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What are the prospects for Syria east of the river?
Most sources show that the territory is largely under the control of Kurdish forces, at the same time there are pockets of regime control which haven't seen any action as far as I can tell (suggesting there is no SAA-YPG hostility).
Do the Kurds in power there show any intention to rejoin the government once ISIS and other Islamists are fully dealt with? Seeing as the only major challenge left for the government is Idlib, I suppose the next step is to extend government control over the east. After all, that's where the oil is. Sorry if this question seems a bit diffuse, any contribution is welcome.
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OCHA Syria: Dar’a, Quneitra, As-Sweida Situation Report No. 2 as of 11 July 2018
Highlights
- Following a military escalation and a series of local reconciliation agreements, the Government of Syria (GoS) have taken control of eastern rural Dar’a, including the Nasib border crossing. This has triggered the return movement or onward displacement of most IDPs that had previously settled in the Nasib border area.
- Despite the return of tens of thousands of IDPs, it is estimated that up to 234,500 people remain displaced across south-west Syria. Some 70 per cent of them, around 160,000 people, are currently located in Quneitra, some in close proximity to the Golan area, with limited access to humanitarian assistance.
- The United Nations and humanitarian partners have mobilized a response, both cross-border and from within Syria, reaching tens of thousands of people with critical life-saving assistance. A further scale-up of assistance is needed to support populations in need across the whole affected area.
- The UN and partners require a total of $84.8 million to support 300,000 affected people with protection and assistance across south-west Syria.
Full Report: Link
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