And you nailed it all along. Well done. @NateSilver538 @FiveThirtyEight
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We disagree. Nate Silver's modeling is flawed. We explain here. http://www.acsh.org/news/2016/11/07/nate-silvers-chance-winning-election-forecasts-are-complete-nonsense-10414 …
@PaulLantos@NateSilver538@FiveThirtyEight -
I was being sarcastic. You don't have to be Ronald Fisher to know his models (and data) were BS.
@ACSHorg@NateSilver538@FiveThirtyEight - その他の返信を表示
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@PaulLantos@NateSilver538@FiveThirtyEight Ahhhhhhh! Sarcasm doesn't always come across in 140 characters. ;)
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@NateSilver538@kevinmeyers@FiveThirtyEight If this were a sports championship, it'd go down as one of the biggest upsets in history - その他の返信を表示
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@NateSilver538@FiveThirtyEight You can be sarcastic, he still won, you were wrong and your candidate lost. Nothing's gonna change that - その他の返信を表示
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@moiamsel@NateSilver538@FiveThirtyEight he never endorsed a candidate. trump is a bipartisan liar. - その他の返信を表示
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@danaelblack you don't need to say "I endorse" in order to make obvious who you support. Trump won, he's president. The end - その他の返信を表示
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@moiamsel@danaelblack no but you have to have some mental straight to understand what Nate and co do. Clearly you lack that. -
@AndrewAtSFL@danaelblack I'm not the one who predicted Hillary had an 80% chance of winning on Election Day. Someone else is lacking - その他の返信を表示
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@moiamsel@danaelblack again, if you don't understand what they do, I can't help you. Nor can I explain more that 80% doesn't mean 100%. - さらに表示
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@natesilver538 Nate clearly she didn’t say Trump’s victory was a landslide, she just put the words near each other. - さらに表示
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@natesilver538 *bigliest - その他の返信を表示
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@PupperJ@NateSilver538 lol not bad for a guy with a 1% chance. Professor Norpoth > Nate Silver - その他の返信を表示
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@BiglyWin@NateSilver538 to be fair, Nate gave Trump a 30% chance. -
@PupperJ@NateSilver538 Nate Silver gave Trump a 1% chance to win the Republican nomination. What an election guru! -
@BiglyWin@NateSilver538 to be fair to Nate (again), party nominations are difficult to predict with a 17-person field. -
@PupperJ@BiglyWin@NateSilver538 I think y'all confuse statistical probabilities with crystal ball predictions
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