(cache) Paul Ryan on Comey testimony: Trump is "new at this" - Axios
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Paul Ryan on Comey testimony: Trump is "new at this"

Andrew Harnik / AP

As Trump's fired FBI Director James Comey testified before Congress, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan told reporters that the president is new at this and that "he's not steeped in the ongoing protocols." Ryan added when prompted by questioning: "I'm not saying this is an excuse, I'm just saying it's my observation."

It's a "he said, he said" situation and Comey's word against Trump's (read more on that here). Ryan sidestepped most other questions on Comey, noting "I'm not gonna prejudge this."

Why the president is frustrated: "Because there's a lot of work to be done," Ryan said, referencing legislative work he is working on with the GOP, including trying to repeal the Dodd Frank Act.

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Comey: Sessions' involvement in Russia probe was "problematic"

Alex Brandon / AP

Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) asked James Comey why he chose not to tell Attorney General Jeff Sessions about his conversations with President Trump regarding Michael Flynn, even though Sessions had not yet recused himself from the Russia investigation:

WYDEN: "What was it about the Attorney General's own interactions with the Russians, or his behavior with regard to the investigation that would have led the entire leadership of the FBI to make this decision?"
COMEY: "Our judgment as I recall is that he was very close to and inevitably going to recuse himself for a variety of reasons, we were also aware of facts that I can't discuss in an open setting that would make his continued engagement in a Russia-related investigation problematic. And so we were convinced, in fact I think we had already heard, that the career people already recommended that he recuse himself, that he would not be in contact with Russia-related matters much longer, and that turned out to be the case."
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7 things we learned in Comey's first hour of testimony

Alex Brandon / AP

The big details, with more to come. Follow live-updates here.

  1. He considers Trump a liar and his assessment of the President's character — even before he took office — caused him to act differently in order to protect himself and the FBI. "The administration...chose to defame me and more important the FBI," Comey said. "Those were lies, plain and simple." He said his concern that Trump would lie about their one-on-one encounters was part of the reason why he took such detailed contemporaneous notes. Comey said he never had that concern about the two previous Presidents he'd served in different capacities.
  2. How deeply wounded he was by the way he was fired. We knew that Comey found out about his firing by looking up at a TV screen, but it was only after seeing him talk to his former colleagues at the hearing today that we got insight into how hurt he felt. "I am so sorry I didn't get to say goodbye to you publicly," Mr. Comey said to his former FBI colleagues, whom he knew would be watching on TV.
  3. Comey revealed how he leaked out his memo about the Trump dinner. He said he asked a good friend of his, a professor at Columbia Law School who he didn't name, to give it to the reporter (Michael Schmidt at the New York Times.) Comey said he leaked this out because he read about Trump's tweeting about the "tapes" of his conversation, and he hoped that it might prompt the appointment of a special counsel. As reporter Peter Baker noted on Twitter: "Can't remember the last time someone in DC openly acknowledged orchestrating a leak — and without any senator having even asked."
  4. Comey's senior FBI colleagues were as troubled as he was by the President's private comments. "I think they were as shocked and troubled by it as I was," Comey said. "They're all experienced people. They've never experienced such a thing."
  5. The former FBI director admits he was less than brave in the moment when he alleges the President made his request about easing off the Flynn probe. He says he didn't have the "presence of mind" or the courage to tell the President his request was inappropriate.
  6. Republicans and Democrats on the Intelligence committee appear to find Comey's testimony credible, despite the President denying he made the private comments about Flynn. James Risch, Republican Senator from Idaho, went so far as to praise Comey for the clarity and detail of his prose in his opening statement.
  7. Comey revealed that Trump wasn't the only top official he's found "concerning" over the past year. He said the former Attorney General Loretta Lynch told him to call the Hillary Clinton email investigation a "matter" instead of "an investigation." That "confused me and concerned me."
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Trump Jr: "Flynn stuff is BS in context"

Julio Cortez / AP

Donald Trump Jr. on Twitter:

"Flynn stuff is BS in context 2 guys talking about a guy they both know well. I hear 'I hope nothing happens but you have to do your job' very far from any kind of coercion or influence and certainly not obstruction! Knowing my father for 39 years when he 'orders or tells' you to do something there is no ambiguity, you will know exactly what he means. Hoping and telling are two very different things, you would think that a guy like Comey would know that. #givemeabreak Comey 'I could be wrong.' So if he was a 'Stronger guy' he might have actually followed procedure & the law? You were the director of the FBI, who are you kidding?"
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Trump "firmly denies" Comey's key claims

AP

President Trump denied both asking James Comey for a loyalty pledge, and pressuring him to drop the investigation into ousted national security advisor Michael Flynn when those claims emerged in news reports, attributed to anonymous sources.

Now Comey has gone on the record with the claims, which he will state Thursday in his testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee.

ABC News' Jonathan Karl reports that Trump is standing by his denials: "The President firmly denies ever asking for Comey's loyalty or asking him to let the Flynn investigation go, a knowledgeable source tells me."

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Mark Warner: "This is not how a President behaves"

Cliff Owen / AP

Axios got a copy of Senator Mark Warner's (D-VA) opening statement ahead of James Comey's testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee later this morning.

Bottom line: "This is not how a President of the United States behaves. Regardless of the outcome of our investigation into those Russia links, Director Comey's firing and his testimony raise separate and troubling questions that we must get to the bottom of."

Key excerpts:

"The testimony that Mr. Comey has submitted for today's hearing is disturbing... I do want to emphasize what is happening here - the President of the United States is asking the FBI Director to drop an ongoing investigation into the President's former National Security Advisor. In further violation of clear guidelines put in place after Watergate to prevent any whiff of political interference by the White House into FBI investigations, the President then called the FBI Director on two separate occasions – March 30 and April 11 - and asked him to 'lift the cloud' of the Russia investigation...
"At the same time the President was engaged in these efforts with Director Comey, he was also allegedly pressuring senior leaders of the intelligence community to downplay the Russia investigation or intervene with Director Comey. DNI Coats and NSA Director Admiral Rogers had plenty of opportunities to deny those reports yesterday. They did not."
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Trump's "satellite" associates

Andrew Harnik / AP

A passage from James Comey's testimony helps explain President Trump's mindset in a way that has not been clear before:

"I explained that we had briefed the leadership of Congress on exactly which individuals we were investigating and that we had told those Congressional leaders that we were not personally investigating President Trump. I reminded him I had previously told him that. He repeatedly told me, 'We need to get that fact out.'"

Then Comey uses a word that I suspect will become famous as the investigation unfolds:

"The President went on to say that if there were some 'satellite' associates of his who did something wrong, it would be good to find that out, but that he hadn't done anything wrong and hoped I would find a way to get it out that we weren't investigating him."

The big question: Who does the Trump think of as "satellites"?

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Comey truth bomb: Top Republicans relieved

Lazaro Gamio / Axios

Jim Comey's cinematic opening statement, describing his awkward encounters with President Trump in vivid detail that you almost never get from inside government, foretells gripping testimony when the fired FBI director goes before Capitol Hill cameras at 10 a.m. ET today.

MSNBC's Lawrence O'Donnell pointed out that any actor would want to act it, and any director would want to direct it.

Comey's pre-released testimony, about a Jan 27 dinner in the White House Green Room: "[T]he President said, 'I need loyalty, I expect loyalty.' I didn't move, speak, or change my facial expression in any way during the awkward silence that followed. We simply looked at each other in silence."

For all the cable-news talk of smoking guns, top Republicans were authentically relieved by what they read in the afternoon bombshell.

Their reaction puzzled me at first, but here's a truth bomb: Comey's seven-page, 3,100-word statement describes unusual, unprecedented and, to most, disturbing behavior by the president. But it presents no new information that proves a crime:

  • Read between the lines, and you see Trump's transactional side — trying to make a distraction go away, like you would in business. The problem of course, is that he's no longer just running a family business: Corner-cutting and interference doesn't work in the Oval.
  • The rapier reporting by The New York Times' Michael Schmidt was perfectly borne out. Putting aside the astonishing atmospherics, the facts of Comey's account are what we expected, but not much more.
  • The key passage, when Comey says Trump "called me at the FBI" on March 30: "He said he had nothing to do with Russia, had not been involved with hookers in Russia, and had always assumed he was being recorded when in Russia. He asked what we could do to 'lift the cloud.'"
  • Brookings senior fellow Benjamin Wittes, a friend of Comey's and editor-in-chief of the Lawfare blog, posted one of the best deconstructions of the statement, calling the Trump scenes "poisonous stuff ... conduct that a society committed to the rule of law simply cannot accept in a president."
  • But Wittes also writes: "Let's leave to another day whether anything the President did here amounts to any kind of obstruction of justice."
  • A top Republican close to the White House said the statement "shows Trump is relentless and unconcerned with Presidential behavioral conventions, which are two of the characteristics that won him votes."
  • Republicans, though, need to recognize what they're defending: actions that show little respect or understanding for the lines and limits that safeguard rule of law. This isn't normal.

Be smart: The road ahead is long. Comey's statement is captivating, but not grounds for impeachment. The threshold for any action is much higher than many think, because Republicans alone will set it.

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The jobs bomb sitting below private equity

Lazaro Gamio / Axios

Private equity investors are often criticized for destroying jobs, though the most comprehensive research into their impact on employment found that it was "modest." That's about to change.

Why this matters: Harvard Business School's Josh Lerner says the update to a study on private equity and jobs this time around will definitively show private equity to be a net job creator or job destroyer. He would not tip his hand as to which side of the ledger things now fall.

The issue: Private equity's employment record is difficult to discern, since private companies rarely disclose payroll information to anyone other than tax authorities. But a group of business school professors ― including Harvard's Lerner and the University of Chicago's Steve Davis ― secured access to the U.S. Census Bureau's Longitudinal Business Database, which is derived from IRS records, and then matched those employment records with thousands of private equity transactions that occurred between 1985 and 2005.

They were required to only use the data in the aggregate (i.e., not identify specific transactions), and in 2011 released a working paper that used a control sample of companies not owned by private equity. It found:

  • Private equity has just "a modest net impact on employment ... employment shrinks by less than 1% at target firms relative to controls in the first two years after private equity buyouts."
  • Company demographics have a large impact. Net job losses were higher for retail companies and public companies taken private, while job gains were found for independently-owned companies.
  • Despite the "modest" net results, private equity does create quite a bit of labor turmoil ― firing an above-market number of people in the early days after buying a company, but then also hiring more people in the investment's latter years.

What comes next: Both private equity and the broader labor market have changed a lot since 2005, so the researchers last year decided to update their paper with an extra decade worth of data. It's expected to be released within the next few months.

The fallout: Because private equity executives have regularly used the 2011 paper to push back against "job destroyer" claims, they are inextricably linked to the revision. For better or for worse.

  • For better: Buyout executives will have a giant arrow in their quiver when fighting everything from tax increases to SEC registration requirements to media attacks on their alumni who are running for political office (i.e., the next Romneys).
  • For worse: They'll need to do more than stop complaining about bad PR. They'll have to justify their own existence without looking like hypocrites ― something that could be a tougher trick than turning around a troubled company.
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Timeline: Why Comey is testifying in public today

Lazaro Gamio / Axios

President Trump dismissed his FBI Director, James Comey, on May 9. Today Comey will testify before the Senate Intelligence Committee. His opening statement was released Wednesday, and it confirmed the existence of memos concerning conversations with Trump, including Trump's request that the FBI drop its probe into former National Security Advisor Mike Flynn.

Here's a look at all the key events leading up to Comey's testimony:

2016

Spring/Summer: Comey confirmed in May the FBI was conducting an investigation into Hillary Clinton's emails. On July 5, Comey released a statement saying the FBI would not recommend charges against Clinton. At some point in July, the FBI launched an investigation into Trump-Russia.

Oct. 28: Days before the presidential election, Comey announced there were newly-discovered emails from Clinton's campaign team relevant to the investigation.

2017

Jan. 6: Comey briefed Trump on Russian election interference and the salacious, though unverified, dossier about his alleged behavior in Russia. Comey assured Trump the FBI was not investigating him personally, and documented this meeting in a memo.

Jan. 27: Trump invited Comey to a dinner at the White House and told him "I need loyalty, I expect loyalty," according to Comey's prepared statement for the Senate.

Feb. 14: The day after Flynn resigned as Trump's National Security Advisor after misleading Mike Pence about his contacts with Russian Ambassador Sergei Kislyak, Trump asked Comey to drop the investigation into Flynn, per his statement: "I hope you can see your way clear to letting this go, to letting Flynn go. He is a good guy. I hope you can let this go."

Feb. 15: The next day, Comey told Attorney General Jeff Sessions that Trump should stay out of the FBI probe, per Comey.

March 20: Comey confirmed to Congress the FBI was investigating potential "coordination" between Trump associates and Russia, and that there was no evidence Obama wiretapped Trump, contrary to the president's earlier claims on Twitter.

Sometime after March 20: Trump reportedly asked Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats and NSA Director Michael Rogers to publicly push back on FBI probe, per the Washington Post. Sometime before March 22, Trump asked Coats if he could pressure Comey to stop investigating Flynn, per the Post.

March 30: Trump called Comey and asked what he could do to "lift the cloud" of the Russia probe, and asked Comey why he told Congress the FBI was investigating Trump-Russia links. Comey again noted the FBI was not investigating Trump personally, which Trump asked him to make public.

April 11: Trump asked Comey about the progress on making it known the FBI is not investigating him personally, noting "I have been very loyal to you, very loyal; we had that thing you know," per Comey's testimony. Comey directed him to the deputy attorney general, and did not ask what "that thing" meant. That is the last time they spoke.

April 12: Trump went after Comey in Fox Business interview. Asked if he regretted not asking Comey to resign, Trump said "it's not too late."

April 25: Rod Rosenstein was confirmed as Deputy Attorney General.

May 2: Clinton cited Comey's October email announcement as one of the reasons Trump won the election.

May 3 — One week before he got fired: Comey testified before Congress and defended his midnight revelation on the Clinton investigation. He added that it made him "mildly nauseous to think we might have had some impact on the election."

May 8: Trump met with Sessions and Rosenstein, reportedly fuming about Comey's testimony. Trump tweeted: "The Russia-Trump collusion story is a total hoax"

May 9 — The day Trump fired Comey:

  • Rod Rosenstein and Attorney General Jeff Sessions penned letters recommending Trump get a "fresh start" without Comey. Rosenstein noted Comey's handling of the Clinton emails "is a textbook example of what federal prosecutors and agents are taught not to do."
  • Trump sent a letter to Comey informing him of his decision to heed Rosenstein and Sessions' advice, firing him effective immediately. Comey was informed while speaking in front of FBI colleagues, and thought it was a prank.
  • The White House denied Comey's ouster was part of a "coverup" and claimed Trump acted on guidance from Rosenstein and Sessions.

May 10: Trump told Russian officials in the Oval Office that firing "nut job" Comey eased pressure on him, per the NYT.

May 11: Trump said he would have fired Comey, even without a DOJ recommendation. He said he thought about how the Russia probe was a "hoax" before making his final decision.

May 12: Trump warned Comey on Twitter that he "better hope" there are no tapes of their conversations.

May 14: Congress called on Trump to turn over any tapes in his possession.

May 17: Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein appointed Robert Mueller, Comey's predecessor as FBI chief, as special counsel for the Russia probe.

May 18: Trump denied interfering in the probe when asked ("No, no next question").

May 20: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov denied talking to Trump about Comey.

May 26: The FBI refused to share Comey's memos with Congress at this time, deferring to the Mueller-led investigation.

June 1: Comey agreed to testify on June 8 before the Senate Intelligence Committee, after consulting with Mueller.

June 5: Sarah Sanders announced Trump wouldn't use executive privilege to block Comey's testimony.

June 7: Comey's planned opening statement was released. Trump also nominated Comey's replacement for FBI Director, Christopher Wray.

Today, June 8: Comey heads to Capitol Hill, to testify before the Senate Intel Committee

Go deeper:

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The story behind the United Kingdom's snap election

Rebecca Zisser / Axios

The issue:

The United Kingdom heads to the polls in a snap general election on Thursday to determine what party will lead the nation through its Brexit negotiations with the European Union.

The facts:

The mechanism:

Under legislation passed by then-Prime Minister David Cameron's coalition government, this election wasn't supposed to happen. In 2011, Parliament passed the Fixed-term Parliaments Act which set the length of time between elections at five years, stabilizing a system that had previously allowed the prime minister to call an election at will. But the Act did allow for an early general election via two mechanisms:

  • a no-confidence vote against the government in the House of Commons
  • a vote for an early general election by two-thirds of the House of Commons, which would require cross-party support

How it happened:

In April, with Brexit negotiations looming, Prime Minister Theresa May decided to exercise the second option and called for the Commons to vote to hold an election to determine which party would carry the United Kingdom through its divorce proceedings with the European Union. The opposition Labour Party agreed with her decision, voting together with the Conservatives for an election, which May wanted for a number of reasons:

  • Sky-high polling numbers against weak Labour opposition predicted a massive Conservative majority.
  • As May had never faced a general election before, a win would give her a personal mandate.
  • Scotland's Scottish National Party had become increasingly vocal about a second independence referendum — a general election allowed May to divert attention away from that issue.

The vote:

Voters will head to the polls on Thursday in 650 parliamentary constituencies across the United Kingdom to select their own local MPs. Polls have shown the Conservatives consistently ahead, but some have indicated a late Labour surge after campaign missteps by May.

  • The best case for the Conservatives: A landslide win with a majority of over 100 seats, giving them a clear mandate to handle Brexit negotiations.
  • The best case for Labour: A hung parliament where the Conservatives fail to win an outright majority of 326 MPs, allowing Labour to attempt to form a tenuous coalition government with other parties.
  • The most likely outcome: Somewhere in the middle — a sizable Conservative majority.

Why it matters:

The outcome of the election will determine how the United Kingdom moves forward with its Brexit negotiations, which will have an impact across the entire world.