Charles ListerVerified account

@Charles_Lister

Senior Fellow & Director of Extremism & Counterterrorism . Author of T/RT≠ endorsement

Washington DC/London/Istanbul
mei.edu/profile/charle…
Joined January 2012
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

    21 replies 43 retweets 61 likes
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  2. 13 hours ago

    In that piece ( reference highlighted), I looked at “The Urgency of ” & the horrendous consequences that would come with a major escalation in hostilities there.

    8 retweets 9 likes
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  3. 13 hours ago

    Amid reports of possible air-defense deployments into (now and/or planned) -- below -- note that in my piece for 2-weeks ago, I referred to rumored supplies to -backed National Liberation Front units as a deterrent message to .

    Today, ’s military moved in prefabricated modular units to add to observation posts in - see picture. …
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  4. 13 hours ago

    After more than 1yr in detention, Jaish al-Nukhba () leader Wa’el al-Ghabi has been released by in . He was originally kidnapped & imprisoned in July 2017, in al-Bara, Jabal al-Zawiyeh.

    7 retweets 13 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    16 hours ago

    This, from , is especially interesting.

    1 reply 16 retweets 28 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    Very detailed & interesting analysis of situation in Syria's NW Idlib province, where bulk of remainder of opposition has sought refuge. As regime forces consider their next move, Russian Latakia base lies nearby & Turkey weighs it options, the plot thickens. By

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act…
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  7. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    An assault on would be a catastrophe. Will the "red line" be crossed? Great analysis by

    2 replies 8 retweets 12 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    Aug 9

    "I find it hard to imagine the regime won’t stand by its words and eventually initiate a major campaign in " -

    Experts , Hadeel Al-Saidawi, , and make predictions on the security issues in Idlib
    5 retweets 5 likes
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  9. 15 hours ago

    Not hugely surprising, given events ongoing elsewhere in the region. The first act of political protest in was on 26 Jan. The first called ‘Day of Rage’ was Friday 4 Feb (but nothing happened). Small protests on 5 Feb, 17 Feb. 6 March Deraa arrests were the true spark.

    Syrian Revolution Facebook page was started on 18 January 2011 - 2 months before the Deraa uprising. Organization's administrator, who headed Sweden's Muslim Bro branch, called for a "day of rage," at Deraa uprising in March 2015. Interesting thread by …
    3 replies 14 retweets 19 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    Aug 14

    "Bringing hellfire onto Idlib and its millions of inhabitants will not deal with terrorists": gives a detailed overview of the last insurgent enclave in and some suggestions to avoid a catastrophic humanitarian and strategic meltdown

    3 replies 23 retweets 22 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    If Russia truly opposes escalating hostilities in the northwest, as it claims to, the United States and its allies should hold it to that position

    3 replies 10 retweets 6 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    Aug 9

    Don’t always agree with , but this is a must watch brief that unpacks many important implications—both within and outside Syrian borders—of any regime-led military campaign in . Can find a more detailed and extensive overview here:

    “ & the Looming Battle for ” - My 3min briefing video for , looking at the prospect & likely consequences of an regime offensive…
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  13. 16 hours ago

    Today, ’s military moved in prefabricated modular units to add to observation posts in - see picture. I’m also told that has informed National Liberation Front leaders of its plans to deploy air-defense systems, to reinforce de-escalation/deter air strikes.

    5 replies 47 retweets 43 likes
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  14. 17 hours ago

    Funnily enough, some of the skewed “analysis” on the report’s lines on makes a point to stress this “Ansar al-Din” point - despite it clearly being inaccurate. It could well be a mix-up with Huras al-Din. Or Ansar al-Furqan (said to be Julaybib’s pet project)

    : One strange thing came up… the UN report says Sami al-Oraydi & Abu Julaybib’s defection from ‘’ resulted in the creation of a “new group under the name of Ansar al-Din.”…
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  15. 17 hours ago

    Good, short threat by detailing the implications behind 's "nocturnal dominance of rural areas in north central ." As I've said before, it looks eerily similar to 2010-2013.

    ISF have pretty much locked down the cities, but ISIS nocturnal dominance of rural areas in north central Iraq (north SaD, Kirkuk, parts of Ninawa) is really something right now. About 3-4 house raids/bombings per week targeting mukhtars, tribal resistance…
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  16. 17 hours ago

    The recently expanded -backed and -branded “National Liberation Front” - centered in - has released a video showing off their “Swat 82” forces. Clearly an Ahrar al-Sham product - markedly similar in tone to features from 2015 onwards.

    2 replies 7 retweets 10 likes
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  17. 18 hours ago

    : One strange thing came up… the UN report says Sami al-Oraydi & Abu Julaybib’s defection from ‘’ resulted in the creation of a “new group under the name of Ansar al-Din.” Not to my knowledge. Ansar al-Furqan? Yes. Also Ansar al-Tawhid. Ansar al-Din is old/unrelated.

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  18. 18 hours ago

    : What clearly emerges from the UN report is an AQ *movement* weakened by internal inefficiencies, the consequence of which => a clear AQC undermining of / & empowerment of alternative, loyalists within groups like Nusrat al-Islam (Huras al-Din+) & Ansar al-Tawhid.

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  19. 18 hours ago

    Just now getting around to reading the ’s report on AQ & . Some “analysis” of its content on the AQ in issue has been skewed, to say the least - with some aspects aggrandized & others underplayed. Report:

    2 replies 12 retweets 17 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    The Urgency of Idlib: The Impending Regime Offensive and the Delicate Balance in Syria’s Northwest 

    1 reply 4 retweets 5 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    Aug 10

    “A major escalation in hostilities in northwestern would, in all likelihood, result in a level of violence and destruction that we’ve just not seen in seven years of conflict.” on

    Syria and the looming battle for Idlib | Video briefing by
    3 replies 7 retweets 5 likes
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