@Taniel many of these are Not Ds or Rs right? Which why dem voter lead is smaller than '12?
On Florida early voting: "911,000 Hispanics have voted—more than a third of whom did not vote in 2012" http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article112958953.html …pic.twitter.com/7QyTkiNhbT
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@jbreisblatt I believe so. (Though that alone wouldn't explain why the *raw* vote differential is smaller since new voters.) -
@Taniel so with smaller raw differential but more Latino voters overall... do Ds see themselves in about same place as '12? -
@jbreisblatt Schale is saying more like 2008. -
@Rooz739 right and I'd like to believe him.. and hope he is right..but he also has a bias :) - さらに表示
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@Taniel Meanwhile,@FiveThirtyEight predicts this. Must be off. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/#plus …pic.twitter.com/PeY7oHk3Ci -
@Taniel So why did@NateSilver538 change FL to lean Trump today? -
@Taniel Is it possible that many Hispanics switched from "white" to "hispanic" when they registered this year by way of renewed pride?
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