Even with methods differences, errors, etc., that appears to be a real drop. From double-digit leads to under 5....
The more I stare at Texas polls this afternoon, the more I believe it's really in play. HUGE drop after tape came out.pic.twitter.com/4wc4ejyd9G
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@nataliemjb Wow. Do you think it can hold, or more likely to be a blip? -
@JohnCluverius That's the 38-electoral-vote question. I think more likely a blip (or at least that Trump will win), but I'm floored. -
@nataliemjb even a <5 Trump win in TX would be astonishing, especially when you consider how strong party ID is there. -
@JohnCluverius Absolutely. It's why I've always been very pessimistic about TX going blue. -
@nataliemjb same. really strong Republican culture, strong party org, & straight-ticket voting. -
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@JohnCluverius@nataliemjb Texas is a great example of negative partisanship this election cycle for most Texas GOP. All talk is anti-HRC.
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@nataliemjb This@agrbl TX survey from Aug shows Trump's base problems back then. 30% of GOP not with Trumphttp://understandingvoters.com -
@PNAmerica@nataliemjb@agrbl TX was never warm to him. He's the anti-Texan in just about every way. Plus his trade policy would *kill* TX.
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@nataliemjb UH had a poll of Harris County with Clinton + 10 in September. Obama barely won Harris County.http://www.chron.com/news/politics/texas/article/Clinton-leads-Trump-by-10-in-Harris-County-poll-9239737.php … -
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@nataliemjb Yes. Trump sagging where Mormons, Reformed, SoCons strong. Imagine how tight it would be if Cruz hadn't rejoined the#TrumpTrain - さらに表示
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@nataliemjb according to polling expert* bill Mitchell this is a crap poll. "All is well" -
@nataliemjb As a Texan, I feel like a Clinton upset is still pretty unlikely, but I can't really provide any unique insights on the ground. -
@nataliemjb Our small town is heavily Republican. It is anecdotal but have seen only three Trump signs and no Hillary signs. -
@nataliemjb What are Hillary's numbers? Is she up or is he just down? Any polling for 3rd party?@Evan_McMullin ? -
@nataliemjb@fredbauerblog What I want hear tomorrow from@HillaryClinton : Repealing the 2A has never been on the table. Constitution!
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