The Observers – Solar Report Archive – QuakeWatch.net – Observing the Frontier 2018

 Get Space Weather Alerts with
The Disaster Prediction App

download_on_the_app_store_badge-svg
en_badge_web_generic

CLICK-2-LEARN | WHAT IS SPACE WEATHER?

Become an Expert: Weatherman’s Guide to the Sun !

 

 

 

Introducing our first children’s book: Kira and Lulu visit the Sun!

Makes a Perfect Gift!

Backup Solar Imager: GOES X-Rays [NOAA]

DAILY EARTH & SUN REPORT:


For the Article Links, Go To The YouTube Video

LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Dec 27 1218UTC) Solar wind phi angle shift caused brief instability in earth’s magnetic field. Coronal hole effects are expected within 24 hours. Solar flaring is expected to remain low.
(Dec 25 1221UTC) The solar wind expected to arrive did so overnight. It was moderately intense in speed but low-intensity in density and plasma temperature. Thus-far we have no geomagnetic instability.

SOLAR FLARES (GOES)
Learn about solar flares here. If neither plot is updating use the backup.
GOES X-ray 3-day plot
ACE MAG
GOES Magnetometer SAT ENV Space Weather disruptions show as large spikes. Space Weather calm shows as smooth curves.
SAT ENV
GOES X-ray 3-day plot
Solar Wind Telemetry (ACE) ACE MAG

Learn About Solar Wind Here
[Red] Negative Bz is Disruptive to Earth’s Magnetic Field
[Blue] Shows the Polar Angle of the Magnetic Field
[Orange] Avg. SW Density is 0.1-10 Protons/Cubic Centimeter
[Yellow] Avg. SW Speed is 350-400 Kilometers/Second
[Green] SW Temp over 500,000K is ‘High’

SAT ENV KP Index [0-3] Green - Stable/Calm Magnetosphere. [4] Yellow - Unstable Magnetosphere. [5+] Red - Geomagnetic Storm Conditions
SAT ENV GOES Proton Flux - This shows the High Energy Proton bombardment. The dotted line represents the " level 1 radiation storm" baseline and each incremental level upward is another level of storm conditions.
SAT ENV GOES Electron Flux This shows the High Energy Electron Bombardment. The radiation storm levels occur when the Red/Blue curves cross the dotted/hashed line. Each factor of 10 (next line up) represents a higher level of radiation storm.

If a solar eruption is ever ACTUALLY going to affect earth’s power grid, the satellites will be affected first. See the spacecraft hazards charts below:

SEAESRT Spacecraft Charging Hazards plot
SEAESRT Space Environment plot
SEAESRT Hazard Quotients plot
SEAESRT Spacecraft Charging Hazards plot
SEAESRT Space Environment plot
SEAESRT Hazard Quotients plot

The 6 charts above are simple. Green is good. Yellow is approaching charging levels. Red is satellite charging hazard. If you see lots of Red here and a KP of 9 following a large solar flare or other solar eruption (and then your internet and power go down) there is a chance the sun has taken it away.

ACE MAG The chart above shows the critical frequency of the F2 ionospheric layer. Also see the explanation for the TEC display to the right of this panel.
ACE MAG
ACE MAG
ACE MAG Quiet periods have smooth flat lines. The disruptions here are to the ionosphere.
ACE MAG This TEC chart is from the German Space Weather Application Center. With dozens of similar charts online, the novelty of this one remained unknown to us until May 2016. Now we have a better way of monitoring incoming energy to our planet.

Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) has moved to QuakeWatch.net

ACE MAG
ACE MAG
ACE MAG

The Three D-RAP Charts above show Atmosphere and Ionosphere Effect from Space Weather
Top chart will always show any flare irradiance. Center chart will begin showing effects at radio blackout levels. The bottom chart will only light up during significant events.

ACE MAG This chart shows the forecasted and observed high energy electron bombardment in near-earth space.

Communications Conditions courtesy of www.hamqsl.com/solar.html

Long-Term Solar Progression

ACE MAG This shows the current sunspot number and tracks it since 2000. This cycle was weaker than most, one of the weakest on record. It appears we will soon descend into solar sunspot minimum, but on the descent we may see powerful (albeit fewer) solar flares.
ACE MAG Usually we can judge solar activity by sunspot number and solar flare magnitude but sometimes that is not the case. The sunspots can be inactive or the flares can be on the side of the sun, or there could be filament, coronal hole, nano flare or other activity. The radio flux is a great all-around measurement of activity.
ACE MAG A Year of solar wind from Solen.info
ACE MAG A Year of electron flux from Solen.info
ACE MAG

This chart is yet another one from Solen.info – it shows the current solar cycle sunspot counts compared to previous cycles.

This free resource is supported by Suspicious0bservers.org.