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NEW - My latest on escalating dynamics between
#Israel &#Iran in#Syria: - "The days of ‘rolling back’#Tehran in#Syria are gone. Containment & deterrence may be all that's left. And the situation is too dangerous for#Trump to kick down the road.” https://thebea.st/2GMzJ2l?source=twitter&via=desktop …pic.twitter.com/00Rq6uQP1vShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
The
@DeptofDefense's Train & Equip program was destined to fail before it even started - it's restrictions & refusal to work with on-ground realities guaranteed relations only with corrupt, opportunists - like Abu Zayd. Sadly, the#Obama White House knew this - *from the start.*https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/996511248736014337 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
UK Shadow Foreign Minister,
@EmilyThornberry: -#Assad has a greater “depth and breadth of support than is recognised in the West - The UK should support#Russia's efforts in#Astana &#Sochi -#Moscow's vetos in the UN are nothing unusual https://gu.com/p/8j89b/stw pic.twitter.com/XMaTbCTQsNShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Very good by
@WashInstitute’s@meisenstadt58: - Not only is#Syria’s war far from over, but the#Assad regime’s victories over rebel forces have sparked a series of “wars after the war” that could undermine recent gains & create opportunities for the US" https://www.the-american-interest.com/2018/05/15/has-the-assad-regime-won-syrias-civil-war/ …pic.twitter.com/SAgkjqXcKlThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Quite a
#Ramadancommercial from
@Zain - featuring#Trump,#Merkel,#Trudeau,#Putin,#KimJongUn & more…https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JIJB7cv97Dg&feature=youtu.be …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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“
#Syria’s#Assad Is Desperate for Soldiers -- The problem is that few want to fight for him.” -@samdagher with another great piece for@TheAtlantic: https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/05/syria-assad-conscription-refugees-lebanon/560282/?utm_source=twb …pic.twitter.com/O6TJOSqxb0Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
#Jordan is softening its stance towards#Syria’s#Assad regime; recent U.S. &#Israel strikes proved largely unpopular. -@plato010 for@MiddleEastInst https://www.mei.edu/content/article/jordan-softening-stand-syrian-regime …pic.twitter.com/Yl7nqTZIQUThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
“
#Russia's air defenses were caught on video getting beaten badly by#Israel's forces in#Syria — here are#Moscow's excuses” -@danielbrown2011 https://read.bi/2rIS9L2 pic.twitter.com/KBQImXfP0VThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
.@UmarFarooq_reports on
@hisaam2fesi’s efforts to manage a fledging “National Army,” backed by#Turkey in northern#Syria. - "We will work to advance the goals of the revolution & we're ready to fight anyone in the way, including#ISIS, [#HTS], or the [#Assad] regime.”pic.twitter.com/21LxMCuaMBThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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The 12th & final
#Turkey post was near Jisr al-Shughour -- the most sensitive TSK position given#Assad regime’s clear desire to [eventually] neutralize opposition control there & thus reduce threats to the loyalist coastal heartlands.pic.twitter.com/d8O7tbMx4cShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
*Important* After 7 months,
#Turkey has completed its ring of 12 military observation posts spanning western#Aleppo,#Idlib & northern#Hama. With#Russia’s backing,#Ankara seeks to deter any#Iran-backed#Assad regime ground offensive in northwest#Syria & mass refugee flow.pic.twitter.com/9R6PIVhBeOShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
I understand the U.S is interested in possible
#Iraq ground ops penetrating from east-west into#Syria’s Al-Bukamal region, to confront#ISIS on two fronts -- the#SDF leading from the other axis.#Russia-administered region held by#ISIS south of Euphrates would not be touched.https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/996419280110485504 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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Charles Lister Retweeted
Lots of mixed reports about the opposition’s next internal move in NW
#Syria. Negotiations are ongoing about a sizable,#Turkey-backed merger - potentially into an expanded "National Army." Obstacle/challenge is#HTS, which may possibly dissolve itself as per#Ankara’s demand.pic.twitter.com/6cB2q14X4iShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Fantastic paper by my
@MiddleEastInst colleague Bilal Saab - excellent detail: - "Beyond the Proxy Powder Keg: The Specter of War Between#SaudiArabia &#Iran” https://www.mei.edu/sites/default/files/publications/PP3_Saab_IranSaudi.pdf …pic.twitter.com/dTvKjGCQk3Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Interesting.
#Israel’s April strik on#Syria’s T4 Airbase targeted a newly arrived "3rd Khordad” air-defense system; a copy of#Russia’s S-300. - You could say that’s a very big, thick red line for the#IRGC to try to cross. http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5258754,00.html …pic.twitter.com/p4nbNuxG9PThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Interesting interview by
@IbnNabih1 w. a Harakat#Taliban fighter in NW#Syria. Brief short: -#Turkey’s ok, so long as they don’t establish political control -#HTS is paranoid about competition - x3 priority enemies:#Assad,#Iran,#Russia - Allegiance to#Taliban in Afghan.https://twitter.com/IbnNabih1/status/995770997553926146 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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Another node here is the possibility that Jaish al-Islam - newly arrived from
#EastGhouta - may soon join the#Turkey-backed National Army. Their inclusion would prove a major obstacle to successful#HTS dissolution & integration. The two are far from being on friendly terms.Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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