Clinton should have campaigned more in MI, WI, which 538 model often ranked among tipping-point states. But it didn't cost her the election.
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Clinton would still have lost the Electoral College with both MI & WI. She needed either PA or FL too, which she campaigned in plenty.
Clinton lost 4 states (FL, MI, WI, PA) by ~1 point. If not for Comey/Russia, she probably wins them all by ~2 points & strategy looks great.
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So if you're going to second-guess, a way better question is whether Clinton needed a better October Surprise response strategy.
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They were caught very flat-flooted on the Comey letter. Not an easy thing to respond to, but they didn't have much of a strategy at all.
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@NateSilver538 You're still working backward from "It's the loser's fault she lost." Perhaps there are several larger stories here. - さらに表示
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Fully agree with
@NateSilver538 here. One can think that Clinton was flawed & made mistakes but also that Comey cost her the electionpic.twitter.com/lBubzPJ3a4 -
1. Four years ago I said Democrats should nominate
@SenSherrodBrown for president in 2016 & in hindsight I think he would have beaten Trump -
2. However, the GOP's dirty attacks, Russian hacking, & false media balance would've still hurt any non-Clinton Demhttps://twitter.com/politicswolf/status/807651166427447296 …
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3. Maybe a non-Clinton Dem would've won, but it's simply naive to think the ONLY thing that hurt Clinton was herselfhttps://twitter.com/politicswolf/status/807651825432326148 …
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@NateSilver538 The idea that Russian internet trickery cost Clinton 3% is absurd. And the FBI problems are of her own making, not Trump's. -
@NateSilver538 Democrats could've avoided FBI issues simply by not nominating a candidate under investigation by the FBI! -
@NateSilver538 Could some Den not widely viewed as corrupt have beaten Trump? I think that easily possible. I'm certain Biden could've. -
@NateSilver538 Warren, Kaine, or even Sanders could've credibly attached Trump on corruption. Clinton couldn't. There's your 3%. -
@KyleSammin@NateSilver538 imagine Martin O'Malleys emails getting hacked lol nothing there
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@NateSilver538 That's a losers argument. - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538 No, she should have come to WI. It would have made a difference. I live here. I'm telling you. -
@WhatRUTinkin@NateSilver538 Did you not read his previous tweet? Winning MI and WI wouldn't have done it for her. -
@InsiderSubo@NateSilver538 I did. But if she had also campaigned more in both states, it would have made a difference. That was my point. -
@WhatRUTinkin@NateSilver538 But she also lost states that she campaigned like hell in. -
@InsiderSubo@NateSilver538 She did. But I think that was because everyone was complacent. Unfortunately. -
@WhatRUTinkin@InsiderSubo@NateSilver538 also she was a terrible candidate. -
@eLonePB@WhatRUTinkin@InsiderSubo@NateSilver538 Terrible candidates don't get 65 million votes and win the popular vote. Try again. -
@corygc I've blocked most of these idiots. There's no arguing with them.
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