Democrats’ risky new Trump strategy: Pry him away from his own party, and win back his voters
Congressional Democrats aim to force Trump into a choice: Republican policy, or the voters who elected him
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Aware of the fact that Donald Trump’s Electoral College victory was made possible by at least a modest number of Democratic-leaning voters crossing party lines, congressional Democrats appear to be pursuing an intriguing strategy: They’re trying to force the president to choose between the people who elected him and the political party he nominally leads.
Trump is the highest-ranking Republican in Washington. But the new president’s lack of interest in the details of policy-making mean that he’s outsourcing a lot of it to the congressional GOP. That’s dangerous for Trump’s public approval ratings, because conservative elites generally favor economic policies that are likely to be unpopular with the blue-collar workers who got him elected.
In his inaugural address, as in his speech at the Republican National Convention last summer, Trump put on a mantle of populism, claiming that “the forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no longer.”
Throughout his campaign and during his transition period as president-elect, Trump also spoke of his desire to replace the Affordable Care Act with “something terrific” that would include “insurance for everybody.” In an interview with ABC News after he took office, Trump said that “millions of people will be happy” with his replacement for Obamacare.
Nor is Trump the only person in the administration to openly talk about spending more money, rather than less. Stephen K. Bannon, the former head of Breitbart News who is now the president’s top strategist, has spoken of his desire for increased domestic spending. “I’m the guy pushing a trillion-dollar infrastructure plan,” he boasted to the Hollywood Reporter in November.
These deviations from standard conservative economic orthodoxy were a huge part of what made Trump so unpopular with right-leaning elites. Many of them were fond of calling him a liberal, in the futile hope that doing so might lead Republican primary voters to reject him.
Thus far, some of Trump’s actions have hewed to his populist rhetoric. His withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade treaty was praised by progressive darling Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt. Likewise, his choice to meet with members of several construction-oriented labor unions during his first Monday on the job — a courtesy many of them never received from former president Barack Obama — and his early and public embrace of the Keystone XL and Dakota oil pipelines haven’t gone unnoticed by blue-collar America.
In a statement, a consortium of builders’ unions praised Trump in fulsome terms for his Wednesday executive order on the pipelines:
“Today, President Donald J. Trump gave continued hope to thousands of skilled craft construction professionals in America’s heartland for whom the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipeline projects have been an economic lifeline,” said the leaders of the North America’s Building Trades Unions federation.
Still, not all of Trump’s early policy endeavors have backed up his populist promises. On Medicaid, as Salon’s Simon Maloy has noted, the president has decided to go along with congressional Republicans’ desires to move the program to a block grant funding structure, which would permit Republican-dominated states to reduce funding for the low-income medical care program. Trump officials have also indicated a willingness to go along with GOP plans to remove subsidies for private insurance companies that help to offset costs they incur by being forced to guarantee coverage for all.
Trump’s savvy relationship with organized labor has led to concern among Democrats that his efforts to peel off a significant portion of the union strength that is critical to the liberal coalition will continue to pay off.
In the November election, Trump performed better among voters in union households than any Republican presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan’s across-the-board landslide victory in 1984.
Faced with Trump’s triangulation efforts on spending and populism, senior congressional Democrats unveiled on Tuesday a $1 trillion infrastructure spending plan of their own. Unlike Trump’s current rather vague proposal, it relies on direct federal spending instead of tax credits. Senate Democrats backing it claim it would create 15 million jobs over the next 10 years.
By creating their own stimulus package that is even larger than the one that Trump is currently aiming for, senior Democrats, led by Sen. Charles Schumer of New York, are hoping to drive a wedge between the budget hawks who dominate the Republican Congress and the disgruntled Democratic voters who rejected Hillary Clinton as an out-of-touch globalist.
An anonymous senior Senate staffer spelled out the strategy explicitly to Atlantic writer Michelle Cottle:
“We are presenting a choice to the president,” said the senior Senate aide. If he pursues issues that align with Democratic priorities, “he will find Democrats eager to work with him.” This will, however, require Trump to “buck the Republicans in Congress,” stressed the aide. Democrats’ selective cooperation is not aimed at “finding middle ground” with GOP members, the aide clarified, but about Trump’s “upending decades of Republican orthodoxy” and “going around congressional Republicans” on particular issues. The goal: deny the majority legislative wins while positioning Democrats as the party that can work with Trump to get stuff done.