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Journal Article
Urban Demographic Stagnation in Early Modern Germany: A Simulation
Terence McIntosh
The Journal of Interdisciplinary History
Vol. 31, No. 4 (Spring, 2001), pp. 581-612
Published by: The MIT Press
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/206860
Page Count: 32
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Topics: Age, Simulations, Mortality, Demography, Towns, Life tables, Remarriage, Death, Age groups, Urban populations
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Abstract
Simulations drawing constructively upon the Sharlin hypothesis can reliably estimate the adult-mortality levels and net reproduction rates of small towns in seventeenth- and eighteenth-century South Germany. They show that the law of natural decrease applied to many towns in this region, highlighting the urban system's limited capacity to recover from the demographic losses of the Thirty Years' War. These findings draw attention to the massive changes in the volume and composition of rural-to-urban migration that accompanied South Germany's de-urbanization.
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The Journal of Interdisciplinary History © 2001 Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the editors of The Journal of Interdisciplinary History