Polls-Plus vote share: 39.8%
No Republican presidential nominee has done worse since 1944. http://uselectionatlas . org/RESULTS/state . php?year=1944&fips=49&f=0&off=0&elect=0
Polls-only vote share: 37.9%
No Republican presidential nominee has done worse since 1940.
http://uselectionatlas . org/RESULTS/state . php?year=1940&fips=49&f=0&off=0&elect=0