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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. . in : - "If we leave, this place'll go to shit in a year… will fall apart very quickly… This is the center of gravity… if we’re driven out, every jihadist in the world will be on steroids… a second 9/11 coming our way.”

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  3. Retweeted

    Amid yesterday's big news, I had a new article published by , looking at another key emerging trend in : - "The U.S.-EU Divergence on 's Future"

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  4. In a new piece, Sam Heller () says the U.S. should encourage a deal that: - Restores (i.e. ) state sovereignty to the NE - Moves forces to the border, w. 's backing, - Allows for a degree of Kurdish self-rule

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  5. 12 civilians were killed in US strikes in yesterday, amid intense fighting w. . Close attention should be paid to civilian tolls in the coming wks. As the US draws down its campaign, air assets will come under heavy pressure to 'up the ante.'

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  6. Two years ago, as & loomed over , I co-wrote something w. 's Gen. Allen in the , calling for the US to "act more assertively in ." I stand-by everything we wrote - but our warnings were not heeded.

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  7. . President & former C- chief Gen. Allen, to : - A precipitous departure could be a military disaster in … turning our leverage over to & , it will empower … threatens , undercuts our allies.

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  8. You did indeed preside over *huge* damage to ... and those forced to live under their rule. And even better, , you just gifted them something so truly extraordinary that they could only attribute it being God-given: "A full U.S. withdrawal from ."

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  9. The bizarre "America First" isolationism in pieces like this is baffling & entirely detached from the complex realities of C21st instability, particularly in the . Not to mention the countless factual inaccuracies. Oh & the author recently visited territories.

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  10. Open question: - Now that it's leaving, will the U.S. be required to take back all the weaponry it "lent" the / in recent years? That was the deal made with (see here: ) but doing so would *truly* leave the SDF open to the fire.

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  11. Former For. Minister : - "This sudden change in policy is worrying… to all US allies in the region… it's a question of trust. This will cause many govts to rethink their alliances w. a superpower that can throw them under the bus."

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  12. Fox & Friends host tells that "just re-founded " by announcing a premature withdrawal from . then reveals her negligible knowledge of the issue, by delinking from "a civil war in the ."

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  13. Laudable piece here by , looking at the admirable efforts of Amb. Jim Jeffrey - a "Never Trumper" - to reinvigorate policy, only to be ungraciously burned & betrayed by . Jim is/was the perfect man for the job.

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  14. : With very heavy fighting underway in the pocket today, amid an counter-offensive, spokesman has confirmed today that only 35% of the area has been captured from - markedly less than previously reported numbers.

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  15. The recently "defeated" is back in action today - launching a counter-offensive against the [for now] U.S.-backed using heavy weapons & multiple car bombs. U.S.-led coalition aircraft are in action. This fight is *far* from over, .

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  16. Excellent mapping by & the team, predicting in 6-12 months: - Substantial re-expansion of control in the east - assumes control of expanded northern buffer - squashed; defeated &/or incorporated by regime - cut in two

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  17. UK Minister of State for , with a pointed response to recent events & 's resignation: - "In a fragile region every action is a catalyst for another. If allies cannot be relied upon, others are sought to take their place."

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  18. In mid-17, saw something on Fox about that prompted him to issue an ominous order to the military. “It was incredibly wrongheaded, & pulled him back,” said . & on "fear mounting" post-:

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  19. Retweeted

    Given events in recent days (, sanctions, reports, resignation, impending govt shutdown), I think it’s safe to say that has become a threat to national security - internally & externally. He’s never looked more isolated either.

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  20. Retweeted
    15 hours ago

    This is the Raqqa the US will leave behind when it pulls out of Syria. A destroyed mess

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  21. Retweeted
    19 hours ago

    Make no mistake, Mattis didn’t just retire, he quit.

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