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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. Meanwhile, a joint -- statement says the Constitutional Committee says it will meet in early-2019. So a clear - disagreement here. Credit to Staffan for sticking to his positions, but this weakens the UN (& "Geneva") yet further.

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  3. 1,000s of children have been abandoned & 100s are in prison w/o charge. - "We're holding children as young as 12 in cells with hard-core jihadi fighters," one intel official said. - "The camps are a time bomb... this will affect the whole world," another official warned.

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  4. BREAKING: [Outgoing] UN Envoy De Mistura says the Constitutional Committee has not [yet] been formed, after meetings in . "There is still an extra mile to go in this marathon effort," he said.

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  5. As IDPs slowly return home, those left in camps are those more clearly linked to . visited "Airstrip Camp" near (home to 40,000+ IDPs) in Aug 2018, which an INGO official described as a "concentration camp" run by "militias."

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  6. In the days & months after 's liberation from rule, 's security forces 'mirrored' the jihadi group's ultra-brutal behaviors. - Field executions, burnings to death, mass beheadings (incl. of minors), socialized public torture & filmed stabbings in the face, etc.

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  7. Between Oct-Dec 2017, West Civil Defense personnel recorded 10,000 civilian deaths, most buried under rubble caused by U.S-led airstrikes. Who knows how many more since... When presented with this, an gave an extraordinarily galling response, here:

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  8. The fight for was inordinately destructive, particularly in the Old City, where 10 million tons of rubble remain today. The U.S. relaxed air strike requirements in the Old City. = In March 2017, the U.S. dropped a 500lb bomb to kill 2 snipers... 105 civilians died.

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  9. A senior intel official told of systematic criminality by security forces, battlefield executions, murders in detention centers & coverups by the state. - "We’re deleting 1,000s of families from society. This is not just revenge on . This is revenge on Sunnis.”

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  10. The opening scenes of 's piece are a hard hitting insight into 's justice system & its self-defeating process of "judging" suspects. Judges & lawyers chat & exchange jokes as suspects (most badly tortured) have seconds to speak. Every session lasts 3-8 mins.

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  11. This is probably the most important article you could read on the war against & 's future in 2018 -- clue: it's not good. Incredibly important work by for . Read every word of this.

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  12. Fascinating little window into the efforts of x2 Chechen jihadis to mediate an imminent - war in in Nov 2013, by The below para is a particularly insightful look at the ideological flimsiness of some of 's extremists:

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  13. And now, has gone & translated the *whole* bio -- Aymenn says the U.S. invasion of in 2003 was the key trigger. - “The notion that was the real key figure behind the evolution of [] rather than is highly tenuous”

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  14. . has also commented within this debate, claiming that the new bio suggests that had only "limited [&] early interactions" with Anbari & that the timeline within doesn't align with the claim that 's nature was bred by .

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  15. .'s theory (above - based on a newly revealed biography) that 's & his turn to ultra-sectarianism in was heavily influenced by Abu Ali al-Anbari has opened a big debate. - says the bio does not bear that claim out:

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  16. "There’s a hierarchy for booty... TVs are for officers, the fridges & washing machines are for the middle ranks & the wood & wiring pulled out of people’s abandoned homes is for the lower ranks. It’s disgusting" - on "The Looting of "

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  17. Retweeted
    Dec 13

    Worth mentioning that 's granular research on Syria's Republican Guard is entirely based on open source information — Facebook profiles and pages, to be more specifically. Looking forward to reading it.

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  18. Retweeted
    Dec 14

    New: A secret letter recently obtained through an inside source sheds light on ISIS’s efforts to persuade an al-Qaeda affiliate to jump ship, abandon its allegiance to Ayman al-Zawahri, and join Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi’s ranks

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  19. "The localization of jihad" - My [brief] 2018 in Review thoughts on what the last 12 months has meant for the evolution of the jihadist threat, for the :

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  20. "A Decisive Year in " - My [brief] 2018 in Review thoughts on what the last 12 months meant for , for the .

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  21. Looking back at this & it seems increasingly likely to me that the arrival of 100 Peshmerga into territories in NE *is* one piece of a process of U.S.- negotiations, aimed at preventing a 3rd Turkish intervention. A NE Pesh role has been a long demand.

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