Sam Heller

@AbuJamajem

Senior Analyst, Non-State Armed Groups, . Looking at jihadism, one eye still on Syria. Jamajem means 🏴‍☠️. Contact:

Beirut, Lebanon
crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/peo…
Joined September 2011
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    3 hours ago

    My latest for : Salafi-jihadism is a specific thing, and one that has changed dramatically in recent years. Raising alarms over hundreds of thousands of dubiously defined "jihadists" will only yield ill-considered and counterproductive policy.

    2 replies 30 retweets 57 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    NEW Commentary | Rightsizing the Transnational Jihadist Threat

    8 retweets 9 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    will start an operation east of the Euphrates river in northern in a “few days", Erdogan said. “We will start the operation to clear the east of the Euphrates from separatist terrorists in a few days. Our target is never U.S. soldiers."

    5 retweets 4 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    Syria still gets most of the coverage. The media are rediscovering the war in Yemen. But spare a thought for the tens of thousands of people who died this year in America's longest war. (3/3)

    10 retweets 12 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    The Iraq war killed at least 5,800 people this year; Syria at least 25,800; Yemen at least 28,800; and Afghanistan at least 44,600. We can argue about the way these numbers are collected, but it's not a close call. (2/3)

    4 replies 26 retweets 18 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    Journalists writing end-of-year reviews should visit and download the data. Methodology a bit different from but the trend will look the same: Afghanistan emerged as the biggest war in the world in 2018. (1/3)

    1 reply 17 retweets 19 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    Comprehensive Russian MoD briefing on "normalization" of life inside Syria, another call for refugee return. Main message: "Syrians are returning to their homes and see with their own eyes: the war is over, revival of the country is well under way."

    1 reply 5 retweets 5 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    10 hours ago

    Good reminder that Syria's neighbors (Lebanon above all) are keen to extract benefits from normalization, but will also start to feel downsides--competition from Syrian goods, eventual decline in aid budgets, potential for capital to move into stabilized areas of Syria...

    Jordanian Agriculture Ministry bans import of "protected" products from Syria that are "available in surplus quantities" inside Jordan: citrus, olive oil, tomato, cucumber. Still allows import of grapes, apples, carrots.
    6 retweets 15 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    12 hours ago

    The and its cruelty began in the camp near border, and the high prices of fuel and the lack of the means available to everyone to buy, makes the living situation very poor for hundreds of families in the camp.

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    14 retweets 10 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    15 hours ago

    . has been unjustly detained in China calls for his immediate release

    6 replies 134 retweets 135 likes
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  11. 19 hours ago

    👇🏻

    "I just try to stay away from numbers" 's says when asked about how fighters are left "The numbers have been all over the place...It's not numbers. It's capabilities," which he says are "significantly degraded"
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    1 retweet 1 like
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  12. Retweeted
    20 hours ago

    IS is militarily defeated. Its return as a rural insurgency is, most probably, inevitable. Think that has more to do with how insurgencies work, rather than anything unique to the group. Its time to stop treating IS as global head choppers & view them as prototypical insurgents

    "I just try to stay away from numbers" 's says when asked about how fighters are left "The numbers have been all over the place...It's not numbers. It's capabilities," which he says are "significantly degraded"
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    2 replies 12 retweets 21 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    21 hours ago

    AQIM’s leader confirms death of Almansour Ag Alqassem, but denies Amadou Kouffa’s death. That’s extremely noteworthy.

    Dans un nouvel enregistrement vocal: Abou Mousaab Abd al-Wadoud Amir annonce officiellement l'assassinat du Chef Manssour Ag Al-Gassem de au , et nie la nouvelle de l'assassinat du Amir Massina Mohamed Kouffa. …
    1 reply 14 retweets 5 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    Dec 11

    Specifically, Moscow's interventions in Ukr '14 & Syr '15 were not driven by lack of perceived US willingness to oppose Rus interests. Rather, Russia's obsession with Western 'hybrid war' makes it hypersensitive to perceived or actual US support to "illegal armed formations."

    2 retweets 2 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Dec 11

    Due to the explosion of our podcasts over the last couple years - with more to come - we have set up . This channel will be dedicated to our audio content. Watch this space

    1 reply 15 retweets 24 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Dec 11

    Lebanon's Berdawni River turns black, after turning red earlier this year. I...don't think that's better?

    3 retweets 1 like
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  17. Dec 11

    This is a misreading of an estimate (230,000 is the absolute high end of 's 100,000-230,000 estimate) that is itself flawed analytically and unhelpfully alarmist.

    7 retweets 6 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Dec 11

    Counter-terrorism police in Hatay launched operations targeting alleged AQ members in İskenderun, Kırıkhan and Belen districts of Hatay province, 17 people were detained.

    Hatay'da El Kaide operasyonu
    1 reply 3 retweets 2 likes
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  19. Dec 11

    . argues it doesn't make sense to argue about America's supposed inaction in Syria's civil war – rather, we should be grappling with America's actual intervention, and how it invited a reaction with far-reaching implications:

    2 replies 15 retweets 39 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Dec 11

    If you were wondering what's going on with the Lebanese economy, here's a stark message from MP Sami Gemayel, head of the Kataeb party: "today the economy is dying.”

    2 replies 6 retweets 9 likes
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