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NEW: “The Urgency of
#Idlib: The Impending#Assad Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in#Syria’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at#Idlib, for@WarOnTheRocks: https://warontherocks.com/2018/08/the-urgency-of-idlib-the-impending-regime-offensive-and-the-delicate-balance-in-syrias-northwest/ …pic.twitter.com/VYr8Vmv24MShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
And now,
@ajaltamimi has gone & translated the *whole* bio -- Aymenn says the U.S. invasion of#Iraq in 2003 was the key trigger. - “The notion that#Anbari was the real key figure behind the evolution of [#ISIS] rather than#Zarqawi is highly tenuous” http://www.aymennjawad.org/21877/the-biography-of-abu-ali-al-anbari-full …pic.twitter.com/xhuxh8sTsAShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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@AbuJamajem has also commented within this debate, claiming that the new bio suggests that#Zarqawi had only "limited [&] early interactions" with Anbari & that the timeline within doesn't align with the claim that#AQI's nature was bred by#Anbari.https://twitter.com/AbuJamajem/status/1071695843097538563 …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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@hxhassan's theory (above - based on a newly revealed biography) that#AQI's#Zarqawi & his turn to ultra-sectarianism in#Iraq was heavily influenced by Abu Ali al-Anbari has opened a big debate. -@colebunzel says the bio does not bear that claim out: http://www.jihadica.com/understating-zarqawi/ …pic.twitter.com/lD1xvyd6QkShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
"There’s a hierarchy for booty... TVs are for officers, the fridges & washing machines are for the middle ranks & the wood & wiring pulled out of people’s abandoned homes is for the lower ranks. It’s disgusting" -
@dianadarke on "The Looting of#Aleppo" https://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/syria-s-newest-battle-we-re-living-medieval-times-1350119160 …pic.twitter.com/vbXC9Dlrj2Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Charles Lister Retweeted
Worth mentioning that
@GregoryPWaters's granular research on Syria's Republican Guard is entirely based on open source information — Facebook profiles and pages, to be more specifically. Looking forward to reading it.#OSINThttps://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1073230943618588672 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Charles Lister Retweeted
New: A secret letter recently obtained through an inside source sheds light on ISIS’s efforts to persuade an al-Qaeda affiliate to jump ship, abandon its allegiance to Ayman al-Zawahri, and join Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi’s ranks https://buff.ly/2S2O0O4 pic.twitter.com/6OahI6OKnU
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"The localization of jihad" - My [brief] 2018 in Review thoughts on what the last 12 months has meant for the evolution of the jihadist threat, for the
@MiddleEastInst:pic.twitter.com/25duXREZBHShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
"A Decisive Year in
#Syria" - My [brief] 2018 in Review thoughts on what the last 12 months meant for#Syria, for the@MiddleEastInst.pic.twitter.com/TofhrDtVkfShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Looking back at this & it seems increasingly likely to me that the arrival of 100 Peshmerga into
#SDF territories in NE#Syria *is* one piece of a process of U.S.-#Turkey negotiations, aimed at preventing a 3rd Turkish intervention. A NE Pesh role has been a long#Ankara demand.https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1074741712399056896 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
After being asked about tensions with
#Turkey vis-a-vis the#SDF in the northeast, Amb. Jeffrey says the deployment overnight of 100#Syria Peshmerga to NE#Syria was “done with our understanding and as one of several arrangements” being undertaken. Implies new deals underway?pic.twitter.com/UgnOQScZsbShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
When asked what the future looks like for the US relationship w the
#PYD/#SDF in#Syria, Amb. Jeffrey stresses that the relationship is objective/driven (counter-#ISIS) and thus “tactical.” The “eventual goal” is to allow the SDF to become part of the fabric of#Syria’s society.pic.twitter.com/aqI15L9lxCShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
To a question from
@DionNissenbaum on rising tensions with#Turkey, Amb. Jeffrey says “I believe the situation has calmed a bit,” and “we’re very focused on securing#Turkey’s concerns and completing the fight against#ISIS... I understand#Turkey’s concerns...”pic.twitter.com/xQDBvdWBuhShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Amb. Jeffrey says the formation of a Constitutional Committee would have an immediate effect of “politicizing & diplomatizing the conflict in
#Syria.” It’ll help sustain existing ceasefires &/or stability, but would also open 2254 texts for a “comprehensive national ceasefire.”pic.twitter.com/br5YXEwbIRShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Amb. Jeffrey says “we’re very close to a potential breakthrough or breakdown” on the UN-led attempt to negotiate the formation of a
#Syria Constitutional Committee. “We believe there is a chance we’ll see a breakthrough.” (Rumors today that a tentative deal has been reached)pic.twitter.com/K3OmP5x82rShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Amb. Jeffrey adds that despite this Great Power conflict status,
#Syria is in a period of rare, relative stability - unlike anything seen in 7+ years. That, he says, is what the#Trump admin views as “a brief window of opportunity” to revitalize a political process.pic.twitter.com/S6mXTHJxJrShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
In speech at
@AtlanticCouncil, US#Syria Envoy Amb. Jeffrey says the crisis has evolved into “a Great Power conflict.” x5 great powers have military presence in#Syria, each pursuing legitimate national security interests. He says the#Trump admin views#Syria thru this lens.pic.twitter.com/XlThrDmIPUShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo - Charles Lister RetweetedThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Very important landscape by
@SyriaDirect - providing a valuable insight into post-conflict southern#Syria. - "‘Like a big prison’: Months into reconciliation, invisible borders still divide Syria’s southwest" https://syriadirect.org/news/%e2%80%98like-a-big-prison%e2%80%99-after-months-of-life-under-reconciliation-invisible-borders-still-divide-syria%e2%80%99s-southwest/#.XBfDjxD1T54.twitter …pic.twitter.com/A345ctiBBIThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
This is an interesting threat - it's been a close U.S.-
#PYD/#YPG relationship that has blocked#PKK/#TAK bombings in urban areas of#Turkey (acc. to multiple U.S. officials). A resumption of such attacks would indicate a decline un U.S. leverage vis-a-vis#YPG vis-a-vis#PKK.https://twitter.com/AbuJamajem/status/1074229832165265408 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
This car bomb attack was promptly claimed by the "Wrath of Olive" operations room - a resistance unit launched by the
#YPG after the loss of#Afrin. At least 50% of the casualties - 8 killed & 15+ wounded - hailed from#Afrin.https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1074677197393313794 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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