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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. : Revisionism & retrospective analysis can be of real value, but nothing I've seen so far appears based on a *comprehensive* re-assessment of the situation. Instead, selective cases are being used in attempt to disprove something much broader/more established. = Distortion.

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  3. : For example, some have questioned the validity of 2014-15 claims - based, I should say on analysis since verified by regime allies - that was losing, by appearing to suggest that today's 2018 regime 'victory' disproves that such an assessment could have been accurate.

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  4. : Mixed up chronologies have been widespread in much of the recent revisionism -- worse still, some assessments critiquing 24/7 experts have used specific, limited timeframes in cynical attempts to 'disprove' or 'undermine' analysis of entirely separate timeframes.

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  5. Completely bizarre revisionism is seemingly the new in-thing when addressing the conflict & how it evolved over the yrs. Some if it is clearly driven by pre-existing political agenda; and some of it is written by people who know nothing of the conflict, beyond top lines.

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  6. Retweeted

    One month after re-opening the crossing with , 's governor in says *zero* refugees have returned -- only temporary visitors visiting family.

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  8. The past few days have seen a rapid series of tit-for-tat escalations in NW , making continued de-escalation an increasingly distant challenge. My latest for :

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  9. Retweeted
    Nov 8
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  10. Retweeted
    Nov 7

    Fascinating & important insights by into the state of Assad’s Syria now that the government has won. Poverty is rampant, his supporters have deep grievances and it’s not over yet

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  11. Retweeted
    Nov 7

    My article for on the huge economic divide in which has grown considerably during the war. ''s war economy exacerbates divide between rich and poor'

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  12. Retweeted
    Nov 13

    BIG statement from U.S. Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs: - "I want to make it very clear that the United States government believes that is alive."

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  13. Retweeted
    Nov 13

    Briefing: Attacks and reprisals lead to rapid escalation in northwest Syria -

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  14. Nov 13

    -ese journalist recently released from captivity in NW suggests he may have been held by Al-Qaeda - specifically by Tanzim Huras al-Din & the Turkistan Islamic Party. One of his fellow prisoners was a member of Jabhat al-Nusra (i.e. ).

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  15. Nov 13

    In a 4-month campaign, fired 21,000 munitions on - or ~175 per day. says the U.S. was responsible for 95% of all strikes. The says +80% of the city was destroyed or heavily damaged.

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  16. Nov 13

    The has admitted 104 civilian deaths from air & artillery strikes in . US-backed civilian rescue teams on the ground say it's actually "thousands" (2,600 & counting.) + They need another year to clear the city of corpses under the rubble.

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  17. Nov 13

    Interesting by , who suggests incoming UN Envoy should "freeze UN sponsorship" of the currently "fake" political process until "relevant actors" prove "their commitment to moving it forward."

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  18. Nov 13

    On the subject of there being x2 jihadist models, defined by clarified lines & in a state of competition, note my paper from Nov 2017, here: I'd also add that today's framing of this discussion in binary terms is wrong - we're now in a 3-model world.

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  19. Retweeted
    Nov 7

    Check out my new article published by assessing the dire state of 's economy & disproportionate distribution of wealth, as the war winds down loyalists will continue to dissent if the current state of the economy continues. (Thread)

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