To be clear, the recount is **very** unlikely to overturn the results, unless there's been massive, coordinated manipulation of results. (2/
This is turning me in favor of the recount. The peaceful-transition-of-power playbook doesn't usually include taunting your opponents.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/802723588759375873 …
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So it's not really a "recount". Not about a few votes here and there. It's more like an audit or an investigation into possible fraud. (3/
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…which is also highly unlikely. But is it 1-in-20 unlikely or 1-in-20000 unlikely? Hard to say. Not a case where statistics are helpful. (4/
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But I worry that people will grasp at straws, and claim to detect anomalies in perfectly normal results. Already been some of that. (5/
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So burden of proof should be high. As a consumer of recount news, wait for deep reporting or consensus among many statistical methods… (6/
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…before your suspicions are aroused too much. Also look toward the Clinton campaign which will take a cautious view:http://bit.ly/2gvyvLy
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@NateSilver538@mackaytaggart@realDonaldTrump is there another reason you might want a recount Nate?#MAGA -
@NateSilver538 he seems like a bf with something to hide. "Why do you want to go through my phone babe? You said you trusted me -SAD!" -
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@NateSilver538@realDonaldTrump how is pointing out a fact taunting? - その他の返信を表示
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@mattth@NateSilver538@realDonaldTrump Nate only sees what he wants to see. It's why he was wrong this entire Election. No credibility. - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538@realDonaldTrump seems prudent to audit the vote considering a foreign intelligence operation interfered with the election -
@NateSilver538 great scientific analysis, Nate -
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@NateSilver538 the peaceful transition of power narrative is mainstream politics narrative. Trump plays by authoritarian rules. Nice=weak - その他の返信を表示
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@NateSilver538@realDonaldTrump So sorry, but I thought the elections are rigged. Let's find out, I'm sure you don't have an issue. Right ? - さらに表示
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@NateSilver538 Obama seems to be the only one following that playbook at the moment. - さらに表示
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読み込みに時間がかかっているようです。
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