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@NathalieTocci,@ammarkahf, and I talk to@BeirutCalling at@CarnegieMEC's Diwan and answer: "Can the International Community Breathe New Life into the Geneva Process for Syria?" http://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/76177?lang=en …pic.twitter.com/6ocQIbfu38Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Sam Heller Retweeted
Units on govt side that are supposed to fight in south
#Syria campaign: units from Republican Guard, NDF, Tiger Forces, Jaysh al-Tahrir al-Falastini, Liwa al-Quds, and 4th, 7th, 9th, 14th and 15th divisions of Syrian armypic.twitter.com/nyxHEiwWXeThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Ha, oh man: Lattakia shabab get in a fight over the World Cup, smash each other with chairs.https://twitter.com/syriawatannews/status/1008298644179685381 …
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@NeSyria sources: HTS has set up training camps supervised by top shar'is, in which fighters are subject to intensive ideological prep – to what end, unclear. Have also released military cadres who weren't sufficiently into fighting Tahrir Souriya.http://nedaa-sy.com/news/6744Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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@dafnahrand and@bezates87 dispute@triskodarden's characterization of their findings on development programming and CVE, and emphasize the other side of their findings: some development interventions *can* reduce support for political violence.https://warontherocks.com/2018/06/development-programs-can-help-reduce-political-violence/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
5. Syrian Shi'ites – to whom Iran could appeal on a more direct ideological basis – are a tiny minority in Syria. And lots of Syrians have ehh feelings about Iranians specifically, who, like Turks, can take a similarly superior attitude towards Syrian Arabs.
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4. Second, even as Iran is evidently working to establish lasting organizational and social links in Syria, Syrian society has its own antibodies. Syrians of all sects are hostile to proselytization and meddling with the country's complex and delicate sectarian makeup.
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3. Meanwhile, on the claim "Iran’s real goal here is to use militias to weave influence into all aspects of Syrian society": First, I don't think we should just dismiss that Iran is primarily in Syria for the reason it claims, that is, to secure the survival of its vital ally.
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2. U.S. and Western inability to understand how countries can invest in the Syrian system – not necessarily capture influence at the regime's expense, but buy shares in an Assad-led order – is a persistent analytical shortcoming, and one likely to limit future Western influence.
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1. Disagree with how this implies that Liwa al-Baqir's organic links to Iran are in contradiction with a Syrian national character (e.g., "The militia plays up its Syrian nationalism to help downplay the fact that it’s actually guided by a foreign power.")https://www.nytimes.com/video/world/middleeast/100000005921109/iran-syria-militia-us-troops.html …
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Sam Heller Retweeted
صباح النصر قوات النمر تصل تباعاً الى درعا بعد اسبوعين من وصول قوات استطلاعهاpic.twitter.com/c0big9BQrH
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Sam Heller Retweeted
Top Russian Official [Vladimir Ivanovsky, Chief of
#Russia’s Military Police Directorate, who oversees Russian forces deployed in#Syria’s southern “de-escalation” regions] In#Israel Ahead Of Anticipated Syrian Army Offensive in South West Syriahttp://www.themedialine.org/mideast-daily-news/top-russian-official-in-israel-ahead-of-anticipated-syrian-army-offensive-in-golan-heights/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
President Assad in 13 June interview with Iran's al-Alam: Expresses support for local tribal resistance against foreign occupiers – while leaving nature of support unspecified, and characterizing resistance as spontaneous. https://www.sana.sy/?p=767411 pic.twitter.com/355vBFMMG0
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SANA: “Terrorist groups” based around Jubatha al-Khashab burn fields in Hadher:https://www.sana.sy/?p=768547
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I would add: The CT-centric policy debate they describe on Syria is argued in the language of counterterrorism, but also reflects a more basic argument over stability and the wisdom of state preservation/destruction.pic.twitter.com/6NaHglC0H4
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@Rob_Malley and@jonfiner on how counterterrorism ate U.S. policy and politics:https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2018-06-14/long-shadow-911 …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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@arisroussinos reports from Raqqa, which lots of countries destroyed but lots fewer are willing to rebuild:https://news.vice.com/en_us/article/yweknx/the-us-destroyed-raqqa-to-defeat-isis-locals-dont-know-if-theyll-ever-rebuild-it …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Sam Heller Retweeted
2 more individuals involved in "reconciliation" talks with the Assad regime from western Daraa were killed yesterday, one from al-Hara & the other from Dael. A total of 6 negotiators were killed, apparently by rebels, over the past 2 weeks in Daraa https://www.baladi-news.com/ar/news/details/31942/%D8%A7%D8%BA%D8%AA%D9%8A%D8%A7%D9%84_%D8%B3%D8%AA_%D8%B4%D8%AE%D8%B5%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AA_%D9%85%D9%86_%D9%84%D8%AC%D9%86%D8%A9_%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%B5%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AD%D8%A7%D8%AA_%D9%81%D9%8A_%D8%AF%D8%B1%D8%B9%D8%A7_%D8%AE%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%84_%D8%AD%D8%B2%D9%8A%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86 … (Ar)
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Sam Heller Retweeted
Tragic!!! Regime attack comes following the assassination of Dr Moussa Qonbos. A well-known & liked philantrope in Al-Hara. In the past couple of weeks, he was involved in secret negotiations with the regime, modelled after
#Misraba#EasternGhouta, 2 avert onslaught vs his townhttps://twitter.com/Elizrael/status/1007645999391756295 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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@NeSyria sources on release of kidnapped former Shuhada al-Islam chief: Members of HTS's "Jeish al-Sham" involved – made of Damascenes, including from Darayya – plus Hurras al-Din men who used relationships with HTS to pass checkpoints after abduction.http://nedaa-sy.com/news/6694Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
At President's Assad direction, Defense Minister Ali Abdullah Ayyoub marks Eid with visit to Syrian troops in the south, as well as several military hospitals.https://www.sana.sy/?p=768110
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