People forget how bad midterms usually are for the president's party. A wave election is almost the default; it's a matter of magnitude.
Without districting/gerrymandering problems, Dems would be clear favorites to win the House in 2018. With them, it's a closer call.
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@NateSilver538 This, my friends, is why we Dems should be focusing on state legislatures and governorships. That's where the magic happens. -
@NateSilver538 Without gerrymandering, I don't think R's can win an election. -
Fixed. MT
@NateSilver538 Without districting/gerrymandering problems, Dems would be clear favorites to win the House every time. -
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@NateSilver538 We've never seen a President this unpopular 2 months in. I understand your cautious analysis, but a tidal wave is coming. - 他1件の返信
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@NateSilver538 No shit, that's why they're working on voter suppression to ensure Dems can't win -
@NateSilver538 Repubs work hard to rig the electoral system to keep themselves in power. Let's overturn that. -
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But in a wave election,
#gerrymandering will backfire, leaving Republicans overextended.@NateSilver538https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/847120539806289920 … -
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#gerrymander disproportionate seats by creating -unsafe- seats, turning D seats into swing seats.@NateSilver538http://otford.tumblr.com/post/151795082903/gerrymandering-2 … - 他1件の返信
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@NateSilver538 How can we as citizens change gerrymandering, can courts, Supreme Court, help irradiate them? -
@NateSilver538 Sad that we're so casual about gerrymandering. How's it diff from vote rigging in 1-party countries, other than magnitude? -
@NateSilver538 But they have a lot of seats to defend in the Senate, many in purple and (newly?) red states.@rocketrepreneur -
@NateSilver538#GOP has subverted our Republic. -
@NateSilver538 No more Voting Rights Act in place & Sessions as AG? Look away from the numbers and glance at reality for a second. -
@NateSilver538 Well now that you're saying so, I have my doubts. You're worse than useless, you're a dangerous manipulator of data. -
@NateSilver538 Blah blah Nate. Your credibility is down the toilet. Remember there are repercussions when you sell your soul. -
@NateSilver538 About time you had a federal electoral commission to produce fair districts. -
@NateSilver538 How big would a nationwide Dem wave have to be to erase State Legislative Seats advantage GOP built up from 2010-2014? >10%? -
@NateSilver538 Irony is it makes it impossible for GOP to govern thanks to bulletproof Freedom Caucus types.
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