Nicholas Danforth

@NicholasDanfort

Senior Policy Analyst, Bipartisan Policy Center. Mideast Politics. Turkey. Maps. Historical Randomness. Retweets are not endorsements nor necessarily sarcastic.

midafternoonmap.com
Joined November 2012
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    30 Nov 2017

    basically anything i say or write about turkey these days i end up desperately hoping turns out to be wrong

    22 replies 20 retweets 111 likes
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  2. 24 minutes ago

    I’m just amazed the White House refrained from immediately leaking this

    Erdogan publicly confirms that Turkey was given a deadline on August 8 to hand Pastor Brunson back to US “or else”
    Show this thread
    1 retweet 6 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    4 hours ago

    ''Erdoğan'ın makalesi Amerikan piyasasını sarsar''

    187 replies 76 retweets 123 likes
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  4. 1 hour ago

    Exactly. A lack of good options isn’t the same as a lack of options

    Erdoğan probably doesn't have a well-formed plan, but I don't think he is entirely bluffing either
    2 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    1 hour ago

    And with Turkey not being able to count on US support, it’s optimum time for Russia to move against rebels in Idlib in Syria. Ankara will be pressed to accept Russian action (in return for perhaps a small Turkish belt in northern Idlib, if Putin were feeling generous)

    If really breaks up with the United States, as Erdogan suggested as a real possibility in this piece, there will be only one winner: Not Turkey, not the United States, not EU either, but Putin’s . …
    5 replies 10 retweets 17 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    11 hours ago

    Another excellent Snapshot from “After the June Elections: No Brakes on Turkey’s Authoritarian Slide”

    2 replies 8 retweets 19 likes
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  7. 2 hours ago

    I think for trump not standing down counts as escalation

    Erdogan vs. Trump: The Turkish leader signals to Trump that he will neither stand down nor escalate in the US-Turkey crisis, rather anticipating his counterpart’s next move. In chess, this opening would be called Zwischenzug …
    2 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    8 hours ago

    Last night I woke in a cold sweat from a nightmare where I was thrust in front of a bunch of billionaires and had to give a complex presentation with Microsoft Paint which if unsuccessful would crash the entire economy. Glad it was just a dream.

    7 replies 7 retweets 123 likes
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  9. 4 hours ago

    Erdogans made a lot of enemies over the years, but only when he crossed Cold War diplomatic historians was he forced to back down:

    4 replies 5 retweets 17 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    9 hours ago

    Good piece by ⁦⁩

    1 reply 4 retweets 12 likes
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  11. 4 hours ago

    Sure, at any moment other than the middle of a crisis hinging on the legitimacy of the Turkish judiciary this would be a compelling oped

    Read Erdogan’s piece in ⁦⁩. The emphasis on “independent judiciary” may not be compelling, but the criticism to US for failing Turkey in face of the coup & PKK threats is valid. And the signal for “new friends and allies” seems crucial. …
    4 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    Jul 20

    AKP haters are happily sharing these types of posts. My humble opinion: If crisis hits big, those who will be affected FIRST will be anti-AKP people unfortunately. Its huge clientelistic networks will for a while protect AKP base. AKP will seize more private assets to survive.++

    "Turkey is heading for a severe economic crisis under President Erdogan"
    9 replies 42 retweets 83 likes
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  13. Retweeted
    19 hours ago

    “The fact that Brunson was there as a pastor seems to be playing to a certain religious nationalism on both sides.” -

    2 replies 2 retweets 2 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    21 hours ago
    Replying to

    By destabilizing Turkey, a long time US ally, Erdogan is striking a powerful blow again American hegemony

    5 replies 5 retweets 19 likes
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  15. 21 hours ago

    I’d say c) punish turkey for crossing them

    Replying to @NicholasDanfort
    Does Trump/Pence want to get Brunson or do they need to show muscles and how strong they are ahead of midterms?
    2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Aug 1

    The basic problem is that the US can destroy Turkey’s economy if they don’t release Brunson and Turkey can still not release Brunson

    21 replies 48 retweets 142 likes
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  17. 22 hours ago

    Amazing to see so many different theories in Turkey about why Trump would do this. For the same reason Erdogan would.

    2 replies 10 likes
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  18. 22 hours ago

    Hard to tell the headlines on Hurriyet's homepage from Sabah these day

    2 replies 5 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    1) Pres Trump actually played right into Pres Erdogan’s hand making it easier to sell the it’s the US fault narrative, and 2) the US has an interest in a healthy Turkish economy even if Ankara’s geostrategic importance to Washington has waned.

    13 replies 36 retweets 47 likes
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  20. 23 hours ago

    A much more nuanced article than the misleading headline suggests. Turns out Assad had a lot to do with his victory too.

    1 reply 3 retweets 5 likes
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  21. 24 hours ago

    Dog bites chew toy

    Turkish pro-government columnists denounce United States
    5 likes
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