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#Turkey is a reminder of why wider emerging market risk is high. Dollar denominated debt in EM has doubled to $7.2tn since the GFC in 2008. https://reut.rs/2wmEXhx pic.twitter.com/Q895HTrchKThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
#Turkey rout continues w/ Lira keeps falling and 10y yields risings as Germany not considering financial aid for Turkey, spokesman says.pic.twitter.com/D2vFT2Nw6iThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
#Turkey Lira keeps falling as#Qatar currency swap agreement fails to stop the Lira rout. The deal is first step after Qatar’s $15bn investment pledge to Turkey.pic.twitter.com/LdK82ebU2oThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
What next for cryptocurrencies after
#Bitcoin bubble bursts? Bitcoin, the original and most valuable crypto, has plummeted from $19,000 to $6,000-$8,000, worst speculative bet this year. https://www.ft.com/content/7ed0c3b8-a1f3-11e8-85da-eeb7a9ce36e4 …pic.twitter.com/BWAakM1UJ9Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Happy Monday from
#Berlin where the school holidays ended today.pic.twitter.com/5rehIcj1V7Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Asia mkts start mostly higher to week as China-US trade negotiations set to resume. WSJ reported the 2 sides aiming for deal by Nov. Yuan jumps to strongest in a week as PBOC raises fixing. Dollar, Yields, Gold and Bitcoin all steady ahead of meeting of CenBankers in Jackson Holepic.twitter.com/GYe3Oa5gjw
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Good Morning from
#Germany where financial aid for#Turkey is discussed: 'A situation could arise in which Germany must helpTurkey, regardless of pol discrepancies w/ President Erdogan,” head of SPD's Nahles said, adding it’s in everyone’s interest that Turkey remains econ stablepic.twitter.com/7kuPj3leuTThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
#Tesla short-sellers sitting on profits of $1.2bn. Bets against the carmaker’s shares have been lucrative since Musk tweeted buyout plan. https://www.ft.com/content/b4d6e9cc-a268-11e8-85da-eeb7a9ce36e4 …pic.twitter.com/mYDHVgfwi1Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
During both EM crises in the mid-1990s (
#Mexico and#Asia),#Gold was not a safe haven asset, SRP writes.pic.twitter.com/4Big2eWBTlThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Furtive policy puts
#Turkey on road to 300bp rate hike. Policy makers have effectively enacted a 150 basis-point hike. Central bank is trying to counter the slump in the lira. Lira starts the week almost unchg. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-19/furtive-policy-puts-turkey-on-road-to-300-basis-point-rate-hike …pic.twitter.com/ipZmZUck6UThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
#Brazil to send troops to town bordering#Venezuela one of the last socialst paradises inches closer to collapse. Venezuelans are bracing for a currency reform set to take effect Monday. https://on.wsj.com/2Bwh0Ku https://apnews.com/e20a403a3984483a97559b37166dfc60 …pic.twitter.com/SJidDVDJGXThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
TROUBLE! Hedge funds turned record short on metals just before the rout. Trade tensions cause managers to wager heavily on declines. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-19/hedge-funds-turned-record-short-on-metals-just-before-the-rout …pic.twitter.com/raHcY14JMG
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Yield curve crunch shows
#Fed hiking even amid global agitation. Bond traders bet Fed will stay course despite tumult abroad. August meeting minutes, Jackson Hole in focus this week. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-19/yield-curve-crunch-shows-fed-hiking-even-amid-global-agitation …pic.twitter.com/G6LpPWVtuRThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Ouch!
#Venezuela devalues currency and hikes wages, stoking fears about instability. https://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuela-devalues-currency-and-hikes-wages-stoking-fears-about-instability-1534629512 …pic.twitter.com/OAKT9gf1yHThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Hedge Funds flips to net
#Euro shorts for first time since May2017. Speculators sold 12,354 contracts in the wake of the Turkey Lira crisis, now short net 1,789 positions.pic.twitter.com/An577tKNL7Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
World's most undervalued currency?
#Turkey Lira is 66.4% undervalued when measured by Big-Mac-Index Purchasing Power Parity.pic.twitter.com/GaAiQnU52eThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Good morning from
#Germany, where the Lira crisis arrives in the supermarkets. There are Turkish products on special offer: Ayran for 49 Cents, Turkish Yoghurt for €1.99, Poultry Kofta for €1.49 or Goat Cheese for €3.99.pic.twitter.com/fjNJGiJdHUThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Another EM crisis in the making driven by Dollar shortage? EM asset prices fell fairly sharply across equities, FX & FI, Citi. MSCI EM now down 20% from 25-Jan peak, EM Currency Index is 16% down from its peak vs the USD in mid-Feb, EMBI spread has increased by 101bp since Feb.pic.twitter.com/7FoCYzWeUH
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US remains the bright spot in the global economy. (Chart via SRP)pic.twitter.com/WZQqSiQzoT
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According to calculations by Standard & Poor's,
#Turkey's GDP could shrink to $594bn next year, lowest level since 2006 and an unprecedented drop in wealth. As recently as 2013, Turkey was on the verge of a one-trillion-dollar economy. https://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/plus181207988/Tuerkische-Wirtschaftskrise-Erdogan-verzwergt-den-Wohlstand-des-Landes.html?wtmc=socialmedia.twitter.shared.web … via@weltpic.twitter.com/mdUnGBc4qBThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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