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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. Retweeted

    "Bringing hellfire onto Idlib and its millions of inhabitants will not deal with terrorists": gives a detailed overview of the last insurgent enclave in and some suggestions to avoid a catastrophic humanitarian and strategic meltdown

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  3. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    If Russia truly opposes escalating hostilities in the northwest, as it claims to, the United States and its allies should hold it to that position

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  4. Retweeted
    Aug 9

    Don’t always agree with , but this is a must watch brief that unpacks many important implications—both within and outside Syrian borders—of any regime-led military campaign in . Can find a more detailed and extensive overview here:

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  5. Today, ’s military moved in prefabricated modular units to add to observation posts in - see picture. I’m also told that has informed National Liberation Front leaders of its plans to deploy air-defense systems, to reinforce de-escalation/deter air strikes.

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  6. Funnily enough, some of the skewed “analysis” on the report’s lines on makes a point to stress this “Ansar al-Din” point - despite it clearly being inaccurate. It could well be a mix-up with Huras al-Din. Or Ansar al-Furqan (said to be Julaybib’s pet project)

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  7. Good, short threat by detailing the implications behind 's "nocturnal dominance of rural areas in north central ." As I've said before, it looks eerily similar to 2010-2013.

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  8. The recently expanded -backed and -branded “National Liberation Front” - centered in - has released a video showing off their “Swat 82” forces. Clearly an Ahrar al-Sham product - markedly similar in tone to features from 2015 onwards.

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  9. : One strange thing came up… the UN report says Sami al-Oraydi & Abu Julaybib’s defection from ‘’ resulted in the creation of a “new group under the name of Ansar al-Din.” Not to my knowledge. Ansar al-Furqan? Yes. Also Ansar al-Tawhid. Ansar al-Din is old/unrelated.

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  10. : What clearly emerges from the UN report is an AQ *movement* weakened by internal inefficiencies, the consequence of which => a clear AQC undermining of / & empowerment of alternative, loyalists within groups like Nusrat al-Islam (Huras al-Din+) & Ansar al-Tawhid.

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  11. Just now getting around to reading the ’s report on AQ & . Some “analysis” of its content on the AQ in issue has been skewed, to say the least - with some aspects aggrandized & others underplayed. Report:

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  12. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    The Urgency of Idlib: The Impending Regime Offensive and the Delicate Balance in Syria’s Northwest 

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  13. Retweeted
    Aug 10

    “A major escalation in hostilities in northwestern would, in all likelihood, result in a level of violence and destruction that we’ve just not seen in seven years of conflict.” on

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  14. 5yrs ago today, ’s Army massacred 1,000+ of its citizens in ’s Square. Since then, says, "human rights violations… [including] enforced disappearances & extrajudicial executions, have occurred on a scale never seen before.”

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  15. Aug 14

    The /'s political umbrella, the , attended a 2nd round of talks w. the regime in last week. Several U.S.-backed commanders were in attendance. Following a "long dialogue," they agreed to return again in the near future.

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  16. Aug 14

    Yesterday, covered the re-opening of ’s 1980s-era antiquities museum (). What they didn’t mention was that (former ) was the actor that facilitated it - here are it’s PR photos from the event:

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  17. Aug 14

    Intriguing language from FM Cavusoglu today, indicating a need to “fight terrorists” in & to differentiate “moderates” from “radicals.” Most notably, he insisted on using “intelligence” personnel to combat terrorists - indicating ’s slow-burn approach.

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  18. Aug 14

    As intense diplomacy continues - primarily between & - seeking to avoid major hostilities in , ’s airforce resumed limited airstrikes today, primarily concentrated on the southeastern pocket of .

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  19. Retweeted
    Aug 13

    "Civilians will suffer immeasurably, and in larger numbers than ever before," warns in a video breifing: and the looming battle for |

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  20. Aug 13

    The [U.S.-backed] / has again stated its intent to kill -n IDPs arriving in the region - that's men, women & children, in plain English. Forced demographic change is outright wrong, but so is a public intent to murder civilians.

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  21. Aug 13

    Or perhaps more suitably viewed in reverse: - Ending sanctions & re-engaging with the regime would merely justify 's mass murder strategy *and* free up more resources to continue the detention, torture, bombing & annihilation of portions of 's population.

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