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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Apr 9

    NEW - My latest on escalating dynamics between & in : - "The days of ‘rolling back’ in are gone. Containment & deterrence may be all that's left. And the situation is too dangerous for to kick down the road.”

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  2. Yikes. Former officials Steve Simon & Jon Stevenson call on EU states to withdraw their ambassadors from . - Bold, to say the least.

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  3. Hang on a minute - U.S. SOF in are within "coffee breath" range of Israeli forces? Hmmm...

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  4. Also newly arrived from , Faylaq al-Rahman are included in this process. Together, Faylaq & Jaish al-Islam would prove a substantial force multiplier to NW opposition — which though focused on / for now, insist on anti- & anti-/AQ moves in .

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  5. As part of their withdrawal from , Jaish al-Islam ceded their weaponry — to remain an active & relevant actor, they now require a close working relationship with the -backed coalition of NW .

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  6. Very interesting - -backed Liwa al-Mo’tassem hosted a strategy meeting in northern w. Jaish al-Islam, newly arrived from . Interim Govt. helped facilitate. Comes after similar meet w. Sultan Murad. = Talk of their uniting into the National Army is rife.

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  7. Big uptick in air actions against in - a total of 46 strikes from May 4-10. Most hit IED/VBIED factories, fighter positions etc., but one strike hit an “IED belt” — a particularly expensive use of means at disposal.

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  8. May 11

    "This is the operation that broke the skull of . Other operations were just breaking bones,” said … “Soon, will be killed or captured.”

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  9. May 11

    ’s ‘Warriors of God’ Brace for a Showdown With ” - Good work by , quoting/citing Nick Blanford & :

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  10. May 11

    After a Pantsir-S1 AD newly-provided by was destroyed in ’s recent strikes, suggests there’s no urgent reason to provide with the S-300. That’s a “win” for , after his visit to .

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  11. May 11

    ’s released imagery of some of the 35 -linked sites attacked in . Officials also estimate most of ’s “$750 million” investment in IRGC infrastructure in Syria was destroyed -- a message to the Iranian people.

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  12. Retweeted
    May 10

    Why this is significant: •Message to Russia as much as to Assad •Follows Netanyahu -Putin meeting •As told me 2 weeks ago, Israel is giving up on Russia to curb Assad and Iran in Syria •Some reports said Putin was notified beforehand of strikes

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  13. Retweeted
    May 10

    : Israel Video footage showing destruction of Pantsir S1 system that was just delivered to Assad in last night strikes. Video:

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  14. May 10

    Ladies & gentlemen: let me introduce a prominent representative of ’s regime - who suggests Israelis (i.e. Jews) “live like rats forever.”

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  15. May 10

    is already signing agreements for agricultural investment & distribution… Not to be excluded, is now getting in on the game:

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  16. May 10

    Map released by shows scope of ’s strikes on -linked targets in southern overnight. x35 targets hit. x28 F-15 & F-16s involved.

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  17. May 10

    According to intel, was pre-informed by of its plan to launch rockets into the . Yesterday, spent **10hrs** in with . No warning was provided. = Tell me a little more about why we should trust Russia?

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  18. May 9

    According to on-ground reports, jets & cruise missiles may have hit 12+ /-linked targets across SW & outer tonight -- in response to 40+ Iranian rockets/missiles fired into the . A big escalation, on both sides. It’s been coming.

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  19. May 9

    Judging by initial reports, no missiles/rockets hit populated areas in , so casualties are unlikely. If accurate, that’s a minimalist retaliation from the , probably judged sufficient to prevent any overwhelming response. A balanced escalation...

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  20. May 9

    There you have it - ’s retaliation to ’s strikes has come. 40+ rockets fired into the tonight - air raid sirens and air defense response on red alert. => Reports of IAF cruise missiles on multiple targets in ’s , incl. al-Khader, an HQ.

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  21. May 7

    Interesting - 's Gina Haspel helped coordinate capture of Ahmed Salameh Mabruk in in mid-1998. His laptop, seized at the time, was described as “the Rosetta Stone of Al-Qaeda.” He was rendered to ; released in 2011 & arrived in 2015; killed in Oct 2016.

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