Hassan HassanVerified account

@hxhassan

Contributing writer, . NYT Bestselling Author . Senior Fellow, . Email: hhassan@timep.org

District of Columbia, USA
theatlantic.com/author/hassan-…
Joined March 2009
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Feb 15

    Sunni jihadism was long characterized by three pillars, namely transnationalism, takfir & suicide bombing. My new article for identifies intriguing trends on all three fronts:

    13 replies 160 retweets 271 likes
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  2. 6 hours ago

    What happens when the US-backed forces don’t have American air cover...

    6 replies 31 retweets 104 likes
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  3. 6 hours ago

    With such dynamics in mind, it’s fairly easy to foresee what’s coming. This next phase of Sunni jihadism requires deeper engagement, but happens to come at a time when the US is leaving & allies are adding to the mess. So the future is bright for jihadis:

    8 retweets 4 likes
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  4. 6 hours ago

    .. their ideology is shaped by their memory of the Syrian insurgency (many of the commanders, members or ideologues were active in 70s or are relatives of those who were, and their memory is shaped by the events & the environment, not by the time they spent elsewhere in between.)

    1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
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  5. 6 hours ago

    I mean: a jihadi group that was once involved in an insurgency that preceded al-Qaeda of the 1990s, then that group is more likely to revert to those roots. Nusra is an example of the trend above, because it with other groups are direct heirs of the 70s-80s Syrian insurgency.

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  6. 6 hours ago

    This is in fact an interesting factor in determining & predicting which groups are likely to do away with al-Qaeda bin Ladenism. If the group in question had old local roots in the environment it’s operating, it’s likely to do its own thing. 1/2

    1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
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  7. 6 hours ago

    .. this is especially the case in light of rivalry with ISIS. They need al-Qaeda (more the ideology, less the organization) as a jihadi reference & guiding principle. That’ll change with time; ISIS had developed such a separate brand by the time it declared war on AQ in 2014.

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  8. 6 hours ago

    A major challenge for jihadi groups linked to al-Qaeda is they haven’t yet developed their independent brands to operate as separate/independent jihadi groups. They still need to revolve in al-Qaeda’s orbit in a way, or at least not to go against it full on. Nusra is an example..

    2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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  9. 6 hours ago

    Historians will look at this period in time as the end of bin Ladenism, turning away from transnational jihad into a local context. Indeed, even as ISIS was ‘global’, the group’s strategy/operations have always been localized. It won’t need to re-learn it.

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  10. 6 hours ago

    That’ll be a strategic & long-term change, and future ISIS will stabilize along those lines. That won’t be temporary and post-defeat interim change. So the trends I explain in my new article will apply to ISIS too, but much less than they apply to others:

    2 replies 5 retweets 7 likes
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  11. 6 hours ago

    After ISIS’s loss of its core caliphate in Iraq & Syria, my best guess about its future is a “happy medium” between ISIS in 2014 (conquering Rome etc) & ISIS before 2011 (Iraq-focused). In other words, it‘ll be less global but more focused on building & growing regional reach..

    1 reply 4 retweets 8 likes
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  12. 7 hours ago

    Egypt thwarts bomb attack on Cairo security forces - ministry

    2 replies 7 retweets 7 likes
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  13. 12 hours ago

    This is like saying “takbeer” and everyone is silent!

    0:36
    <PAUSE FOR APPLAUSE>
    3 replies 5 retweets 58 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    16 hours ago

    . on the turn towards localism by Sunni jihadist groups, which, he argues, follows a similar development among Shia militants

    4 replies 8 retweets 10 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    17 hours ago

    Khomeini'ist (Shia) jihadism led the way, capturing a state, suicide bombings, global focus—and then changed course, maintaining the global perspective while rooting itself locally. Sunni jihadism seems to be following this arc. for .

    2 replies 11 retweets 17 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Feb 15

    An important argument from ⁦⁩. A real shift in CT thinking is long overdue.

    4 replies 33 retweets 51 likes
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  17. Feb 15

    “All of us have suffered from letting the caliphate be created. Now it is destroyed. What follows?” Graham said. “The post-caliphate strategy should be different than the fight to destroy the caliphate.”

    5 replies 13 retweets 17 likes
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  18. Feb 15

    Interesting: “This approach, still in the discussion stage, would allow Trump to claim he is delivering on his pledge to withdraw troops from Syria, without creating a vacuum in the northeast that would be exploited by Turkey, Iran, Russia and the Syrian regime.”

    How the U.S. might stay in Syria, and leave at the same time - The Washington Post
    1 reply 12 retweets 12 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Feb 15

    Shorter jihadists: Think global, act local

    2 replies 5 retweets 11 likes
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  20. Feb 15

    Anti-Semitism has spread through the Islamic world like a cancer

    11 replies 42 retweets 46 likes
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  21. Feb 15

    ترجمة للمقال:

    "لن يركز الجهاديون الجدد على تصدير العنف إلى الغرب، بل على…
    4 likes
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