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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. This is an interesting insight into the granular narratives & views of elements of ’s leadership. Most notable is Attoun’s somewhat more nuanced views. He’s *very* close to & is his public voice. That Farghali & Weis appear a portion more severe sums up today.

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  3. Data like this, from ’s *only* major ongoing military operation, underlines why hasn’t forced the issue yet - it simply can’t run more than one big offensive at once. And won’t pick up the weight in the northwest while risking ties with .

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  4. ’s governor in Suweida, Amer al-Ashi, has confirmed 600+ military casualties in a 3-month campaign against a small pocket of territory. Given that the operation has stopped/started over time, this suggests a casualty rate of ~10 per day.

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  5. Useful thread by , detailing how fragments from -made, -owned *air-dropped* chemical munitions - "M4000 bombs," reportedly declared to - were found at the site of two sarin attacks: 1. al-Latamaneh (March 2017) 2. Khan Sheikhoun (April 2018)

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  6. Good thread on a new video - its first from the "Dijlah" region in in a year - showcasing the group's determination to replicate its 2009-2014 post-U.S. surge fallback to the desert, recover and re-expand process.

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  7. Per new report, has killed 5 civilians (2 children) & arrested 184 others (activists, imams, rebel leaders) between Sept & mid-Oct 2018 in operations framed as countering terrorism and/or reconciliation.

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  8. Retweeted
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  9. Oct 19

    I’m literally sickened reading bulls**t like this. - 'Killing him wasn’t justified… but we should bear in mind, he was an Islamist… oh and worse still, Democrats are using this to help .’ This should be called out for what it is - outrageous, partisan nonsense.

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  10. Oct 19

    Notwithstanding (1) her description of policy in being wildly inaccurate & (2) my strong support for consequences for ’s death… hearing lecture us about good/bad is… just galling. She wholeheartedly supports… 's regime.

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  11. Oct 19
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  12. Oct 19
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  13. Oct 19

    UN Envoy Di Mistura "was clearly determined to make something work on the political track and his grit & persistence can’t be denied,” I told . But ill-judgement meant he lost the trust of the opposition from Day 1 = a doomed mission.

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  14. Oct 19

    Good briefer by , looking at Hayat Tahrir al-Sham () - a ‘locally-focused terror org’ in . Only 5% of its attacks were measured as against civilians; 95% against anti-//.

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  15. Oct 19

    Huge investigation by finds -i cyber espionage tech has been exported to 27+ countries with dire human rights records, to: - locate opposition activists - persecute LGBT members - silence critics - fabricate cases of heresy & more.

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  16. Oct 19

    [Note]: Jihadist terrorism didn’t begin circa 2011, when social media platforms (Twitter, Telegram, Paltalk etc.) were 'de rigueur.’ Mechanisms & platforms for narrative manipulation, extremism ‘normalization,' radicalization & recruitment have been broad & varied. [End note].

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  18. Oct 19

    The death of Siddhartha Dhar would be a significant story for the UK - he’d been a close aide to al-Muhajiroun leader Anjem Choudary. He fled the UK while on bail, amid an investigation into his public support of . He was later designated as a global terrorist by the U.S.

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  19. Oct 19

    An supporter channel - picked up by - has reported the deaths (presumably in Hajin, ) of x2 British fighters: 1. Nasser Ahmed Muthana (aka "Abu Muthanna al-Britani”) 2. Siddhartha Dhar (aka "Abu Rumaysah al-Britani”) Neither had been reported before.

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  20. Retweeted
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  21. Oct 18

    "The saga has proven that a social & economic reformation on overdrive is at too high a risk of failure w/o the parallel legal & procedural transformation occurring at the same pace & intensity... outrage... is justified." Bravo .

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