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hidetomitanaka's profile
田中秀臣
田中秀臣
田中秀臣
@hidetomitanaka

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田中秀臣

@hidetomitanaka

経済学者。仕事のご連絡は、 reflation2008@mail.goo.ne.jp でお送りください。ラジオ:文化放送「おはよう寺ちゃん活動中」出演、ネット連載:iRONNA、Newsweek日本版、Biz Journal、Real Sound等。ここでの発言は個人的なもので、所属する機関とは関係は一切ありません。

d.hatena.ne.jp/tanakahidetomi/
Joined November 2009

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    田中秀臣‏ @hidetomitanaka 16 Jul 2016

    ちなみに実質賃金の低下が雇用コストの低下をもたらしそれが失業率の低下をもたらす、というときの「実質賃金の低下」は追加的な(=限界的)な雇用についてのものだということに注意。そして毎月勤労調査などの実質賃金は、職種・産業別問わずの平均賃金を消費者物価指数総合で割ったもので相違あり。

    9:13 AM - 16 Jul 2016
    • 33 Retweets
    • 28 Likes
    • okada takuya 樫原辰郎 幻右京@パピ箱推し← 漂流老人 akio fujii 犬麻呂 とととと(寒に帷子 土用に布子) ながくる はいくま@FX
    1 reply 33 retweets 28 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. 田中秀臣‏ @hidetomitanaka 16 Jul 2016
        Replying to @hidetomitanaka

        この両者の違いをおさえておくのは、後者の統計上の実質賃金の動向を理解するうえで役立つ。前者の観点からの実質賃金低下とは、追加的な雇用で発生するから、具体的なイメージでは雇用市場のアウトサイダー(新卒者、再雇用を望む高齢者、求職意欲喪失者、パート労働を希望する人たち)で考えること。

        1 reply 21 retweets 13 likes
      3. 田中秀臣‏ @hidetomitanaka 16 Jul 2016
        Replying to @hidetomitanaka

        この雇用市場のアウトサイダーたちの追加的な雇用コストが切り下がっているので雇用者数は増加するし、パート労働、高齢者の雇用も増加する(=トリクルダウンではなくボトムアップ型雇用増加!)。もちろん失業率は低下、有効求人倍率は上昇する。ボトムアップ型雇用の大幅増加がアベノミクスの特徴。

        1 reply 23 retweets 17 likes
      4. 田中秀臣‏ @hidetomitanaka 16 Jul 2016
        Replying to @hidetomitanaka

        ボトムアップ型の追加雇用増も貢献が大きいので、(毎月勤労統計調査のデータからみると)平均賃金は伸びずに、物価水準が増加すると実質賃金は低下する(ことがある)。これだけみるとあたかもワークシェアリングが起きてるかのようにみえるが、その認識も正しくはない。それを示したのが原田図表等。

        0 replies 21 retweets 15 likes
      5. End of conversation

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