Timothy Ash

@tashecon

Economist, covering Emerging Europe, Middle East and Africa. Key focus on Ukraine, Russia and Turkey, amongst others. Tweets represent my personal views.

City of London, London
Joined April 2016
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  1. Retweeted
    36 minutes ago

    Babchenko has been a veteran war & investigative reporter, lately was based & working out of Kyiv. He was shot right next to his apartment. It is a 2nd high-profile assassination of a journalist in Ukraine in less than two years. My hands are really shaking typing this, sorry

    Arkadiy Babchenko, a prominent Russian journalist is assasisnated in Kyiv.
    6 replies 92 retweets 66 likes
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  2. 5 minutes ago

    Hmm..sense most Turks would prefer to study and holiday in the West, not Mosckva. Turkey’s place is with the West. Sooner everyone realises that the better.

    Replying to @tashecon
    Foreign policy is domestic policy. How do you tell Turks that their place is in the West & Russia’s out to screw them when the UK, Schengen zone & US require Turkish citizens to get visas while Russia doesn’t? …
    1 retweet 2 likes
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  3. 12 minutes ago

    I agreed earlier...I said fault on both sides. Starting with Merkel and Sarkozy back in 2010 and insult of privileged partnership. Initial coup reaction from West (except U.K.). But Turkey also has failed on democratic standards, human rights, press freedoms

    Replying to @Gulnuray @tashecon
    So Tim; if you think Turkey is in error, are all policies of US and EU about Turkey correct? Why would Turkey give up always when the subject matter is relations with West? Why aren’t we treated as an equal partner?
    2 replies 3 likes
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  4. 17 minutes ago

    I might not know much about foreign policy. But guess if Turkish politicians who know nothing about monetary policy continue to spout rubbish about that subject guess as an economist I can talk about foreign policy.

    Replying to @tashecon
    Obviously you have no idea what foreign policy is all about. Shame. You should have taken one of my courses. Anyway I am not replying any further. I care not to be drawn into polemical arguments on social media.
    5 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
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  5. 23 minutes ago

    It worries me that an adviser to the President of Turkey has such naive views on foreign policy, like it’s some kind of cuddly tea party, where everyone has honest intent.

    Replying to @tashecon
    Obviously you have no idea what foreign policy is all about. Shame. You should have taken one of my courses. Anyway I am not replying any further. I care not to be drawn into polemical arguments on social media.
    2 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
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  6. 28 minutes ago

    And you think that Putin’s interest in Turkey is something other than primarily to weaken NATO and the Western alliance? Ask yourself what is Putin’s number one strategic objective, and where Turkey fits into that.

    Replying to @tashecon
    Amazed that Western analysts fail to read Turkish foreign policy. Turkey is not being ‘played’ nor is it ‘playing’ anyone. National security concerns require a fine tuned,balanced diplomacy. NATO commitments stand. So does a multidimensional regional…
    3 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
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  7. 30 minutes ago

    Oh, come on, Turkish foreign policy “is not playing anyone”..if that is the case you are 5-0 down in the game before you start. That’s what foreign policy is about - everyone is playing everyone else.

    Replying to @tashecon
    Amazed that Western analysts fail to read Turkish foreign policy. Turkey is not being ‘played’ nor is it ‘playing’ anyone. National security concerns require a fine tuned,balanced diplomacy. NATO commitments stand. So does a multidimensional regional…
    2 replies 7 likes
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  8. 43 minutes ago

    And just pass the ACC. Other countries like Romania did something similar. Passing it would send such a positive message that Ukraine is serious about fighting corruption. This would be such a good new ms story for Ukraine - a selling point to investors.

    I don’t see what is wrong with locking up high ranking people for corruption. And I think most ordinary Ukrainians would agree.
    1 retweet 1 like
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  9. 47 minutes ago

    I don’t see what is wrong with locking up high ranking people for corruption. And I think most ordinary Ukrainians would agree.

    And now nailed it. As put it recently "echo chamber syndrome in the room" interferes with the Westerners perception of the reforms'…
    1 retweet 3 likes
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  10. 49 minutes ago

    Well worth reading - with a read on Trump connections into Russia.

    My interview with on the
    1 retweet 1 like
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  11. 56 minutes ago

    The NHS is still incredible...

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  12. 1 hour ago

    The reality is there has been fault on both sides - Turkey and the EU/NATO. But Turkey’s natural place is in the Western alliance. An alliance with Russia and Iran will end badly.

    Replying to @tashecon
    Yes and therefore, Turkey should be again a pupy of us in return for a kurdish state taking territory from Turkey, Greek Cypriots annexing Northern Turcic Cyprus, etc. Keep dreaming. Turks can see everything neatly now
    2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
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  13. 1 hour ago

    Lira has rallied 10 cents today so guess the Simsek and Cetinkaya double act helped. The comments utterly and wholeheartedly ruling out capital controls were really important.

    6 retweets 6 likes
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  14. 2 hours ago

    Afraid Turkey is being totally played by Putin. Amazed the Turks cannot see this. Erdogan needs to reach in and feel Putin’s soul, as George W failed so spectacularly.

    A lame, unrealistic reading of Turkey. Relations with regional actors like Russia are driven by a wide range of mutual interests based on regional realpolitik from energy to Syria.Not because it is ‘upset’ w/ NATO,nor does it need to be brought ‘back under the…
    5 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    14 hours ago

    's central bank started using "unorthodox monetary policy" at the end of 2010 during gov. Erdem Basci's tenure. -> Since then USDTRY went from 1.55 to 4.55. -> Inflation went from ~5% to 11%

    1 reply 25 retweets 33 likes
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  16. 3 hours ago

    Top notch team...Sevki will be missed...

    One of the big accelerators of reform process in Ukraine has been ,if not the biggest. and Şevki Acuner together did unforgettable contribution to Ukraine.
    1 retweet 3 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    Neither did we 😤

    2 replies 44 retweets 130 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    3 hours ago

    "Gazprom is being run for its Putin-linked contractors, not for its shareholders"

    11 retweets 14 likes
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  19. 3 hours ago

    Turkey - Bloomberg reporting that Simsek and Cetinkaya in London confirmed no plans for capital controls (not even thought about) and CBRT prepared to further tighten if need be.

    5 replies 37 retweets 38 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    20 hours ago

    The northern Syrian equivalent of this would be a Turkish-Russian deal, minus the YPG, to restore Assad’s power in northwestern Syria -Russia is already on to this, in my view

    An Israeli-Russian deal to restore Assad in the south minus Iran & Hezbollah would turn attention next to Turkish & US troops in the north & east
    5 replies 3 retweets 1 like
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