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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Aug 3

    NEW: “The Urgency of : The Impending Regime Offensive & the Delicate Balancing Act in ’s Northwest” My latest, in-depth look at , for :

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  2. The [U.S.-backed] / has again stated its intent to kill -n IDPs arriving in the region - that's men, women & children, in plain English. Forced demographic change is outright wrong, but so is a public intent to murder civilians.

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  3. Or perhaps more suitably viewed in reverse: - Ending sanctions & re-engaging with the regime would merely justify 's mass murder strategy *and* free up more resources to continue the detention, torture, bombing & annihilation of portions of 's population.

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  4. : After briefly expressing support for UK military action in , 's turn to party politics to slow/prevent action left PM ’s office furious, to say the least: - “No 10 & the Foreign Office think Ed Miliband is a f****** c*** & a copper-bottomed s***.”

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  5. : Exasperated at how distant had seemed & how difficult it was to connect with him by phone, the UK’s PM said: - "The next time I ask to talk to the president about chemical weapons attacks, tell me to turn over on my sun lounger and go to sleep.”

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  6. Fascinating & damning deep-dive into the mess that followed ’s Sarin attack in E. in August '13. ’s “cold feet” & distance, ’s political “games” & being “actively unhelpful.” = Delays guaranteed no action.

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  7. Latest U.S. intel suggests commands an estimated ~31,500 fighters in & combined. - : ~14,500 () - : ~17,100 () So we’ve got a tad more fighting to go, then…

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  8. This ‘end the suffering & invest in ’ line is being pushed increasingly publicly (& determinedly in private settings) by “neutral” academics & influential West-friendly members of ’s diaspora in the EU & U.S Now it’s getting surface-level media coverage. Look deeper.

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  9. : Samer Foz also - allegedly - runs a quiet PR effort, both in the & the U.S., which plays up one line over & over: - 'Sanctions only hit innocent civilians & create terrorism… International investment is the key to saving , recreating jobs & bring back refugees.’

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  10. Make no mistake, Samer Foz is an asset of 's regime; empowered & facilitated by current & ‘retired’ security officials to get around tight foreign sanctions. Foz has bankrolled militias in & he stands accused of ordering the assassination of a rival in .

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  11. He’s traded with ; acquired land expropriated from displaced civilians; and become super rich out of ’s conflict & destruction. - Meet ’s latest moneyman & likely route around international sanctions - Samer Foz.

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  12. I’d known Rami for nearly 5yrs - he was an amiable, complex man, who despite his increasingly favorable views towards , had privately been unfailingly committed to making real intra- dialogue work; *across* all lines of the conflict. I saw that on many, many occasions.

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  13. Sheikh Rami al-Delaty died overnight, in Bab al-Hawa, . From , Rami spent several bouts in prison in ; represented in the 's ; then Jaish al-Tawhid; & since 2016, positioned himself (increasingly controversially) as a go-between to /.

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  14. Aug 11

    Reports: ~250 / fighters have left province headed west, to join pro- forces for a planned ground assault into western countryside (en route to ). They’re allegedly amassing in ’s al-Rashideen & al-Layramoun.

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  15. Aug 10

    Unnamed officials told the regime helped to facilitate ’s July 25 attack on , which killed 273 people. Militants were released, road routes opened & hours beforehand, SAA checkpoints removed & phone lines cut

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  16. Retweeted
    Aug 10

    Analyst take on the situation in and Hama indicates an offensive by the -n regime is imminent

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  17. Aug 10

    National Liberation Front () fighters have launched several barrages of 122mm Grad rockets at regime positions in & northern tonight -- in response to escalating air attack across the northwest.

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  18. Retweeted
    Aug 8

    The Urgency of Idlib: The Impending Regime Offensive and the Delicate Balance in Syria’s Northwest, by .

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  19. Retweeted
    Aug 7

    Compared to Turkey's favored opposition groups, HTS has done more to prepare for an eruption of hostilities

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  20. Aug 10

    Updated map, showing: - Today's & airstrikes (red stars) - ’s x12 military positions inside the northwestern region (black pentagons). Credit to for the original map - the above additions are mine.

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  21. Aug 10

    One particular bombing, on Urum al-Kubra in western , has killed 20+ civilians, including multiple children. Many more bodies remain under the rubble. It’s started.

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