@ForecasterEnten so you’re saying there’s a chance?
Correlation of where the polls are right now and the final result of the election since 1952? 0.96...
-
-
-
@demfromct Simple model gives him a 5% chance. -
@ForecasterEnten i have to say all the different models are coalescing. -
@DemFromCT@ForecasterEnten 2004 and 2008 especially.pic.twitter.com/bAQYXPqrD3
-
-
-
@ForecasterEnten is 1968 the outlier? -
@paulframe85 68 is I think the best example for Trump. The biggest error was actually 1992. Went from big blowout to small blowout. - その他の返信を表示
-
@ForecasterEnten how big of a blow out was 92 supposed to be, EV-wise?
-
-
@ForecasterEnten what's with the pesky facts you speak of? -
-
@ForecasterEnten You're gonna get some frogs in here saying "Correlation is not causation". Why? Because 2016. -
@AtticusGF@ForecasterEnten it's 2016 so science is irrelevant? -
@AtticusGF@ForecasterEnten oh okay, silly me.
-
-
@ForecasterEnten what about.... now? -
@ForecasterEnten BUT BREXIT -
-
@ForecasterEnten I'm a little dumb.. does that mean that if we are in the "save the world from the madman" camp, we should be feeling OK? - さらに表示
-
-
@ForecasterEnten Maybe Trump's super sweet ground game can overcome the deficit. -
-
@ForecasterEnten I'm concerned about this WSJ/NBC poll that had Hillary losing 4 points in a single day. Calm me down!! -
@TexMexicanThing@ForecasterEnten Statistical noise because no poll is a perfect measurement.
-
-
-
@ForecasterEnten is that correlation for margin? like win by x? or just win period? - さらに表示
-
読み込みに時間がかかっているようです。
Twitterの処理能力の限界を超えているか、一時的な不具合が発生しています。もう一度試すか、Twitterステータス(英語)をご確認ください。