost. The US methodology for Raqqa was not indiscriminately nor did I say it was. Buy it was not discriminite *enough*

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. tgnlnv‏ @tgnlnv Feb 15
        Replying to @MENA_Conflict @AnonymousSooner

        Leveling 85% of Raqqah is not discriminate and amounts to a war crime due to the thousands of dead civilians still buried under the rubble. Ironically, all that bombing did was impede the advance by filling the streets with rubble and providing more protection to IS Fighters.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. tgnlnv‏ @tgnlnv Feb 15
        Replying to @tgnlnv @MENA_Conflict @AnonymousSooner

        Say what you will about TSK/FSA's parallel operations in Syria, but we took our areas quicker, with minimum of 80% intact, suffered fewer losses, advanced faster, and destroyed a larger ISIS force which we fought tooth and nail. The SDF fell apart after round 1.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Anonymous Sooner (blue check)‏ @AnonymousSooner Feb 15
        Replying to @tgnlnv @MENA_Conflict

        I’m sorry TSK suffered fewer losses? That’s laughable. Turkey has lost more tanks than the US lost lives.... Along with the fact that Turkey has yet to launch any anti ISIS operations that haven’t been fully supported by US fire support. HIMARS included...

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. MENA_Conflict‏ @MENA_Conflict Feb 15
        Replying to @AnonymousSooner @tgnlnv

        Yeah... Tgnlnv, you're not remembering the same fight.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      8. End of conversation

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