They'd also win Senate races next year in Texas, Utah and Mississippi (plus Arizona and Nevada).
Estes underperformed Trump's margin by 20.3 points. If every district behaved like that, Dems would gain 122 (!) House seats next November.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/852138509355933697 …
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Did you consider the incumbents' advantage?
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Shhhhhh, Nate! You'll wake the voter suppressors!
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He still won. I agree with your stats. I don't think they are an accurate indicator of future results. The race was much shorter.
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So a loss is a victory. I get it now.
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Many are saying Estes only won because of millions of illegal votes, someone get Pence on this file asap.
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Not expecting anything but that would be freaking awesome.
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You heard it here first folks! Nate Silver says Dems will pickup 122 seats in 2018!
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Is there any breakdown what the usual midterm movement is? Or is this one of those things that just doesn't have enough data points.
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it's almost like he doesn't understand politics.
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Is it worth accounting for the fact that Dems poured money into the race which will not happen across the nation in november?
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Would you like to place a wager on that happening? BTW, it's pretty sad that "We lost by less than expected!!!" is the new Dem rally cry.
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Trump has to keep putting a good face on everything.
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He can't not lie.
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How would you break down the swing? How much was differential turnout, and how much was switching sides?
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Did the Dems spend heavily? I'm sure I read that they predicted defeat and so hardly spent anything.
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読み込みに時間がかかっているようです。
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