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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Jan 15

    New: My interview with Iran's about Salafi-jihadist militancy, sectarianism, and discriminating counterterrorism policy.

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  3. Retweeted

    : The tense situation around the Idlib de-escalation zone persists. Militants of the al-Nusra alliance Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham are not only attacking nearby towns daily but also actively building up forces near the contact line

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  4. 6 hours ago

    Among the takeaways from Abu Hummam al-Shami and Sami al-Oreidi’s latest message: HTS has been quarantining their weapons and property, and – if they’re appealing publicly like this, including to jihadist theorists globally – they’re speaking from a position of real weakness.

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  5. Retweeted
    17 hours ago

    UN: A joint UN-SARC convoy is planned to set off for Rukban on February 5 and remain in the camp for 'at least a week' to distribute aid and carry out vaccinations. More than 100 trucks of relief supplies will include 'winterization support'

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  6. 7 hours ago

    Tip for armed groups: Your diplomatic interlocutors notice and appreciate it when you have a diligent notetaker on hand – as the Taliban apparently does – and when it’s clear from subsequent meetings that readouts have been circulated internally.

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  7. Retweeted

    - National Security Council: Turkey to maintain its stance on preserving current status in Idlib; implementing Manbij road map, deals east of Euphrates

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  8. Retweeted
    Jan 30

    Islamic State supporter channel 'Al Muhajireen' warns IS fighters in Idlib to travel in groups due to HTS' and Hurras al Deen's arrest campaigns

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  9. Jan 29

    . documents detention and torture by HTS: Doubles as an insight into the group's security apparatus and judicial system.

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  10. Jan 29

    HTS issues annoyed response to and non-specific denial of Yeni Safak report (based on a Zinki official and a "senior Syrian opposition source") saying HTS will be dissolved into the Turkish-backed "National Army" and all foreigners will exit Idlib:

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  11. Jan 29

    . colleagues , and on what's come out of talks between the U.S. and the Taliban in Doha, and what so far hasn't:

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  12. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    Smart podcast guests speculate about socialism in America and the contours of a "progressive international" as democratic primaries loom

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  13. Jan 29

    Worth reading from : On the threat China faces from Uighur and Uighur-sympathetic Islamist militancy, but, in parallel, how China's domestic handling of Xinjiang complicates its efforts to secure international security cooperation:

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  14. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    And don’t forget that Assad has an immense capacity to act as a spoiler. In the case of the northeast it is in his direct interest to prevent any Turkish control because once Turkish buffer is established Ankara will have zero interest to give it up

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  15. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    My guess is that Putin significantly suppressed Erdogan’s appetite in the northeast, but did not fully rule out a military op which, if it happens (contained, possibly air strikes, but not buffer) will force the Kurds to accept Assad’s rule

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  16. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    Paper claims that Putin agreed to a 5km buffer (under Adana agreement’s Annex 4) for Turkey but the principled position that Damascus should take over the border hasn’t changed, in fact it became even more relevant now that Turkey may establish control over entire northern border

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  17. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    I have a different sense having spoken to people in Moscow and Istanbul over the past few days. There are too many moving parts at the moment, the issue of Idlib is now linked to the issue of the northeast, massive civilian casualties in idlib are still the biggest problem

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  18. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    Citing sources in the government Russian media says that a Syrian army op in Idlib is a done deal. The paper says that tensions between Russian- and Iran-backed forces in Hama are indicative of changing conditions in the region ahead of the op

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  19. Retweeted
    Jan 29

    Almost 130 French jihadists to be repatriated from Syria in the coming weeks, interior minister says. Would make France the first western country to accept nationals back en masse for prosecution.

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  20. Jan 29

    . source backs up rumors and says Watad Petrol is shipping propane imported from Turkey into areas of Syrian government control via the HTS-controlled al-Iss and Morek crossings, although Watad denies:

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  21. Jan 29
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