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Syria's Civil War: Government Victory or Frozen Conflict? My new 79-page report for
@FOIresearch looks at the evolution of the conflict, all major internal and foreign actors, and five key questions that will determine Syria's future. Download it here: https://www.foi.se/rapportsammanfattning?reportNo=FOI-R--4640--SE …pic.twitter.com/v4vhT3eWZjShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Aron Lund Retweeted
Fun lunch with Mike Pompeo cominghttps://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1075397797929775105 …
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This one-minute old article pondering the future of federalism in Syrian Kurdistan didn't age well.pic.twitter.com/fDFQ3dGNK1
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For an extended recap of all the flipping and the flopping in Syria policy under Trump, here you go:https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1068583936861896705?s=21 …
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If accurate—and unless it's just a threat to put pressure on the SDF, or on Turkey, or on I don't know whom—it's the third U.S. policy flip in less than a year. Whatever Trump ends up deciding, the consequences for Syria, and Syrians in the northeast especially, will be enormous.
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Yikes: "U.S. Military Preparing for a Full Withdrawal of Its Forces From Northeastern Syria" https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-military-preparing-for-a-full-withdrawal-of-its-forces-from-northeastern-syria-11545225641 … by
@DionNissenbaum via@hasavratShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Aron Lund Retweeted
By the time of the Marrakech conference, at least a dozen countries pulled out of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration. Our briefing on what you need to know: https://www.irinnews.org/analysis/2018/12/12/briefing-new-global-migration-pact?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=irinsocial&utm_campaign=irinupdates …pic.twitter.com/chIvgzpeTa
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Just read the thing now, or I will have to continue plugging it.https://twitter.com/aronlund/status/1073581080727470081 …
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Non-agreement agreement on the Syrian constitutional committee.http://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/181220181 …
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Utländska ingripanden fryser konflikten i Syrien -
@FOIresearch. https://www.foi.se/nyheter-och-press/nyheter/2018-12-17-utlandska-ingripanden-fryser-konflikten-i-syrien.html …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Aron Lund Retweeted
Aleppo Has Only Enough Reconstruction Funds to Rebuild 1% of the City. Syria's national budget for 2019 is less than Jordan's or Lebanon's at $8.9 billion. 1 billion is to be spent on “investment projects in liberated areas,” but they need $400 bilhttps://syrianobserver.com/EN/news/47388/aleppo-experience-a-shortfall-in-reconstruction-funds.html …
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Continued exegesis of the hagiography of Abu Ali al-Anbari, by
@ajaltamimi, who has also translated the whole darn thing into English.http://www.aymennjawad.org/21877/the-biography-of-abu-ali-al-anbari-full …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Panel on how to make accountability and stabilization aid work with the U.S. Syria strategy, ft.
@faysalitani,@GrahamBrookie,@SHeydemann,@tcwittes, and James Jeffrey, the U.S. special representative for Syria. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kaVdUxmyyto … Heydemann's report:https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/publications/reports/rethinking-stabilization-in-eastern-syria-toward-a-human-security-framework …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Eleven
@MiddleEastInst fellows look back at 2018, offering short pieces on Turkey, Yemen, Libya, Iran, jihadism, the GCC, Lebanon, and more.@Charles_Lister's bit on Syria seen below, with other contributions from@Paul_Salem,@GonulTol,@AlexVatanka, etc. https://www.mei.edu/publications/2018-year-review-conflicts-khashoggi-and-maximum-pressure …pic.twitter.com/2jo5zWVzVQThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Thick wads of data to digest in this
@MikeKnightsIraq piece on Iraq's insurgency. The pace of IS attacks suddenly fell in mid-2018, which may mean the group is even more crippled than 2009-2010 or, alternatively, made a strategic choice to conserve forces.https://ctc.usma.edu/islamic-state-inside-iraq-losing-power-preserving-strength …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Rare take:
@DavidAFrench says Trump's new Syria policy—staying in Syria to suppress IS and frustrate Iran—is very good, but also unconstitutional.http://nationalreview.com/2018/12/donald-trumps-syria-policy-is-strategically-wise-and-thoroughly-unconstitutional …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
The Syrian constitutional committee will be unveiled tomorrow:http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/amp/turkish-russian-iranian-ministers-to-meet-in-geneva-to-announce-syrian-charter-team-139792 …
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A Texas Elementary School Speech Pathologist Refused to Sign a Pro-Israel Oath, Now Mandatory in Many States — So She Lost Her Jobhttps://theintercept.com/2018/12/17/israel-texas-anti-bds-law/ …
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Syrian refugees in Lebanon are squeezed out by deteriorating economic conditions and political pressure tactics, but many can't return home, so they flee toward Cyprus and the EU. Excellent report on a terrible situation by
@Eric_Reidy.https://www.irinnews.org/news-feature/2018/12/11/Syria-refugees-Lebanon-Mediterranean-drowning-Europe-Middle-East-smuggling …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
What do we know about the state of the Syrian army in 2018, the role of local militias and paramilitary groups, strategies to ensure military cohesion, and the influence of Russia and Iran? One of the issues discussed in this new
@FOIresearch report: https://www.foi.se/rapportsammanfattning?reportNo=FOI-R--4640--SE …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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