El Niño and La Niña Years and Intensities Based on Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) Jan Null, CCM
Updated July 2017 |  |
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The Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) has become the de-facto standard that NOAA uses for identifying El Niño (warm) and La
Niña (cool) events in the tropical Pacific. It is the running 3-month mean SST anomaly for the
Niño 3.4 region (i.e., 5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW). Events are defined as 5 consecutive
overlapping 3-month periods at or above the +0.5o anomaly for warm (El
Niño) events and at or below the -0.5 anomaly for cold (La
Niña) events. The threshold is further broken down into Weak (with a 0.5 to 0.9 SST anomaly), Moderate (1.0 to 1.4),
Strong (1.5 to 1.9) and Very Strong (≥
2.0) events. For the purpose of this report for an event to be
categorized as weak, moderate, strong or very strong it must have equaled or exceeded the threshold for at least 3
consecutive overlapping 3-month periods. [* Important note: This list was changed in
July 2015 to reflect the use of
ERSSTv4 by CPC in the calculation of Sea Surface Temperatures (SST).] |
El Niño |
La Niña |
Weak |
Mod |
Strong |
Very Strong |
Weak |
Mod |
Strong |
1951-52 |
1963-64 |
1957-58 |
1982-83 |
1950-51 |
1955-56 |
1973-74 |
1952-53 |
1986-87 |
1965-66 |
1997-98 |
1954-55 |
1970-71 |
1975-76 |
1953-54 |
1987-88 |
1972-73 |
2015-16 |
1964-65 |
1998-99 |
1988-89 |
1958-59 |
1991-92 |
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1967-68 |
1999-00 |
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1968-69 |
2002-03 |
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1971-72 |
2007-08 |
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1969-70 |
2009-10 |
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1974-75 |
2010-11 |
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1976-77 |
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1983-84 |
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1977-78 |
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1984-85 |
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1979-80 |
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1995-96 |
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1994-95 |
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2000-01 |
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2004-05 |
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2011-12 |
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2006-07 |
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2016-17 |
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Running 3-Month Mean ONI values http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml
WE=Weak El
Niño, ME=Moderate El
Niño, SE=Strong El
Niño,
VSE=Very Strong El Niño
WL=Weak La
Niña, ML=Moderate La
Niña, SL=Strong La
Niña
ENSO |
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Type |
Season |
JJA |
JAS |
ASO |
SON |
OND |
NDJ |
DJF |
JFM |
FMA |
MAM |
AMJ |
MJJ |
WL |
1950 |
- |
1951 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.6 |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
WE* |
1951 |
- |
1952 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
WE |
1952 |
- |
1953 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
WE |
1953 |
- |
1954 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
WL |
1954 |
- |
1955 |
-0.5 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
ML |
1955 |
- |
1956 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-1.0 |
-1.4 |
-1.6 |
-1.4 |
-0.9 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.4 |
* |
1956 |
- |
1957 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
SE |
1957 |
- |
1958 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
WE |
1958 |
- |
1959 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
-0.2 |
|
1959 |
- |
1960 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
|
1960 |
- |
1961 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
1961 |
- |
1962 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
|
1962 |
- |
1963 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
ME |
1963 |
- |
1964 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
-0.3 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
WL |
1964 |
- |
1965 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
SE |
1965 |
- |
1966 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
1966 |
- |
1967 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.2 |
0.0 |
WL |
1967 |
- |
1968 |
0.0 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.5 |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
WE |
1968 |
- |
1969 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
WE |
1969 |
- |
1970 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
-0.3 |
ML |
1970 |
- |
1971 |
-0.6 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.9 |
-1.2 |
-1.3 |
-1.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
WL |
1971 |
- |
1972 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.9 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.4 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
SE |
1972 |
- |
1973 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
-0.4 |
-0.8 |
SL |
1973 |
- |
1974 |
-1.0 |
-1.2 |
-1.4 |
-1.7 |
-1.9 |
-1.9 |
-1.7 |
-1.5 |
-1.2 |
-1.0 |
-0.9 |
-0.8 |
WL |
1974 |
- |
1975 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.6 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
SL |
1975 |
- |
1976 |
-1.0 |
-1.1 |
-1.3 |
-1.4 |
-1.5 |
-1.6 |
-1.5 |
-1.1 |
-0.7 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
WE |
1976 |
- |
1977 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
WE |
1977 |
- |
1978 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
|
1978 |
- |
1979 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
WE |
1979 |
- |
1980 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
1980 |
- |
1981 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
-0.2 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
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1981 |
- |
1982 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
VSE |
1982 |
- |
1983 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
WL |
1983 |
- |
1984 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
-0.3 |
-0.6 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
WL |
1984 |
- |
1985 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.6 |
-0.9 |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
|
1985 |
- |
1986 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
ME |
1986 |
- |
1987 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
ME |
1987 |
- |
1988 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
-0.3 |
-0.8 |
-1.2 |
SL |
1988 |
- |
1989 |
-1.2 |
-1.1 |
-1.2 |
-1.4 |
-1.7 |
-1.8 |
-1.6 |
-1.4 |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
|
1989 |
- |
1990 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
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1990 |
- |
1991 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
ME |
1991 |
- |
1992 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
|
1992 |
- |
1993 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
|
1993 |
- |
1994 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
WE |
1994 |
- |
1995 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
WL |
1995 |
- |
1996 |
-0.2 |
-0.5 |
-0.7 |
-0.9 |
-1.0 |
-0.9 |
-0.9 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
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1996 |
- |
1997 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.4 |
-0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
VSE |
1997 |
- |
1998 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
-0.1 |
ML |
1998 |
- |
1999 |
-0.7 |
-1.0 |
-1.2 |
-1.2 |
-1.3 |
-1.4 |
-1.4 |
-1.2 |
-1.0 |
-0.9 |
-0.9 |
-1.0 |
ML |
1999 |
- |
2000 |
-1.0 |
-1.0 |
-1.1 |
-1.2 |
-1.4 |
-1.6 |
-1.6 |
-1.4 |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
WL |
2000 |
- |
2001 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
|
2001 |
- |
2002 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
ME |
2002 |
- |
2003 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
|
2003 |
- |
2004 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
WE |
2004 |
- |
2005 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
2005 |
- |
2006 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.4 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
-0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
WE |
2006 |
- |
2007 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
ML |
2007 |
- |
2008 |
-0.3 |
-0.6 |
-0.8 |
-1.1 |
-1.2 |
-1.3 |
-1.4 |
-1.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.7 |
-0.5 |
|
2008 |
- |
2009 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.5 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.4 |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
ME |
2009 |
- |
2010 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
-0.4 |
ML |
2010 |
- |
2011 |
-0.8 |
-1.1 |
-1.3 |
-1.4 |
-1.3 |
-1.4 |
-1.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.8 |
-0.6 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
WL |
2011 |
- |
2012 |
-0.3 |
-0.5 |
-0.7 |
-0.9 |
-0.9 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.6 |
-0.5 |
-0.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
|
2012 |
- |
2013 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
|
2013 |
- |
2014 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
-0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
2014 |
- |
2015 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
VSE |
2015 |
- |
2016 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
WL |
2016 |
- |
2017 |
-0.3 |
-0.6 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
-0.7 |
-0.4 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
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