(cache) LW Game 2: The Fall of Austria: thezvi

Four turns in and the triple alliance has made quick work of Austria. Italy has all three core Austrian centers, Turkey has Serbia and Greece. Russia didn't get much out of the exchange due to Austria's sneaking into Warsaw and not having enough time to recover, and Turkey controls the Black Sea. The fleet in the Ionian Sea indicates that Turkey may not want to keep this beautiful friendship with Italy going. Italy will no doubt build multiple fleets, and these two have a choice to make. Turkey can withdraw and they can head north and west like an A/I/T triple (since they have Austria's 5 natural territories) or they can fight. If they fight, Russia stays intact and is probably wise to stay neutral for a bit and get involved in the north on one side or the other, but he needs to start picking up centers quickly. Turkey's move to the Ionian Sea is an act of war, but there's no strict commitment here. I wouldn't have done it unless I thought war was inevitable, which it certainly isn't, because you can't hold onto much by doing it and Italy can keep you from breaking out to the west if he cares enough. He should care enough.

England struck at Germany in the north, and Germany struck back. With only one fleet France can't do much for Germany's cause and is a good ally for England to have so chances are we're going to get England/France despite England's opening. This encourages Russia to enter on their side so I would use my build on F StP(nc) and occupy Norway in exchange for help elsewhere, with the flip side being to take Norway anyway if England doesn't agree, then try to get England headed south and set up a R/I/E triple. That's my guess as to what happens next.

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LW Game 2: The Fall of Austria

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