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  1. 2 hours ago

    Side-switchers far more frequently came from the other side: initially sceptical towards uprising, then supportive because of moral shock re. state repression + assessment of regime weakness

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  2. 2 hours ago

    Conversely, popular support for the revolution didn't peak during peaceful phase (far from that) but when armed opposition seemed on the verge of winning in summer 2012

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  3. 2 hours ago

    Same cliches all over again. Very few people decided to side with the regime because they were "terrified by Salafist rebels". Most made their mind in the early days of the uprising, before militarization.

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  4. Retweeted
    Jan 21

    1. is targeting further cronies of the regime to prevent business with al-Cham Holding affiliated reconstruction efforts on basis of expropriation policy against dissidents & refugees. Its great to see this policy outcome, as a result of highlighting the reality of Law 10

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  5. Retweeted
    Jan 19

    Between 2017-18, pro-Assad media repeatedly and unwittingly documented instances of collaboration between the regime and ISIS. Piece in the

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  6. 23 hours ago

    "Implacable foe" is an overstatement. Just look at UAE-Iran trade relations

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  7. Jan 21

    Urban planning as collective punishment + demographic engineering. Helping to fund this would be criminal

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  8. Retweeted
    Jan 18

    Syria, 2011 and 2019. Hope is gone. By Fadi Zyada

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  9. Retweeted
    Jan 17

    Remarkable quote👇. What the Iranian official acknowledges & analysts often overlook is that the US has leverage against Iran in Syria, because Iran’s gains there could be easily reversed if they mess with the US (The reverse of the dynamics back when the US was in Iraq)!

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  10. Jan 17

    They never stood a chance. Syria is too small & regime is too weak to allow for persistance of paramilitary forces of dubious loyalty.

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  11. Jan 15
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  12. Retweeted
    Jan 13

    Dans sa lettre, Macron fait un double hors sujet, en faisant l’impasse sur l’enjeu central, à savoir une économie toujours plus inégalitaire, et en pivotant vers un débat toxique sur l’immigration que les gilets jaunes ont dans l’ensemble choisi d’éviter

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  13. Jan 11

    I've been closely following MENA politics for two decades, but I don't remember that the words of an American leader ever had that effect

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  14. Jan 11

    I keep reading here and there that in last September's Sochi agreement, Turkey agreed to "remove HTS from Idlib". Fact check: it didn't agree to that

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  15. Retweeted
    Jan 9

    There can be no segmentation of fundamental freedoms – the future for Christians and other demographic minorities of religious groups can be only safeguarded if all parts of populations in the region enjoy fundamental rights.

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  16. Retweeted
    Jan 7

    The number of European cases being developed against Assad regime perpetrators of war crimes is growing. A significant trend that, if indictments are forthcoming, will have serious consequences in forestalling normalization of a murderous regime.

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  17. Jan 8

    When did Iran help building strong central governments? IRGC affiliates strive on weak state institutions from Lebanon to Iraq

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  18. Retweeted
    14 Dec 2018

    Syria's Civil War: Government Victory or Frozen Conflict? My new 79-page report for looks at the evolution of the conflict, all major internal and foreign actors, and five key questions that will determine Syria's future. Download it here:

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  19. Retweeted
    Jan 8
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  20. Jan 6

    From right to left it's become common to measure "inclusiveness" of ME regimes based on toleration of ethno-religious diversity, rather than political pluralism. By that standard the USSR was extremely "inclusive", as is the single-party Rojava administration in Syria

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