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Eric Bradner
Nevada early vote figures: Dems won Clark County by 72K, or 13.7 points. A GOP official told me Trump could afford to lose Clark by 6.
TrumpsTaxReturns 7 時間
what does it mean? "Trump can afford to lose Clark by 6?"
Matt Evans 7 時間
Saying if T kept it within 6, he could win NV. Instead lost by >13. Basically saying he's toast.
TrumpsTaxReturns 7 時間
Thank Youuuuu ! But...what about Election day catch up?
Timothy Auger 7 時間
Yes but that won't be the final result. Early vote not necessarily representative.
Dan Bock 7 時間
Not exactly. These are the party affiliations of the voters, not the actual votes.
h 6 時間
i think it means on election day trump could win NV if clarkl was at 6 points fav clinton
TrumpsTaxReturns 6 時間
😰😰😰😰 Ok. Will keep an eye out! Thanks
TrumpsTaxReturns 6 時間
true. But this news is still welcomed! It could've been 'shy' Trump VOTERS instead!
SCM 6 時間
How can an election be won by early votes if the majority of votes haven't even been cast yet, and not a single vote counted?
Mathew Nicolson 5 時間
How do we know this - are early votes counted before polling closes on Tuesday?
Morgan Whitacre 5 時間
a majority HAVE been cast - probably 70%
Eric Bradner 5 時間
No, these numbers are based on the party registration of those who have voted.
Morgan Whitacre 5 時間
not only that but they also won Washoe County in EV (Reno) by a couple points. In 2012, Dems lost Washoe in the EV.
Mathew Nicolson 5 時間
Ah right, thanks - so in that case we can't know for sure voters are voting based on partisan lines?
Eric Bradner 5 時間
Yes, in Nevada around 7 in 10 voted early in 2012. These figures are based on party registration.
Eric Bradner 5 時間
And it's worth noting that in 2012, more Dems than Republicans voted in Nevada on Election Day.
Eric Bradner 5 時間
Correct. Best way to analyze is to compare these numbers to the % of Ds and Rs that state polls show backing their nominee.
Eric Bradner 5 時間
Yep. Noted in the story we'll be posting shortly!
Joe 5 時間
Come on now, you calling a election that hasn't officially start? You are as corrupt as they get.