Search results for: scotus

U.S. Elections


Who will win the 2017 House of Representatives special election in Georgia's 6th District?

Who will win GA-06 special election?
Top Predictions
Ossoff
 
 60¢ 1¢
Handel
 
 41¢ NC
Who will win the 2017 House of Representatives special election in South Carolina's 5th District?

Who will win SC-05 special election?
Top Predictions
Norman
 
 96¢ NC
Parnell
 
 5¢ NC
How many Senate seats will the GOP hold after 2018 midterms?

GOP Senate seats after midterms?
Top Predictions
49-
 
 23¢ NC
50
 
 14¢ NC
Which party will control the House after 2018 midterms?

Who will control the House after 2018?
Top Predictions
Republican
 
 51¢ NC
Democratic
 
 50¢ NC
Which party will control the Senate after 2018 midterms?

Who will control the Senate after 2018?
Top Predictions
Republican
 
 78¢ NC
Democratic
 
 24¢ NC
How many House seats will the GOP hold after 2018 midterms?

GOP House seats after midterms?
Top Predictions
217-
 
 50¢ NC
218-225
 
 21¢ NC
Will Elizabeth Warren be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts in 2018?

Will Elizabeth Warren be re-elected?
Current Market
Yes 88¢ NC
No 12¢ NC
What will the margin of victory be in the 2017 special election in Georgia's 6th District?

GA-06 margin of victory?
Top Predictions
2-3
 
 18¢ NC
6+
 
 17¢ NC
Who will win the 2018 Utah Republican Senate primary?

Who'll win the UT GOP Senate primary?
Top Predictions
Hatch
 
 32¢ NC
Romney
 
 26¢ NC
Will Bernie Sanders be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Vermont in 2018?

Will Bernie Sanders be re-elected?
Current Market
Yes 86¢ NC
No 14¢ NC
Will Ted Cruz be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Texas in 2018?

Will Ted Cruz be re-elected?
Current Market
Yes 74¢ NC
No 26¢ NC
Who will win the 2017 House of Representatives special election in Utah's 3rd District?

Who will win UT-03 special election?
Top Predictions
Henderson
 
 64¢ 11¢
Kidd
 
 25¢ NC
What will the margin of victory be in the 2017 special election in South Carolina's 5th District?

SC-05 margin of victory?
Top Predictions
17-20
 
 27¢ NC
20+
 
 25¢ NC
What will the margin of victory be in the 2017 special election in California's 34th District?

CA-34 margin of victory?
Top Predictions
23+
 
 73¢ 27¢
17-20
 
 16¢ NC
Who will win the 2017 House of Representatives special election in California's 34th District?

Who will win CA-34 special election?
Top Predictions
Gomez
 
 99¢ NC
Ahn
 
 1¢ NC
Will Mitt Romney run for Senate in 2018?

Romney for Senate in 2018?
Current Market
Yes 29¢ NC
No 71¢ NC
Which party will win the 2018 House of Representatives race in Utah's 3rd district?

Which party will win UT-3?
Top Predictions
Republican
 
 79¢ NC
Democratic
 
 16¢ NC
Who will win the 2017 U.S. Senate special election in Alabama?

Who will win AL Senate special election?
Top Predictions
Strange
 
 57¢ 7¢
Moore
 
 40¢ 12¢
Will Raul Labrador win the 2018 Republican primary in Idaho's 1st Congressional District?

Will Labrador win ID-01 GOP primary?
Current Market
Yes 11¢ NC
No 89¢ NC
Will Joe Manchin be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in West Virginia in 2018?

Will Joe Manchin be re-elected?
Current Market
Yes 61¢ NC
No 39¢ NC
Will Caroline Kennedy run for Congress or Senate in 2018?

Caroline Kennedy for Congress/Senate in 2018?
Current Market
Yes 18¢ NC
No 82¢ NC
Who will win the 2018 Indiana Republican Senate primary?

Who'll win the IN GOP Senate primary?
Top Predictions
Messer
 
 57¢ NC
Hurt
 
 43¢ NC
Will Bill Nelson be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Florida in 2018?

Will Bill Nelson be re-elected?
Current Market
Yes 79¢ NC
No 21¢ NC
Will Joe Donnelly be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Indiana in 2018?

Will Joe Donnelly be re-elected?
Current Market
Yes 45¢ NC
No 55¢ NC
Will Joe Manchin win the 2018 West Virginia Democratic Senate primary?

Will Manchin win the WV Dem Senate primary?
Current Market
Yes 94¢ NC
No 6¢ NC
Who will win the 2018 Florida Republican Senate primary?

Who'll win the FL GOP Senate primary?
Top Predictions
Scott
 
 69¢ NC
Jolly
 
 11¢ NC
Will Mark Meadows win the 2018 Republican primary in North Carolina's 11th Congressional District?

Will Meadows win NC-11 GOP primary?
Current Market
Yes 88¢ NC
No 12¢ NC
Which party will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Which party will win the White House in 2020?
Top Predictions
Democratic
 
 55¢ NC
Republican
 
 46¢ NC
Will Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg run for president in 2020?

Will Zuckerberg run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 31¢ NC
No 69¢ NC
Will Dwayne "the Rock" Johnson run for president in 2020?

Will the Rock run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 26¢ NC
No 74¢ NC
Will Mark Cuban run for president in 2020?

Will Cuban run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 24¢ NC
No 76¢ NC
Will the 2020 Republican nominee for president be a woman?

Will the 2020 GOP nominee be a woman?
Current Market
Yes 10¢ NC
No 90¢ NC
Will the 2020 Democratic nominee for president be a woman?

Will the 2020 Dem nominee be a woman?
Current Market
Yes 31¢ NC
No 69¢ NC
Will Cory Booker run for president in 2020?

Will Booker run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 67¢ NC
No 33¢ NC
Will Ted Cruz run for president in 2020?

Will Cruz run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 21¢ NC
No 79¢ NC
Will Elizabeth Warren run for president in 2020?

Will Warren run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 62¢ NC
No 38¢ NC
Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2020?

Woman president in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 21¢ NC
No 79¢ NC
Will Kirsten Gillibrand run for president in 2020?

Will Gillibrand run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 34¢ NC
No 66¢ NC
Will Bernie Sanders run for president in 2020?

Will Sanders run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 30¢ NC
No 70¢ NC
Will Andrew Cuomo run for president in 2020?

Will Cuomo run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 57¢ NC
No 43¢ NC
Will John Kasich run for president in 2020?

Will Kasich run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 33¢ NC
No 67¢ NC
Will Amy Klobuchar run for president in 2020?

Will Klobuchar run in 2020?
Current Market
Yes 32¢ NC
No 68¢ NC

U.S. Politics


Will James Comey publicly testify before Congress by May 31?

Will Comey testify before Congress by 5/31?
Current Market
Yes 4¢ 3¢
No 96¢ 3¢
Will the individual tax rate be cut by the end of 2017?

Individual tax cut by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 34¢ NC
No 66¢ NC
Will Paul Ryan be Speaker of the House on June 30?

Will Ryan be Speaker on 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 96¢ NC
No 4¢ NC
Will Susan Rice publicly testify before Congress by June 30?

Will Susan Rice testify before Congress by 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 15¢ NC
No 85¢ NC
Will the ACA individual mandate be repealed by the end of 2017?

Individual mandate repeal by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 23¢ NC
No 77¢ NC
Will the corporate tax rate be cut by the end of 2017?

Corporate tax cut by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 39¢ NC
No 61¢ NC
Will Congress establish a select committee on Russian election interference by June 30?

Select committee on Russia by 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 6¢ NC
No 94¢ NC
Will Barack Obama publicly testify before Congress in 2017?

Will Obama testify in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 17¢ NC
No 83¢ NC
Will the Senate invoke the nuclear option for the health care reform bill by end of 2017?

Nuclear option for health care bill?
Current Market
Yes 10¢ 4¢
No 90¢ 4¢
Will Devin Nunes be House Intelligence Committee chairman on June 30, 2017?

Will Nunes be Intel Committee chair on 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 90¢ 2¢
No 10¢ 2¢
Will Congress ratify the Trans-Pacific Partnership in 2017?

TPP ratified by Congress in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 5¢ NC
No 95¢ NC
Will Trump sign a bill not supported by a majority of GOP House delegation in 2017?

Trump sign a bill without majority GOP support in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 10¢ NC
No 90¢ NC
Will any Democrat vote to confirm Trump's FBI director nominee by June 30?

Dem votes for Trump's FBI nom by 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 14¢ NC
No 86¢ NC
Will ACA preexisting condition provision be repealed by the end of 2017?

Preexisting condition provision repeal by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 12¢ NC
No 88¢ NC
Will the ACA employer mandate be repealed by the end of 2017?

Employer mandate repeal by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 25¢ NC
No 75¢ NC
Will legislation strip federal funds from sanctuary cities in 2017?

Will sanctuary cities lose funding in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 19¢ NC
No 81¢ NC
Will ACA plan subsidies be repealed by the end of 2017?

ACA subsidy repeal by the end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 33¢ NC
No 67¢ NC
What will congressional job approval be on May 29?

Congress approval on 5/29?
Top Predictions
18.0-18.4
 
 93¢ 1¢
18.5-18.9
 
 10¢ 2¢
Will Trump sign a bill not supported by a majority of GOP House delegation in May 2017?

Trump sign a bill without majority GOP support in May?
Current Market
Yes 1¢ NC
No 99¢ NC
Will Congress pass a resolution to amend the Constitution, abolishing the Electoral College, by end of 2017?

Congress resolve to abolish Electoral College by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 2¢ NC
No 98¢ NC
Will national right-to-work legislation be enacted in 2017?

National right-to-work legislation enacted in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 9¢ NC
No 91¢ NC
Will a federal minimum wage increase go into effect by year-end 2017?

Minimum wage hike by end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 6¢ NC
No 94¢ NC
Will the estate tax be repealed in 2017?

Estate tax repeal in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 15¢ NC
No 85¢ NC
Will 2017 legislation classify carried interest as ordinary income?

Carried interest taxed as ordinary income in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 11¢ NC
No 89¢ NC
Will the prime minister of Israel address the U.S. Congress in 2017?

Will Israeli PM address Congress in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 17¢ NC
No 83¢ NC
Will the ACA medical device tax be repealed by the end of 2017?

Medical device tax repeal by the end of 2017?
Current Market
Yes 33¢ NC
No 67¢ NC
Will the House of Representatives pass the Financial CHOICE Act by May 31?

Will House pass Fin'l CHOICE Act by 5/31?
Current Market
Yes 1¢ NC
No 99¢ NC
Will the alternative minimum tax be repealed in 2017?

AMT repeal in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 21¢ NC
No 79¢ NC
Who will be Senate-confirmed FBI Director on June 30, 2017?

FBI Director on 6/30?
Top Predictions
Rogers
 
 8¢ 1¢
Kelly
 
 5¢ 2¢
Will Donald Trump be president at year-end 2017?

Will Trump be president at year-end 2017?
Current Market
Yes 76¢ NC
No 24¢ NC
Will Donald Trump be impeached in 2017?

Will Trump be impeached in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 18¢ 1¢
No 82¢ 1¢
How many tweets will @vp post from noon May 23 to noon May 30?

@vp tweets noon 5/23 - noon 5/30?
Top Predictions
70 - 74
 
 28¢ 3¢
75 - 79
 
 22¢ 2¢
Will Donald Trump be president at year-end 2018?

Will Trump be president at year-end 2018?
Current Market
Yes 61¢ NC
No 39¢ NC
What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day May 31?

Trump RCP avg. approval 5/31?
Top Predictions
40.0-44.9
 
 63¢ 1¢
35.0-39.9
 
 46¢ 11¢
How many tweets will @potus post from noon May 23 to noon May 30?

@potus tweets noon 5/23 - noon 5/30?
Top Predictions
35+
 
 99¢ NC
30 - 34
 
 1¢ NC
How many tweets will @realDonaldTrump post from noon May 24 to noon May 31?

@realDonaldTrump tweets noon 5/24 - noon 5/31?
Top Predictions
25 - 29
 
 32¢ NC
30 - 34
 
 28¢ 1¢
Will Sean Spicer be White House press secretary on Dec. 31, 2017?

Will Spicer be press secretary on 12/31?
Current Market
Yes 28¢ 1¢
No 72¢ 1¢
Will Trump move the U.S. embassy in Israel to Jerusalem in 2017?

Will Trump move U.S. embassy to Jerusalem in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 18¢ 3¢
No 82¢ 3¢
Will Donald Trump be president on Sept. 30?

Will Trump be president on 9/30?
Current Market
Yes 89¢ 1¢
No 11¢ 1¢
What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day June 30?

Trump RCP avg. approval 6/30?
Top Predictions
40.0-42.4
 
 39¢ 2¢
37.5-39.9
 
 39¢ NC
Will Trump withdraw from the Paris Agreement in 2017?

Trump withdrawal from Paris Agreement in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 66¢ 1¢
No 34¢ 1¢
Will Sean Spicer be White House press secretary on May 31, 2017?

Will Spicer be press secretary on 5/31?
Current Market
Yes 90¢ NC
No 10¢ NC
How many tweets will @vp post from noon May 26 to noon June 2?

@vp tweets noon 5/26 - noon 6/2?
Top Predictions
59-
 
 32¢ 3¢
60 - 64
 
 17¢ NC
Will Mike Pence be vice president at year-end 2017?

Will Pence be VP at year-end 2017?
Current Market
Yes 81¢ NC
No 19¢ NC
Will Rod Rosenstein be Deputy Attorney General on May 31, 2017?

Will Rosenstein be Deputy AG on 5/31?
Current Market
Yes 99¢ NC
No 1¢ NC
Will a federal criminal charge be filed against Jared Kushner in 2017?

Will Kushner face charges in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 24¢ 1¢
No 76¢ 1¢
Will Reince Priebus be White House chief of staff on May 31, 2017?

Will Priebus be WH chief of staff on 5/31?
Current Market
Yes 93¢ 5¢
No 7¢ 5¢
How many @realDonaldTrump tweets will mention "peace" from noon 5/25 - noon 6/1?

How many @realDonaldTrump "peace" tweets 5/25-6/1?
Top Predictions
0
 
 61¢ NC
1-2
 
 40¢ NC
Will President Trump travel to Taiwan in 2017?

Will Trump travel to Taiwan in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 5¢ NC
No 95¢ NC
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong-un in 2017?

Trump-Kim meeting in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 6¢ 1¢
No 94¢ 1¢
Will Trump meet with Rodrigo Duterte at the White House in 2017?

Trump-Duterte WH meeting in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 28¢ NC
No 72¢ NC
Will President Trump travel to Russia in 2017?

Will Trump travel to Russia in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 10¢ NC
No 90¢ NC
Will 25th Amendment, Section 4 be invoked in 2017?

25th Amendment Sec 4 in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 7¢ NC
No 93¢ NC
What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day July 31?

Trump RCP avg. approval 7/31?
Top Predictions
40.0-42.4
 
 34¢ 3¢
37.5-39.9
 
 28¢ NC
Will Trump's Gallup approval be 39% or higher for May 30 - June 1?

Trump's Gallup at 39+ 5/30 - 6/1?
Current Market
Yes 73¢ 2¢
No 27¢ 2¢
Will Trump meet with Mexican President Peña Nieto in 2017?

Trump-Peña Nieto meeting in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 47¢ NC
No 53¢ NC
What will Trump's RCP average job approval be at end of day June 2?

Trump RCP avg. approval 6/2?
Top Predictions
39.8-40.1
 
 24¢ 1¢
40.2-40.5
 
 24¢ NC
How much will Trump increase/decrease the debt in his first year?

Trump's one-year impact on national debt?
Top Predictions
+750B-1T
 
 25¢ NC
+500-750B
 
 24¢ NC
Will a federal criminal charge be filed against Hillary Clinton in 2017?

Will Hillary face charges in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 16¢ NC
No 84¢ NC
Will James Comey be FBI director on June 30, 2017?

Will Comey be FBI Director on 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 1¢ NC
No 99¢ NC
Will Janet Yellen be Federal Reserve chair on June 30, 2017?

Will Yellen be Fed chair on June 30?
Current Market
Yes 98¢ NC
No 2¢ NC
What will be the result of the 2017 Puerto Rican status referendum?

Result of Puerto Rican status referendum?
Top Predictions
State majority
 
 75¢ NC
State plurality
 
 17¢ 3¢
Will Illinois make Obama's birthday a holiday in 2017?

Obama's birthday a holiday in IL?
Current Market
Yes 96¢ 2¢
No 4¢ 2¢
Will the U.S. label China a currency manipulator by June 30?

China labeled currency manipulator by 6/30?
Current Market
Yes 1¢ NC
No 99¢ NC
Will Chris Christie be governor of New Jersey at year-end?

Will Christie be NJ governor at year-end?
Current Market
Yes 86¢ NC
No 14¢ NC
What will "Right Direction" poll at on May 29?

Direction of country on 5/29?
Top Predictions
33.9-
 
 97¢ NC
34.0-34.4
 
 3¢ NC
Will a false statement federal criminal charge be filed against Michael Flynn in 2017?

Will Flynn face false statement charges in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 44¢ NC
No 56¢ NC
Will the 9th Circuit overturn the revised travel ban injunction by May 31?

9th Circuit overturn travel ban injunction by 5/31?
Current Market
Yes 1¢ NC
No 99¢ NC
Will Edward Snowden be returned to the U.S. in 2017?

Snowden return to U.S. in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 10¢ NC
No 90¢ NC
Who will be FDA Commissioner on June 30, 2017?

FDA Commissioner on 6/30?
Top Predictions
Gottlieb
 
 99¢ NC
O’Neill
 
 2¢ NC
Will Sarah Palin become U.S. ambassador to Canada in 2017?

Will Palin become ambassador to Canada in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 4¢ NC
No 96¢ NC
Will Los Angeles be selected to host the 2024 Summer Olympics?

L.A. to host 2024 Olympics?
Current Market
Yes 29¢ NC
No 71¢ NC
Will Richard Cordray be CFPB director at year-end?

Will Cordray be CFPB director at year-end?
Current Market
Yes 50¢ NC
No 50¢ NC
Will Jeff Sessions be sanctioned in Alabama in 2017?

Will Sessions be sanctioned in AL in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 12¢ NC
No 88¢ NC
Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York at year-end?

Will Cuomo be NY governor at year-end?
Current Market
Yes 94¢ NC
No 6¢ NC
Will Trump testify in Zervos defamation case in 2017?

Will Trump testify in Zervos case in 2017?
Current Market
Yes 5¢ NC
No 95¢ NC
Who will be Senate-confirmed Fed Chair on February 4, 2018?

Fed Chair on 2/4/18?
Top Predictions
Yellen
 
 33¢ NC
Warsh
 
 12¢ NC

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