Sam Heller

@AbuJamajem

Senior Analyst, Non-State Armed Groups, . Looking at jihadism, one eye still on Syria. Jamajem means ☠️☠️☠️. Contact:

Beirut, Lebanon
crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/peo…
Joined September 2011
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    18 hours ago

    New statement: “Syria’s Idlib Wins Welcome Reprieve with Russia-Turkey Deal”

    1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    27 minutes ago

    Turkey won a reprieve for Idlib with Russia deal, but is walking a tightrope. Ankara now has time to solve jihadist problem there, but it's an open question if or how it can. Moscow & Damascus thus keep their pretext for a catastrophic attack.

    1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    [INFOGRAPHIC] Turkey-Russia deal to 'demilitarize'

    1 reply 12 retweets 7 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    The jurist of HTS, al Farghali, ensures that HTS will not lay down its weapons just because of the - deal.

    5 retweets 1 like
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  5. 2 hours ago

    Worth noting on HTS's apparent intransigence: HTS has emphasized its rejection of deals like those in Astana before, while, in practice, pragmatically accommodating these deals' implementation to mitigate their ill effects and pinning any blame on rebel attendees and signatories.

    In video report on Turkish-Russian Idlib agreement, Tahrir al-Sham's Iba news service excerpts Abu Muhammad al-Jolani's categorical rejection of disarmament from Eid speech.
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    1 reply 4 retweets 5 likes
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  6. 3 hours ago

    Tahrir al-Sham's Iba also keen to portray Turkey and Erdogan as in league with Russia, highlighting the uncomfortable, arm's-length dynamic between Tahrir al-Sham and Turkey.

    2 replies 5 retweets 3 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    . rightly says pressure from Ankara and European capitals likely played helped produce Idlib deal. Crucial to sustain pressure to prevent collapse of the accord. Such agreements in Syria don't have a track record of successful implementation..

    3 retweets 3 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    Turkey-Russia deal on Idlib provides "more time to fashion nonviolent solutions to the jihadist challenge" notes new statement.

    5 retweets 1 like
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  9. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    For now a humanitarian catastrophe was averted. Though obscure how Turkey is to “eliminate” or “neutralise” Idlib’s jihadists (or what such words actually mean). Also how to manage the opposing interpretations re. later steps of the deal.

    3/3 the last phase is the most eye-catching. To my knowledge, Putin and Erdogan didn't mention anything about Syrian government institutions moving into Idlib by the end of the year (or did they?). al-Watan was quoting a "diplomatic source".
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    5 retweets 1 like
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  10. Retweeted
    5 hours ago

    The Russia-Turkey deal on arrangement for Idlib deserves international support, says . It averts an imminent humanitarian disaster.

    3 replies 24 retweets 29 likes
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  11. 4 hours ago

    In video report on Turkish-Russian Idlib agreement, Tahrir al-Sham's Iba news service excerpts Abu Muhammad al-Jolani's categorical rejection of disarmament from Eid speech.

    1 reply 10 retweets 10 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    19 hours ago

    I have participated in too many failed negotiations with Russia over to be overly optimistic. But if carried out, the Putin/Erdogan deal on will avert a major humanitarian catastrophe. 's statement welcoming this reprieve:

    3 replies 33 retweets 42 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    Some personal news from me: very pleased to be joining to work on gender and conflict, in the company of what I think are some of the very best thinkers and researchers in the world.

    Am thrilled today to welcome on board , our new Senior Gender Analyst, and , our new Research Associate (Gender)! …
    20 replies 17 retweets 169 likes
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  14. 11 hours ago

    . and , “Russia-Turkey deal may delay, but not prevent, a battle for Syria’s Idlib province” Includes my thoughts.

    13 retweets 10 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    16 hours ago

    "more important... is achievement of any compromise at all,which by virtue of accommodating ’s bottom-line needs ...means postponing a full-bore attack on , providing more time 4 nonviolent solutions 2 jihadist challenge"

    2 retweets 1 like
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  16. 16 hours ago

    .//, “Turkey vows to send troops to Idlib after Russia deal” Includes my thoughts.

    5 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    17 hours ago

    chief hails -Russia deal to demilitarize

    10 retweets 5 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    UN welcomes Russian-Turkish agreements on Syria’s Idlib — envoy

    1 reply 10 retweets 10 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    21 hours ago

    showing where 's 3.7mil civilians live, and the location of Displaced people throughout the pocket. According to data from . HD -

    5 replies 69 retweets 79 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    18 hours ago

    Russia’s and Turkey’s agreement would appear to prevent a new deadly round of conflict in with tremendous human cost. But its implementation will be difficult. Read ’s new statement 1/4 ⇩

    1 reply 14 retweets 12 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    19 hours ago

    : What do we think the 3M civilians kettled in Idleb, make of yesterday’s agreement? Is this merely a stay of execution? Or is it the beginning of a reprieve, the first tiny glint of light at the end of the very darkest tunnel?

    3 replies 26 retweets 31 likes
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