Ömer Özkizilcik

Yarım saat sonra @tvnet’te olacağım

Erdogan should make a statement: „Our condolence to the Russian people. We hope that Russia will retaliate to this attack. We are ready to support the Russian people to punish the barbaric Assad regime“

Erdoğan böyle bir açıklama yapmalı: “Rus halkına taziyelerimizi gönderiyorum ve Rusya'nın bu saldırının altında almayacağını ümit ediyorum gerekirse Zalim Esad'a birlikte cevap vermeye hazırız."

Regime positions in Latakia were evidently targeted by missiles. Also claims about missiles targeting Humeimin. I think we have to wait for more information to comment this strikes. It can mean a lot, but it must not

In 20 minutes, I will be live on TRT World talking about the results of the Sochi summit

Even if this agreement fails, the Turkish army presence in Idlib is a guarantee for civilians. I also expect that this agreement will have a second phase where Turkey and Russia will work to strenghten moderates on regime and opposition sides & US presence will be on table next

Especially the Turkmen & Kurd mountains in Latakia may be hard for Turkey to control. As 95% of the Turkmen mountains are controlled by regime, civilians left the area, and many radical factions control it, I would recommend to leave the area to Russia in exchange fo Tel Rifaat

A task for Turkey will be to force HTS & other radical groups out of this demiltarized groups. While HTS might be ready to accept Turkish demands, some factions for whom fighting is the aim of existence will surely reject to withdraw. T soldiers may be targeted on patrols by them

Despite the agreement, Iran and the Assad regime are able to escalate the situation in Idlib, provoke a harsh Turkish retaliation and force Russia to back the regime by starting a major assault to Idlib or by directly shelling or striking Turkish observation points.

Also Iranian backed Syrian and foreign militias in Syria will be an important obstacle. I highly doubt Russia's ability to force them to pull heavy weapons out of the demilitarized area. Russia is now forced to show its ability to contain Assad and Iran in the same time