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Where is Clinton's debate bump? (self.EnoughTrumpSpam)

RachelSubstance が 投稿

It was on Wednesday and still no bounce in the polls and 538 is showing a very slight decline in Clinton's numbers and everyone is rubbing in our faces that poll that shows Trump up 2 points and Iowa is back to red in the nowcast and aarrrgghhh just release new polls already

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[–]HollowUkuleleChords 4ポイント5ポイント  (2子コメント)

Takes about a week to show up in the polls.

But we may not see a bump. Traditionally debates do very little to help move the dial for the candidates

[–]RachelSubstance[S] 1ポイント2ポイント  (1子コメント)

tbf the first debate gave her a HUGE bounce

[–]HollowUkuleleChords 1ポイント2ポイント  (0子コメント)

Absolutely. So did the second one. BUT, that was very abnormal. She took a huge risk with her debate strategy and it paid off tremendously (I hate that Trump has ruined the word tremendous, BTW)

She might see a bump this time too. Or she may not. I don't think we can predict it, because it's been such an unusual election season

[–]dmb1279 2ポイント3ポイント  (1子コメント)

The third debate has historically never moved polls

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/10/19/the-bad-news-for-donald-trump-third-debates-dont-move-the-polls/

[–]RachelSubstance[S] 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

There's a lot of historic things about this election

[–]thatpj 1ポイント2ポイント  (1子コメント)

Uh the fact that Utah, Texas, Georgia, and Arizona are swing states...

[–]RachelSubstance[S] 0ポイント1ポイント  (0子コメント)

I mean from the third debate, and Utah is only really a swing state because Evan McMullin is polling very good numbers

[–]drexler57346 [スコア非表示]  (0子コメント)

I'm looking at 538, and there really haven't been many (public) polls conducted solely or even primarily after the 19th. So we don't know yet.