Efficient markets?

by on June 19, 2017 at 9:25 pm in Economics | Permalink

From Morgan Housel on twitter.

1 Jan June 19, 2017 at 9:37 pm

Will the market reach equilibrium before I can buy all the new paperbacks and sell them used for a profit?

Morgan’s Twitter link should be: https://twitter.com/morganhousel

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2 FN June 20, 2017 at 2:18 am

It will. As a matter of fact what we see here are ask prices. We don’t see bid prices. The arbitrage would be there if the ask price for new books was lower than the bid price for used books

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3 Oz June 19, 2017 at 10:25 pm

Ask quotes need not be “rational”, especially in such a thin market, do they? Only thing that matters is the execution price.

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4 Jack PQ June 19, 2017 at 10:43 pm

+1. This is interesting, but if the prices do not represent market transactions, there is no contradiction. Just like silly Amazon items asking for $9999.99. Still, it makes you wonder why the pricing algorithm does not track the New item price. I assume they are automated and not manually changed.

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5 Martin Manley June 19, 2017 at 11:06 pm

Of course many “used” copies are actually new, unread copies sold by third parties. Some may be remaindered. Amazon cannot suppress these algorithmically without stepping on the price of collectible books.

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6 Dan Lavatan-Jeltz June 19, 2017 at 11:08 pm

The fact there are zero reviews implies markets are efficient, but if someone bought the book believing that it would prove they aren’t. Classic Catch-22 makes me want to leave by the emergency entrance.

The used books are worth more, one is autographed by one of Ang’s graduate students, and Morgan Housel jerked off into the other so you can sequence his DNA from it.

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7 carlospln June 19, 2017 at 11:41 pm

File under: ‘Speculative’

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8 Benjamin Cole June 19, 2017 at 11:47 pm

I think markets are efficient. Why would I spend $75 on a book on investing? It recommends the best brands of darts?

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9 Ray Lopez June 19, 2017 at 11:53 pm

It’s a required textbook maybe?

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10 Alan Goldhammer June 20, 2017 at 8:30 am

“It’s a required textbook maybe?”
Probably given the outlandish prices charged for text books these days. alternatively, one can download all of Warren Buffett’s letters to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway and learn more.

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11 dearieme June 20, 2017 at 8:17 am

Well said, sir.

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12 Axa June 20, 2017 at 7:02 am

The offer is still there: https://www.amazon.com/Efficient-Market-Theory-Evidence-Implications/dp/1601984685/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1497953690&sr=8-1&keywords=the+efficient+market+theory+and+evidence

2 sellers have an even lower price compared to Amazon for the new book. Perhaps Amazon cut their price to match the lower ones, but the others have not an automated way to do this.

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13 Dick the Butcher June 20, 2017 at 8:01 am

I’d borrow it from the public library. I imagine I’d find it in the “New Books – Science Fiction” stacks.

Question: Can a rigged market be efficient?

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14 Carlito Brigante June 20, 2017 at 10:56 am

In a word.

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15 Ricky Tylor June 20, 2017 at 1:36 pm

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17 bjartur June 20, 2017 at 4:40 pm

$9.82 for highlighting services. Could be a good deal if they highlighted the right stuff.

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18 Scott Sumner June 20, 2017 at 5:26 pm

Even I found that funny.

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19 Larry Siegel June 20, 2017 at 8:41 pm

Obviously the market is telling us that used books are worth more than new books.

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20 zztop June 21, 2017 at 1:04 am

The marginal notes of readers serve as an epiphany to an otherwise turgid text.

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