Yury Barmin

@russia_mideast

Consulting & analysis on Russia's Middle East policy | MENA | Interested in the Gulf | barmin.inquiries@gmail.com

Joined March 2013
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Mar 26

    Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's President for another 6 years and will continue to seek more presence in the Middle East. In these two videos I delve into Challenges () and Opportunities () that await Putin in MENA in 2018-24

    1 reply 8 retweets 22 likes
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  2. 41 minutes ago

    Iranian TV reports that Russia, Turkey and Iran agreed that Afrin should be handed over to the Syrian government

    2 replies 6 retweets 3 likes
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  3. 45 minutes ago

    Safe to say that we are witnessing a transformation of the Syrian conflict: The future of rebel areas is to be integrated into government-controlled territory. However the key confrontation, political and possibly military, is going to be with the SDF

    2 replies 4 retweets 6 likes
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  4. 48 minutes ago

    Judging by the Putin-Erdogan-Rouhani press conference the three finally converge on the issue of SDF-controlled areas and US involvement there: They see it as an attempt to break Syria into parts.

    1 reply 7 retweets 2 likes
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  5. 4 hours ago

    Russia-Turkey-Iran trilateral summit on Syria kicks off in Ankara

    0:20
    Россия, Турция и Иран решают судьбу Сирии: В Анкаре начался трехсторонний саммит Путина, Эрдогана и Рухани
    1 reply 5 retweets 5 likes
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  6. 21 hours ago

    In Turkey, Putin says delivery of S-400 to Turkey is now Russia's priority. He also expressed hope that Ankara will continue procuring arms from Moscow.

    1 reply 10 retweets 8 likes
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  7. Apr 3

    There is a bunch of issues that impede stronger cooperation: Turks still need a visa to travel to Russia; Turkish Stream capacity reduced; Ankara flirting with DC on the issue of Patriots despite S-400 contract; some trade barriers remain in place

    1 reply 5 retweets 8 likes
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  8. Apr 3

    Putin is in Turkey today on his first foreign trip after re-election. Syria is certainly on the agenda for the Russia-Turkey-Iran talks but first and foremost Putin will focus on economic cooperation with Ankara as he brings an enormous government delegation for bilateral summit

    1 reply 44 retweets 35 likes
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  9. Apr 1

    A source tells me the US asked Qatar to expel a number of Russian diplomats from the embassy in Doha as a show of solidarity with the West over . US allegedly identified Qatar as a weak link in MENA whose move could motivate others to follow suit, but Qatar refused

    10 replies 70 retweets 67 likes
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  10. Mar 29

    According to older generation in the North Caucasus that was the guardian of centuries-long traditions is losing to younger generation that introduces Sharia to Chechnya, Dagestan and Ingushetia.

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  11. Mar 29

    Russian paper that makes unique investigations on the North Caucasus rolls out results of their multi-year research project on Islam there. Key finding is that young people are bringing Islam to N/Caucasus, while secularism is receding

    1 reply 11 retweets 6 likes
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  12. Mar 28

    Spoke on the Russia-GCC relations at the / event today in London. W/

    1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
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  13. Mar 26

    I hated making any comments about this UK-Russia spat over alleged poisoning, but massive expulsion of Russian diplomats by the US and the EU on a day when the entire country is in a state of shock and is mourning deaths of dozens of kids who perished yday is impossible to fathom

    12 replies 78 retweets 134 likes
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  14. Mar 26

    Realistically speaking stronger political ties between Moscow and Doha may only exist in a trilateral format Russia-Turkey-Qatar. This could create a stronger diplomatic and even military cover for Doha if it proposes that Russia is included in its military drills with Turkey

    2 replies 13 retweets 8 likes
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  15. Mar 26

    But at the same it is not the UAE or KSA but Qatar that produced the largest investment deal for Moscow in recent years (Rosneft deal), so Russia is looking to capitalize on the rift that exists in the GCC financially

    3 replies 12 retweets 9 likes
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  16. Mar 26

    One of the reasons why Qatar doubles down on relations with Moscow is the uncertainty in relations with the US. If this uncertainty is eliminated during Emir Tamim's visit to DC, Russia may find itself abandoned, which is why it is cautious about Qatari efforts in the first place

    1 reply 13 retweets 7 likes
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  17. Mar 26

    The Emir's visit should foremost be seen in the context of the Saudi King's trip to Russia in October. In Moscow it is seen as a GCC competition to score higher with foreign partners. It is less about Moscow itself but more about the Qatar-Saudi rivalry

    1 reply 10 retweets 5 likes
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  18. Mar 26

    The Emir of Qatar is in Moscow today before he sets off for the US. It's his first trip to Russia since the beginning of the GCC crisis. My Qatari contacts keep saying that Doha wants a real breakthrough in relations with Moscow but Putin is likely to be skeptical. Here's why:

    1 reply 34 retweets 24 likes
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  19. Mar 22

    Putin spoke to Omar Bashir on the phone and accepted his invitation to visit Sudan. To give you some context, last time Bashir came to Russia he asked Putin to set up a military base in Sudan. Some also say that Russian PMCs now operate in this country

    1 reply 21 retweets 19 likes
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