(cache) Trump "on an island, all alone" - Axios
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Trump "on an island, all alone"

Carolyn Kaster / AP

The spotlight has been on President Trump's legal jeopardy. But inside the small circle of top Republicans who advise this White House, there's increasing concern that future political problems are stacking up.

One of the oldest (and most trusted) hands in America told a large group of CEOs in New York City on Friday: "Simply put, Trump has lost control of his presidency. He still has all the power of the office, but for someone who spent a portion of his life in real estate litigation, he shows once again he has not learned the first rule of legal combat: It is often better to say nothing and do nothing."

That voice isn't a partisan, but our kitchen cabinet of Republicans is growing notably more bearish, even though slam-dunk evidence of "high crimes and misdemeanors" hasn't emerged.

"Another week, and no progress on the GOP agenda," said a GOP sage. "Infrastructure Week turned into Comey Week. No one really knows Trump and came to D.C. with him. He is a president on an island, all alone. ... [T]he ability to get anything done is in double jeopardy."

  • What Republicans fear: a downward spiral in which the Russia distractions make it harder to pass Trump's agenda, new talent won't come into the West Wing, top-shelf potential challengers are reluctant to run as Republicans in 2018, the House flips, and article of impeachment become a real risk.
  • Watch the Georgia special election results a week from Tuesday. It's officially the most expensive House race in history, and Democrats look like they could pick up a Republican seat.
  • Trump knows that he thrives with an opponent, so he personalized the investigation by making it Trump v. Comey, personally calling out his fired FBI director and offering to take him on under oath. In the short run, that plays well with the base, which wants a fighter. But it makes it harder to wall off the Oval Office by firing or disowning associates.
Be smart: Comey's failure to deliver a smoking gun has bought Trump some time . But so far, he's shown no indication that he has a plan — or the will — to use that time to change the course of events.
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Court upholds block on Trump's travel ban

Andrew Harnik / AP

The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals has affirmed the injunction on President Trump's travel ban.

"We conclude that the President, in issuing the Executive Order, exceeded the scope of the authority delegated to him by Congress."

Trump's tweets matter: The decision cites a Trump tweet as evidence that Trump understands it is "'countries" that are inherently dangerous, "rather than the 180 million individual nationals of those countries who are barred from entry under the President's 'travel ban.'"

About vetting: "There is no finding that present vetting standards are inadequate, and no finding that absent the improved vetting procedures there likely will be harm to our national interests."

Past court action: This upholds the block that originally came from a federal judge in Hawaii in March. The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals stopped the previous version of the travel ban, and the administration has asked the Supreme Court to review the matter.

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D.C. and Maryland sue Trump over alleged conflicts of interest

Pablo Martinez Monsivais / AP

The attorneys general of Washington, D.C. and Maryland are planning to sue President Trump for allegedly accepting payments and gifts from foreign governments while working in the White House, which they argue is in violation of the Constitution's emoluments clause, per the Washington Post.

Their case: They hone in on the fact that Trump kept ownership of the Trump Organization after he was inaugurated, and allege the president has "broken many promises to keep separate his public duties and private interests." Examples cited include his continuing to receive Trump Org financial reports as president (as his son Eric revealed); and stays by foreign leaders and diplomats at Trump hotels.

The A.G.s told the Post their suit largely focuses on the claim that many D.C. and Maryland-based venues are losing customers to Trump International Hotel near the White House. And if a judge takes up their case, they say one of their first actions will be to demand copies of Trump's tax returns and financial records to evaluate his foreign business dealings.

Flashback: This isn't the first lawsuit that has been brought against Trump for alleged conflicts of interest. Back in January, a non-governmental organization, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, filed a similar suit claiming Trump's involvement in the family company created unfair competition. And in March, D.C. restaurant Cork Wine Bar sued, claiming the restaurant at Trump Hotel had an unfair advantage as it is associated with the president.

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It's official: Emil Michael leaves Uber

Emil Michael has stepped down as chief business officer at Uber, as the result of a wide-ranging workplace investigation that was kicked off by allegations of sexual harassment and gender discrimination by a former Uber engineer. Michael was not named in those claims, but the investigation ― led by former U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder ― nonetheless determined that he should be removed.

Michael announced the news internally on Monday morning via an email, which added that current SVP of strategic initiatives David Richter will be promoted to SVP of business. Uber itself declined to comment.

Why it matters: Michael has been Uber's second-most powerful executive behind CEO Travis Kalanick, and also is largely credited with much of its fundraising prowess.

Why he's out: It's unclear. There were reports last week that Michael inappropriately viewed a medical file of an Uber passenger in India who was raped by her driver (he's now in prison), which was somehow in the possession of an Uber employee who reported to Michael (and who was fired after the reports came out).

  1. Those same reports suggest Kalanick also viewed the documents, but there was no recommendation by Holder that he lose his job.
  2. The sourcing is anonymous, and a source close to Michael who Axios spoke with says he never viewed the file ― which the same source adds was part of a larger case file prepared by an India law firm at the request of Uber's general counsel.
  3. All of this suggests that Michael's departure is related to prior acts, including a suggestion in 2014 that Uber dig up dirt on a reporter.
Michael signs off his memo by saying: "Uber has a long way to go to achieve all that it can and I am looking forwsrd to seeing what you accomplish in the years ahead."
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Trump boasts about his record at first full Cabinet meeting

Andrew Harnik / AP

President Trump held his first full Cabinet meeting at the White House this morning, with each Cabinet member introducing themselves to the assembled media while heaping praise on Trump. Trump himself got in on the hyperbole in his prepared statement at the top of the meeting:

  • "Never has there been a president — with a few exceptions, in the case of FDR, he had a major depression to handle — who's passed more legislation, who's done more things than we've done."
  • "I think we've been just about as active as we can be at a just about record-setting pace."
  • "If we had the greatest bill in the history of the world on health care, we wouldn't get one vote from the Democrats."
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Senate GOP won't release draft health care bill

J. Scott Applewhite / AP

Senate Republicans are on track to finish writing their draft health care bill this evening, but have no plans to publicly release the bill, according to two senior Senate GOP aides.

"We aren't stupid," said one of the aides. One issue is that Senate Republicans plan to keep talking about it after the draft is done: "We are still in discussions about what will be in the final product so it is premature to release any draft absent further member conversations and consensus."

Why it matters: Democratic senators are already slamming Republicans for the secrecy of their bill writing process, and this isn't going to help. Republicans are sure to release the bill at some point, but it's unclear when — and they want to vote on it in the next three weeks, before the July 4 recess.

What to watch: When the bill is finished, it'll be sent to the Congressional Budget Office. It'll take CBO about two weeks to evaluate and score a draft bill. Senate Republicans then want to vote on the bill before the July 4th recess. "Conversations with CBO continue" but there are no new announcements about timing, said Don Stewart, a spokesman for Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, when asked about these plans.

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Sessions to testify publicly tomorrow on Russia

Evan Vucci / AP

The Senate Intelligence Committee announced that Attorney General Jeff Sessions will testify in an open session Tuesday afternoon at 2:30pm Eastern — soon after the Department of Justice released a statement stating that Sessions had requested a public hearing.

What to expect: Russia, Russia, Russia. Sessions has been under pressure for weeks about undisclosed meetings with Russia's ambassador, and he also played a key role in James Comey's testimony. From the DOJ press release: "He believes it is important for the American people to hear the truth directly from him and looks forward to answering the committee's questions tomorrow."

Think about it: CNN reported yesterday that Sessions' offer to testify in front of Senate Intel was a move to potentially avoid testifying publicly. Now DOJ says he insisted the testimony be public. It's unclear how exactly it came together, but it's happening.

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China's lakes get a clean(er) bill of health

Weijiang Chen

Thanks to a variety of clean air and water regulations, China's infamously polluted waterways are looking cleaner.

According to a report published today in Nature Geosciences, phosphorous levels in China's lakes declined by 60% between 2006 and 2014. Phosphorous is a crucial nutrient for plant growth, but it's also a common byproduct of industry and used as a fertilizer. Too much of it can trigger the growth of harmful algae that, when it dies and decomposes, can consume the ecosystem's oxygen and kill all animal life.

Why it matters: Phosphorous pollution is a large source of water quality degradation globally that threatens biodiversity and the health of humans near polluted water. In the U.S., economic losses associated with high phosphorus levels in freshwaters is about $2.2 billion each year.

How they did it: Yan Lin of the Norwegian Institute for Water Research in Oslo and his colleagues took monthly measurements of phosphorous concentrations from 862 lakes across China and looked at the source of phosphorous in each lake separately.

What they found: Phosphorous levels have decreased in lakes in western, eastern, and central China. This corresponds with cleaner industry in the area and better sewage systems in the cities. However, in remote and relatively pristine Northeastern China levels of the mineral have increased, suggesting runoff of naturally-occurring phosphorous in the soil could be increasing due to logging.

Looking forward: Lin told Axios that building good sanitation and sewage infrastructure is the best way to stop phosphorous pollution. Although phosphorous levels in lakes decrease when pollution stops, phosphorous does build up in the soil. Lin notes that in places like Scandinavia and the U.S., lake phosphorous has started to increase despite anti-pollution measures. That's because phosphorous from pollutants builds up in the soil, and can continue to bleed into lakes for years to come. It doesn't mean that anti-pollution measures don't work, says Lin.

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Aldi's plan to become the 3rd-biggest U.S. grocer

Elise Amendola / AP

Discount grocery chain Aldi unveiled a plan Monday to invest $5 billion in the U.S. and increase its American store count to 2,500 in a move that will make the firm the third-largest grocer in the United States, behind Walmart and Kroger.

A bare-bones strategy: Aldi's rapid growth has been driven by offering a small selection of private-label brands in a small-store format. The firm has bet that shoppers are ready to trade selection and customer service for prices even cheaper than Walmart's.

What it means for workers: A recent analysis by British trade publication RetailWeek found that Aldi ranks as the U.K's most efficient grocer in terms of revenue per employee, and the firm is replicating this low-head-count strategy in the United States. The rise of Aldi dovetails with a recent trend of job losses in retail, and suggests that the industry will continue to search for success while trimming employment.

Fewer, but better jobs: Aldi invests heavily in recruitment and training for management positions, which become all the more important in a skeletal operation. Forbes reports that it pays new recruits $75,000 per year, while offering a year of on-the-job training and access to a company car.

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Where robot-makers go wrong

A quarter century ago, Colin Angle set out with two MIT colleagues with ambitions of putting walking robots in space. Today, Angle, CEO of iRobot, has settled for the world's best-selling robotic vacuum cleaner, the Roomba. It's not space, but, with about 16 million sold over the last 15 years, the Roomba is one of the best-selling consumer robots of any type ever.

Angle's message for commercial robot-makers: go short cool and complex; go long rugged, reliable and simple.

It's germane right now: Last Friday, Alphabet sold off Boston Dynamics, one of the world's most advanced robot-makers. The reasons: Boston Dynamics' walking, jumping robots were agile and cool, but contained no machine learning software, and, analysts say, had difficulty finding a commercial market.

That may or may not be true: Softbank, Boston Dynamics' purchaser, clearly thinks Alphabet is wrong about the company's commerciality. But, for all the hoopla over robots, not many have penetrated the consumer market yet. "Here we are, in 2017, and we're just about none of the way to achieving the potential that robots are going to play ultimately in our world," Angle told Axios at iRobot's headquarters in Bedford, Massachusetts.

Getting to vacuums was a journey: "My early days," Angle said, "was all building legged robots, and, you know, I think part of what — the reason why I ended up being so focused on practical robotics — is the transition I made from wanting to build Commander Data from Star Trek, or if not that at least legged, walking robots that could go explore other planets." He went on:

"For my master's thesis at MIT I built a robot so complicated that it just collapsed under its own crushing, like, complexity. You know, it had six legs. Each leg had four degrees of freedom. Each leg had its own microprocessor. There was hundreds of sensors on this robot, and it just _ I think the mean time between failures, was about seven minutes, and the promise of the legs was never realized."

That's where Angle learned his lesson: "Don't add anything to a robot design that doesn't need to be there. And so what we can we take out of the robot to make it more rugged, more reliable, even if it would be cool to add something."

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Qatar: "We are open for business"

AP

Qatar Finance Minister Ali Shareef Al Emadi told CNBC Monday that he thinks the countries that cut diplomatic ties with Qatar last week did so because they would "like to dictate our foreign policy."

  • On accusations Qatar financially supports militant groups: "We know who's behind it," said Al Emadi. "We know that all these things are really to put the propaganda against Qatar." When asked if he was referring to Saudi Arabia, Al Emadi said he would leave it to the audience to interpret.
  • Financial implications of diplomatic crisis: "We are business as usual and we are open for business... this is a country that's very resilient. We have the assets and the security we need... we know we can defend the currency or we can defend the economy."