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  1. Pinned Tweet

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. Do you think is misunderstood & the victim of a global conspiracy? Do you accuse of imperialist aggression & seek to defend sectarian nationalism? Then this is your candidate for President in 2020: . Oh, and Steve Bannon "loves" her too!

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  3. New air strikes in tonight. They reportedly targeted a -linked facility in/near the 91st Brigade (part of the SAA's 1st Division) Base in al-Kiswah, 22km south of .

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  4. Retweeted
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  5. Apparently some within are revisiting the prospect of "dissolving" under the Salvation Govt's banner, alongside "friendly" [jihadi] groups & other [mainstream] factions recently weakened/defeated in 's NW. That'd be a new proposal to , to forestall escalation.

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  6. A few days ago, broke up a kidnap-for-ransom group, composed of fighters outside (one of their captives escaped, revealing their location). Several days later, raided a building outside , freeing a British aid worker. Are the 2 cases linked?

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  7. spokesman embraces 's description of almost word-for-word. Amid ongoing dialogue with vis-a-vis the northeast, it's intriguing to see such synthesis emerging in the northwest too. (Or perhaps I'm over-reading things...)

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  8. (3) More broadly, the U.S has announced a withdrawal from . Only . And yet the consequence, the authors argue, will be "conditions amenable to terrorism’s resurgence" [in] ", Syria, , , , , & ." That's a stretch...

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  9. (2) The piece also cites a former hostage as claiming he witnessed AQ plotting external attacks on the West while in detention. I mean, seriously? Any credible CT practitioner/expert would take such a claim with a huge grain of salt. In front of a hostage??

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  10. (1) The piece claims (paraphrasing): - Most of the 40,000 foreign fighters who went to - are still "on the loose." -- 10K killed -- 7.5K went home -- 6K went to How on earth has that been measured, particularly (1) and (3)?

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  11. Retweeted
    21 hours ago

    For a look at the key issues and events in the year ahead, check out the 2019 preview podcast with , , , , , and Bob Pearson.

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  12. . on : "There was nothing new & it was offensive… That they think anyone still wants to hear about ’s '09 speech — get over it.” "A lot of empty rhetoric… how wonderful the US is & it never occupied anybody. So what!"

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  13. This should come as a surprise to nobody; has been an earlier outlier on for years - though this formal shift will likely move slowly. While the sands *are* slowly moving in , much of the core establishment still remains committed to resisting normalization.

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  14. As reported, the U.S. withdrawal from has begun, beginning with at least 2 movements of equipment & logistics support (I'm told). While there's been a denial of any troop withdrawal [until now], don't discount the possibility that contractor evacuations may have begun.

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  15. Retweeted
    Jan 4

    Mergers and assassinations as Tripoli remains under militia control | New piece by

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  16. Retweeted
    Jan 10
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  17. Jan 10

    As I understand it, senior / official Ilham Ahmed was meant to visit this week for urgent talks post- withdrawal announcement. I'm told that trip has now been cancelled. Read into that what you may...

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  18. Jan 10

    In , US officials gave a "non-paper" to , composed of x5 principals: 1. "Deliberate, orderly withdrawal from " 2. Defeat remnants 3. Negotiate - deal 4. Pursue withdrawal & political solution 5. No FTF release

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  19. Retweeted
    Jan 4

    Pleased to announce I am joining the 's counter-terrorism program as a non-resident fellow, with a particular focus on !

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  20. Retweeted
    Jan 8

    Briefing: Counterterrorism and regional security in 2019 | Analysis by

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