1. Around 80% of people in #Syria live now below the poverty line, and with the conflict starting to wind down getting that number down will be the be all and end all for Damascus.
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Check out my new article published by @MiddleEastInst assessing the dire state of #Syria's economy & disproportionate distribution of wealth, as the war winds down loyalists will continue to dissent if the current state of the economy continues. (Thread)http://www.mei.edu/publications/syrias-war-economy-exacerbates-divide-between-rich-and-poor …
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2. With Unemployment at around +55% finding jobs is increasing difficult, especially without "Wasta" (Nepotism).
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4. The SYP has depreciated 90% since the start of the crisis, bit almost all salaries have stayed the same, making life incredibly hard for the average citizen.
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5. With a slow SAA demobilization underway, Jobs must be created/found and fighters/soldiers will need to be re-integrated into civilian life, what happens if jobs are not created soon, discontent will likely continue to rise
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Funds and aid are hot button issues, where the EU & US have to pitch in before long. More chaos in Syria can only fuel a wider, undesirable conflict in the ME. Indian analyst Varun Kareparambil's 2017 piece also worth a read. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/syria-investing-war-torn-nation-varun-kareparambil …
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"Prior to 2011, up to 80 percent of the Syrian economy was dependent on small to medium-sized businesses." The smaller businesses die first. Syria may never recover - which is just fine with those who armed head-chopping jihadists to destroy it.
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Why zero mention of the role of sanctions? Aren't sanctions by their nature shifting power towards semi-legal or straight mafia-structured oligarchs?
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Why are you failing to account for the almost complete breakdown in law enforcement and social structure in a country still reeling from years of war? As things stand, the government is heavily handicapped with major resources seized by occupying forces and strangling sanctions
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world eco leaders cooperate happily with Saudi regime, while feigning outrage over Kashoggi, mostly ignoring Yemen (some recent change on that). But 0 investment in Syria with Assad. is a separate issue but still.
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