Nate Cohn認証済みアカウント

@Nate_Cohn

I write for The New York Times at . I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.

Washington, DC
topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/…
2012年1月に登録
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  1. 52 分前 Washington, DC

    Trump имеет всего лишь 11-процентный шанс на победу, в соответствии с Upshot

    101件のリツイート 289 いいね
  2. 2 時間前

    I'm sure there's a perfectly good explanation for this...

    589件のリツイート 461 いいね
  3. 返信先: さん
    5 時間前 Washington, DC

    . i believe not.

    2 いいね
  4. 5 時間前 Washington, DC

    That's the 2012 presidential election, by zip code.

    14件のリツイート 69 いいね
  5. 5 時間前 Washington, DC

    You're going to want to buy a print copy of the NYT tomorrow. Seriously

    We've got populous blue areas but we're a red, red nation, as NYT's special print section on Tuesday will show in large scale.
    113件のリツイート 192 いいね
  6. 7 時間前 Washington, DC

    I love this

    35件のリツイート 95 いいね
  7. 7 時間前 Washington, DC

    That's a pretty big number at this stage

    First, Hispanics now make up almost 13.5% of FL registered voters who have voted. And it has been fractionally growing every day. 2/
    70件のリツイート 185 いいね
  8. 8 時間前

    oh this is getting fuuuunnnn

    FBI's Comey opposed naming Russians, citing election timing: Source (via )
    188件のリツイート 293 いいね
  9. 8 時間前

    Rick Perry strongly encouraged Rep. Michael McCaul to challenge Sen. Ted Cruz in a GOP primary, with

    72件のリツイート 98 いいね
  10. 8 時間前 Washington, DC

    The danger to Clinton, IMO, is that well-educated, white, GOP-leaners come home

    50件のリツイート 93 いいね
  11. 9 時間前 Washington, DC

    Polls show Clinton ahead in NC because Trump isn't doing well among white voters, esp well-edu whites. It's not bc of high black turnout

    517件のリツイート 899 いいね
  12. 9 時間前 Washington, DC

    The catch, though, is that I don't think there are any NC polls showing black voters at 2012 levels

    And if black turnout down, North Carolina may not be as much in the Clinton camp as some polls suggest
    31件のリツイート 91 いいね
  13. 9 時間前 Washington, DC

    Our estimate was the black share of electorate would fall to 21.4% from 23. Lower black turnout was baked in

    it doesn't seem like the lower than 2012 AA vote is hurting her. I wonder why? Is she wooing more of of the Romney voters?
    10件のリツイート 52 いいね
  14. 9 時間前 Washington, DC

    The main take away from our NC early vote tracker so far: our expectations for the composition of the electorate haven't budged at all

    37件のリツイート 78 いいね
  15. 10 時間前 Washington, DC

    The early vote tracker in North Carolina updated--and corrected. I'm sorry for screwing up, described in this image.

    35件のリツイート 85 いいね
  16. 11 時間前 Washington, DC

    There have been a lot of big news events this year. Many moved the polls, but none fundamentally reshaped the race.

    84件のリツイート 150 いいね
  17. 10月31日

    Trump does have a better shot at New Mexico than Mexico, I'll give him that

    219件のリツイート 813 いいね
  18. 10月31日 Manhattan, NY

    What you're seeing is a small group of aides who truly believe Trump's populism/non-trad pitch can put new things in play, in spite of data.
    13件のリツイート 37 いいね
  19. 10月31日

    Invest 90M likely a tropical depression in Mediterranean Sea "Medicane"

    69件のリツイート 96 いいね
  20. 10月30日 Manhattan, NY

    Appropriate background music

    5件のリツイート 57 いいね

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