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AIimpacts.org aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence.

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FROM THE BLOG

    • AI hopes and fears in numbers
    AI hopes and fears in numbers

    2017-06-28|No Comment

    People often wonder what AI researchers think about AI risk. A good collections of quotes can tell us that it is no longer a fringe view: many big names[...]

    • Some survey results!
    Some survey results!

    2017-06-08|2 Comments

    We put the main results of our survey of machine learning researchers on AI timelines online recently—see here for the paper. Apologies for the delay—we are trying to avoid spoiling[...]

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Featured Articles
  • AI Timeline Surveys

    We know of thirteen surveys on the predicted timing of human-level AI. If we collapse a few slightly different meanings of ‘human-level AI’, then before adding the most recent survey (2016 ESPAI, results pending): Median estimates for when there will be […]

  • AI Risk Terminology

    AI timeline – an expectation about how much time will lapse before important AI events, especially the advent of human-level AI or a similar milestone. The term can also refer to the actual periods of time (which are not yet […]

  • Progress in general purpose factoring

    The largest number factored to date grew by about 4.5 decimal digits per year over the past roughly half-century. Between 1988, when we first have good records, and 2009, when the largest number to date was factored, progress was […]

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  • AI Impacts research bounties

    We are offering rewards for several inputs to our research, described below. These offers have no specific deadline except where noted. We may modify them or take them down, but will give at least one week’s notice […]

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Recent Article Updates
  • 2016 ESPAI Questions Printout

    This page is a printout of the survey questions provided by the Qualtrics website as a word document, and then copied here, for searchability. It contains formatting differences with the survey as received by participants, and probably […]

    2017-06-26 0
  • 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI

    The 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is a survey of machine learning researchers that AI Impacts ran in collaboration with others in 2016. Details Some results are reported in When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence […]

    2016-12-14 0
  • Media discussion of 2016 ESPAI

    The 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI was discussed in at least 20 media outlets, popular blogs, and industry-specific sites that we know of. Most of them were summaries of the survey findings. Commonly […]

    2017-06-14 0
  • AI Timeline Surveys

    We know of thirteen surveys on the predicted timing of human-level AI. If we collapse a few slightly different meanings of ‘human-level AI’, then before adding the most recent survey (2016 ESPAI, results pending): Median estimates for when there will be […]

    2015-01-10

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